Mad-Taxi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved

154

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$241

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 08-10 22:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Other

55% 80% +$4

Politics

29% 69% -$8

Sports

11% 82% +$1

Crypto

3% 71% -$2

Tech

2% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	6	$13	8	6	+2	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:13
rusixnat sco eng 2026 02 14 sco	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	02-14 20:57
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	02-13 13:43
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	3	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	02-15 23:29
nyse trading floor opening delayed monday	2	$4	4	4	+0	No	+$2	02-23 13:45
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	03-31 14:01
cl up or down on march 2 2026	2	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	03-02 07:51
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$4	5	3	+2	No	+$1	03-08 14:09
will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	1	$3	3	0	+3	Yes	+$0	04-08 23:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$3	3	2	+1	No	+$0	03-30 14:04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$3	6	6	+0	No	+$1	07-10 22:04
will iran strike jordan in march 375	2	$3	9	9	+0	Yes	$0	03-08 14:08
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$3	4	2	+2	No	+$0	03-31 14:00
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	03-06 20:48
will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$1	03-08 13:50
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	2	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$0	04-13 22:10
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	2	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	04-02 12:27
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-05 17:42
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 22:04
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	3	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	03-05 20:22
will iran strike israel on march 3	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 21:49
efa liv bha 2026 02 14 liv	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	02-14 21:56
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-22 22:57
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-06 20:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	08-10 22:23
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-05 17:42
will bitcoin dip to 69000 on march 5	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-05 20:22
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	2	$2	45	45	+0	No	+$0	03-01 22:46
will wuthering heights third weekend box office be greater than 9m	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-01 23:01
rusixnat ire ita 2026 02 14 ita	2	$2	8	4	+4	No	+$0	02-14 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 22:23:24	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x4da100…
08-10 22:23:09	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xcecc94…
08-10 22:23:00	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd22564…
07-18 12:57:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xa3bd2d…
07-12 09:52:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0xdcb4d5…
07-10 22:12:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xe2d3a9…
07-10 22:09:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa45e4…
07-10 22:06:19	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x69b29c…
07-10 22:05:44	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa33183…
07-10 22:04:20	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0x3b0bc6…
07-10 22:04:11	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x962ef6…
07-06 23:21:02	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5ed0e5…
07-06 23:20:47	will spy reach 790 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa9efbf…
07-06 23:20:37	will spy reach 760 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x09dc5e…
07-06 23:20:23	will spy reach 780 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcda820…
07-06 23:19:22	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1ae0df…
07-06 23:18:53	will spy dip to 730 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x3ce0d6…
07-03 22:43:50	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x33ea06…
07-03 22:42:56	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x35cf84…
07-03 22:42:14	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc020dc…
07-03 22:40:22	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xf5cb0c…
07-01 20:53:19	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x53d177…
06-25 13:11:01	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xea6c31…
06-19 20:36:05	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xd4c1ae…
06-19 20:35:40	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc27f2f…
06-15 23:43:04	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x54c097…
06-05 17:15:51	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x44c223…
05-29 20:29:04	Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeebeda…
05-29 20:18:33	Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd531e8…
05-29 20:12:09	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9d4deb…
05-26 15:44:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x06ee43…
05-26 15:43:21	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa59e88…
05-26 15:42:01	will lionel messi play in the 2026 fifa world cup 899	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc20358…
05-26 15:40:19	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf7460a…
05-26 15:37:03	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xd819b8…
05-24 14:48:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xbcb661…
05-16 15:30:23	Will Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7934a8…
05-16 15:29:41	Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4d06e7…
05-16 15:27:10	Will Gerry Hutch win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x96e50d…
05-16 15:26:18	Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x78ae28…
05-16 15:22:57	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0e3fcf…
05-16 15:22:22	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x11544f…
05-16 15:22:09	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe9c1c8…
05-16 15:21:40	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6496c1…
05-16 15:20:07	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x30460e…
05-16 15:19:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7bcd3a…
05-16 14:59:14	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe44303…
05-08 21:19:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$1	0x6702fe…
05-03 00:34:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfee19a…
05-03 00:34:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7d83a5…
05-01 13:44:36	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xed4c9f…
05-01 13:44:28	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x10453a…
04-17 23:34:02	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x202d49…
04-17 23:32:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x4fcfc7…
04-17 23:31:56	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2d81f3…
04-17 23:30:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf315ed…
04-13 22:10:47	Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x472e05…
04-13 22:10:33	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x5c9998…
04-13 22:04:39	Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6ddca8…
04-10 23:04:45	will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xed3fd9…
04-10 23:04:33	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7a7c27…
04-10 23:04:07	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x5ca846…
04-08 23:01:37	will elizabeth taylor get 3 million or more views in the first week	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb8b11f…
04-06 11:43:59	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x19a01d…
04-06 11:43:49	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x00cbed…
04-06 11:42:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5d5968…
04-03 19:57:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5261f4…
04-03 19:48:13	Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x22c5f0…
04-02 12:27:59	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7bf1c7…
04-02 12:27:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x3f30e9…
04-02 12:26:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0e261f…
04-02 12:25:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x013478…
04-02 12:24:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5af49b…
04-02 12:21:57	wti up or down on april 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5a6412…
04-02 12:20:17	will plc win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x060b80…
04-02 12:18:17	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x43714b…
04-02 12:17:47	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc3f7dc…
04-02 11:04:01	will wti reach 110 by march 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa01e46…
04-02 11:02:49	will wti reach 120 by march 30 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x266783…
04-02 10:46:39	wti up or down on april 2 2026	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9dc75e…
04-01 12:09:01	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdaefb5…
03-31 14:01:21	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x4c51c1…
03-31 14:00:55	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd773fb…
03-31 00:47:17	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x5bef87…
03-30 14:13:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x48b58e…
03-30 14:06:33	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9e51c9…
03-30 14:05:25	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf04b90…
03-30 14:04:59	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x20d547…
03-30 14:04:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0758db…
03-30 14:03:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x1ba31b…
03-24 00:39:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3d3fcb…
03-24 00:37:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x42816e…
03-23 08:27:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc0fd7b…
03-23 08:26:51	will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc0359…
03-22 22:57:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcf5289…
03-18 16:19:07	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x6591e7…
03-16 10:36:25	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x1850b5…
03-09 18:42:51	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x09e87b…
03-09 18:42:45	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9fb487…
03-09 09:47:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa334bc…