Worst-Frigate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$496

Unrealized P&L

-$23

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved

432

Trades

663

lifetime

Volume

$3.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 11-03 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 17% -$288

Politics

9% 7% -$189

Other

1% 17% -$17

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31?	Yes		+77	$10	2¢	$2	-$8	05-19 16:06
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?	Yes		+5	$2	14¢	$1	-$1	11-03 05:57
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes		+31	$5	1¢	$0	-$5	05-16 23:31
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+17	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	07-03 05:03
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	Yes		+19	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	11-03 05:42
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	—	+16	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	11-03 05:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 1800 on june 15 2026	6	$148	237	157	+80	Yes	+$172	06-15 15:00
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26?	2	$139	100	100	+0	No	+$59	05-26 15:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28?	3	$127	148	148	+0	No	+$85	05-28 05:21
will ethereum reach 2200 in june 2026	4	$111	385	0	+385	No	-$111	06-16 05:29
ethereum above 1800 on june 8 2026	2	$94	64	64	+0	No	+$34	06-08 16:24
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 24?	2	$89	93	93	+0	Yes	+$49	05-24 01:32
ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	2	$54	39	39	+0	No	+$24	06-05 02:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	3	$54	56	56	+0	Down	+$48	05-24 23:52
Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$50	114	0	+114	No	-$50	11-03 05:41
ethereum above 1700 on june 24 2026	3	$44	59	36	+23	No	+$18	06-23 18:35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	5	$43	951	441	+510	No	-$14	05-18 18:56
ethereum up or down on june 21 2026	1	$34	87	0	+87	Down	-$34	06-20 19:18
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$30	130	0	+130	No	-$30	11-03 05:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 25?	2	$30	30	30	+0	Yes	+$10	05-24 01:32
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 28?	2	$23	63	0	+63	No	-$14	05-27 14:34
ethereum above 1800 on july 14 2026	2	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$17	07-14 14:08
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 31?	3	$22	285	0	+285	No	-$22	05-31 02:17
ethereum above 1900 on june 8 2026	2	$22	103	0	+103	No	-$22	06-05 02:23
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	3	$21	565	0	+565	No	-$21	05-18 18:56
ethereum above 1700 on june 8 2026	1	$20	59	0	+59	No	+$39	06-05 02:23
ethereum up or down on june 22 2026	1	$20	62	0	+62	Up	+$42	06-21 21:15
Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$20	36	0	+36	No	-$20	11-03 05:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	1	$20	100	0	+100	No	-$20	11-03 05:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	1	$20	141	0	+141	Yes	-$20	05-22 20:46
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 26?	2	$20	184	0	+184	No	-$20	05-25 01:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5?	2	$19	113	0	+113	No	-$19	06-02 23:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$19	67	33	+34	Down	+$5	05-19 14:28
ethereum above 1800 on july 15 2026	3	$18	50	12	+38	Yes	+$2	07-14 14:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	2	$17	53	53	+0	Yes	+$11	05-18 05:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	3	$17	15	15	+0	Up	+$11	05-17 19:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 06:02:15	Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x460657…
11-03 05:57:43	Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xf9b332…
11-03 05:56:52	Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5cf5ff…
11-03 05:56:03	Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x9ee95c…
11-03 05:55:40	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x8b24ed…
11-03 05:55:34	Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0xd4c0ae…
11-03 05:55:13	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x313c54…
11-03 05:55:10	Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x273034…
11-03 05:54:06	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xce777d…
11-03 05:53:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 10%-15%?	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0xed752e…
11-03 05:53:30	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 5%-10%?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x1d09b0…
11-03 05:53:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Senate election by 0%-5%?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6680d0…
11-03 05:52:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x55c686…
11-03 05:52:48	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xe86b47…
11-03 05:52:28	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xdec7db…
11-03 05:51:21	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x000e1f…
11-03 05:51:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x698890…
11-03 05:50:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9ca70c…
11-03 05:50:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	41	7¢	$3	0xbbc2d7…
11-03 05:49:58	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa9877a…
11-03 05:49:49	Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xce7eb2…
11-03 05:49:25	Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xed1714…
11-03 05:48:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x2b3162…
11-03 05:48:37	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xea8326…
11-03 05:47:52	Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x010b65…
11-03 05:47:37	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xde1b67…
11-03 05:46:55	Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x17fb1a…
11-03 05:46:42	Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x2444c8…
11-03 05:46:31	Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6dc0dc…
11-03 05:46:24	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc8270a…
11-03 05:46:15	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8fc617…
11-03 05:46:04	Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xd868d2…
11-03 05:45:42	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x4cd22d…
11-03 05:45:30	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5aa213…
11-03 05:45:16	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf2d740…
