Reasonable-Furnace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-08 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 100% +$0

Politics

27% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$94	94	+94	open	—	02-16 23:39
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	1	$91	91	+91	open	—	02-13 04:33
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	1	$90	90	+90	open	—	02-16 02:52
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-12 11:48
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-11 11:58
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-10 14:32
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$21	21	+21	open	—	04-07 13:08
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-05 23:19
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-03 13:22
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$20	21	+21	open	—	04-09 08:44
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-01 09:24
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-31 13:28
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-29 09:33
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-28 08:50
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-27 12:53
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-26 01:46
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-25 06:40
ethereum above 1900 on march 24	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-24 12:11
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-23 10:15
ethereum above 1900 on march 22	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-22 13:36
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-21 14:36
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-20 14:14
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-19 13:51
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-18 09:08
bitcoin above 78k on march 17	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-17 13:58
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-15 17:54
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-16 09:34
us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	2	$20	20	+20	open	—	03-03 08:49
bitcoin above 60k on march 13	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	03-13 00:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 04:59:40	bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xaba075…
07-06 13:00:19	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcfbb99…
07-05 14:26:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x276ded…
07-02 03:06:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9406c4…
06-28 12:56:44	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5ac241…
06-25 09:03:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x541040…
06-24 15:12:58	bitcoin above 66k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2aff66…
06-21 08:11:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6af86d…
06-14 09:48:58	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6bff57…
06-12 09:55:42	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x403993…
06-11 05:22:27	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13bc08…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf79ac9…
06-04 13:45:48	bitcoin above 68k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x2b52ed…
06-02 10:06:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x97dc23…
05-22 13:45:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0986c9…
05-21 10:22:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5e5f9c…
05-20 14:31:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb82e1e…
05-15 12:47:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x34154b…
05-14 10:29:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5358d…
05-13 11:57:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8aaff1…
05-11 12:54:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6563bb…
05-10 13:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc12298…
05-05 14:29:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x04cf0b…
05-04 12:38:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x89e5a4…
04-27 13:37:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x62ee8a…
04-23 12:07:40	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x97ac5e…
04-22 13:01:34	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4458b1…
04-19 14:17:12	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa7e1c4…
04-17 15:10:08	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x80fc37…
04-16 13:11:58	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6de858…
04-15 08:23:12	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc4e26e…
04-14 13:34:15	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x2f346a…
04-13 13:26:23	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x4e29c3…
04-12 11:48:19	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x32043b…
04-11 11:58:09	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x58590f…
04-10 14:32:57	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9ce5ca…
04-09 08:44:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x2d32eb…
04-07 13:08:47	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe44f52…
04-05 23:19:45	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0xee0ef0…
04-03 13:22:51	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4fb541…
04-01 09:24:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfadc3e…
03-31 13:28:17	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x52cb4e…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xff7116…
03-29 09:33:54	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf77695…
03-28 08:50:25	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd34d08…
03-27 12:53:23	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe27950…
03-26 01:46:41	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1d5fe7…
03-25 06:40:57	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xabba5a…
03-24 12:11:05	ethereum above 1900 on march 24	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5b4e4f…
03-23 10:15:05	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe77f26…
03-22 13:36:41	ethereum above 1900 on march 22	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2e37db…
03-21 14:36:11	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0ace8a…
03-20 14:14:49	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa23b92…
03-19 13:51:13	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xddf235…
03-18 09:08:15	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4da45d…
03-17 13:58:57	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6e2029…
03-16 09:34:15	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x54c51d…
03-15 17:54:15	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe076c6…
03-13 00:11:23	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xe6d7ab…
03-11 09:59:51	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9f56d2…
03-03 08:49:11	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xab6d85…
03-03 08:49:03	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfb6345…
03-01 16:03:37	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x41018b…
02-28 18:56:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xd7c4a2…
02-23 04:04:56	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9d35b0…
02-22 03:22:02	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb9c1e5…
02-21 03:36:26	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdac16e…
02-16 23:39:29	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0xd5747b…
02-16 02:52:47	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5f1cea…
02-15 12:23:13	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	3,050	0¢	$6	0x58715e…
02-14 23:03:33	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	3,050	0¢	$6	0x0e6ac7…
02-13 05:22:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$6	0xe79bfd…
02-13 04:33:29	us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x3073fa…
02-12 12:31:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0x41d4d0…