11-03 05:45:06	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9a8d10…
11-03 05:44:52	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3de13b…
11-03 05:44:36	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1133b5…
11-03 05:44:25	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa02f7b…
11-03 05:43:33	Will the Republican Party hold 190 or more House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x9bb4f7…
11-03 05:43:04	Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xfb3713…
11-03 05:42:37	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 8% and 10%?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x0cb919…
11-03 05:42:33	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xef2cb1…
11-03 05:42:24	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 4% and 6%?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x8efdc4…
11-03 05:42:21	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x8d9d1b…
11-03 05:42:15	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?	Yes	BUY	185	3¢	$5	0x4c7f6c…
11-03 05:41:16	Will the Republican Party hold 48 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x67afcb…
11-03 05:39:43	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3f08a5…
11-03 05:39:09	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x9180ab…
08-21 05:18:24	ethereum above 2400 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x77d584…
08-21 05:17:52	will ethereum reach 2500 on august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6e3784…
07-30 02:07:02	ethereum above 1900 on july 30 2026	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf4dc73…
07-26 22:27:00	ethereum above 1900 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x085136…
07-26 22:26:46	ethereum above 1900 on july 27 2026	No	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x7fc8c6…
07-23 18:36:09	ethereum above 1800 on july 24 2026	No	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x0fb151…
07-23 03:41:10	ethereum above 1900 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xafd4df…
07-21 05:13:21	ethereum above 2000 on july 24 2026	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x3aefef…
07-21 05:13:06	ethereum above 1900 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3bb216…
07-20 02:08:10	ethereum above 1800 on july 23 2026	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x033227…
07-20 02:07:57	ethereum above 1800 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xd0e4aa…
07-20 02:07:45	ethereum above 1800 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xaaa9c4…
07-20 02:07:39	ethereum above 1800 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xeb0c96…
07-19 03:09:19	ethereum up or down on july 19 2026	Down	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x12e7fe…
07-18 03:15:36	ethereum up or down on july 18 2026	Down	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0x2f164e…
07-14 14:09:43	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x884414…
07-14 14:09:35	ethereum above 2000 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x50d172…
07-14 14:09:28	ethereum above 1900 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe613dc…
07-14 14:09:11	ethereum above 1800 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x1aa242…
07-14 14:08:43	ethereum above 1800 on july 14 2026	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5d2c5c…
07-14 14:08:25	ethereum above 1800 on july 15 2026	Yes	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x3db79c…
07-13 21:50:19	ethereum above 1600 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x6d2dc9…
07-13 21:50:13	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xcf1918…
07-13 21:49:55	ethereum above 1700 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9c4957…
07-13 21:49:49	ethereum above 1600 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb404d9…
07-13 21:49:41	ethereum above 1600 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xd0419c…
07-13 21:49:31	ethereum above 1800 on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x07e538…
07-13 21:49:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xda28a7…
07-13 21:49:10	ethereum above 1800 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4fbd9d…
07-13 21:48:40	ethereum above 1600 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0654e5…
07-13 21:48:32	ethereum above 1700 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xfa871b…
07-12 04:19:32	ethereum above 1700 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x31853e…
07-12 04:19:28	ethereum above 1900 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x1b4a5d…
07-12 04:19:22	ethereum above 1800 on july 13 2026	No	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xbc2bcb…
07-12 04:19:08	ethereum above 1900 on july 12 2026	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x02cba2…
07-12 04:19:01	ethereum above 1800 on july 12 2026	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf199f0…
07-09 05:16:08	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x75f1d8…
07-09 05:15:59	will ethereum dip to 1500 in july 2026 446 668	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xdccf2b…
07-09 05:14:53	ethereum above 1700 on july 10 2026	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xf10c84…
07-09 05:14:44	ethereum above 1800 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xfe2e91…
07-09 05:14:34	ethereum above 1700 on july 9 2026	No	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xf7d303…
07-09 05:14:26	ethereum above 1800 on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xb1cdb6…
07-06 04:46:02	ethereum above 1900 on july 8 2026	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0x56d4a3…
07-06 04:45:53	ethereum above 1700 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x8628fd…
07-06 04:45:43	ethereum above 1700 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x3e6140…
07-06 04:45:38	ethereum above 1900 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xaf0c4d…
07-06 04:45:25	ethereum above 1700 on july 6 2026	No	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x34cc67…
07-06 04:45:20	ethereum above 1800 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xf9c984…
07-06 04:45:10	ethereum above 1900 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	82	1¢	$1	0x72c2ce…
07-03 05:04:35	ethereum above 1720 on july 3 2026 2am et	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xef7c99…
07-03 05:04:28	ethereum above 1700 on july 3 2026 2am et	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc2dda6…