Irritating-Lipoprotein — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$57

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-17 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

66% 92% -$16

Crypto

29% 94% -$2

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	02-03 03:32
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	01-30 09:31
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 200 219	1	$141	141	0	+141	No	+$0	01-26 08:21
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 0 39	1	$140	141	0	+141	No	+$1	01-21 10:57
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 200 219	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	01-17 07:45
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 220 239	1	$140	140	0	+140	No	+$0	01-08 02:36
us strikes iran by february 14 2026	1	$131	132	0	+132	No	+$0	02-15 02:33
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	1	$131	131	0	+131	No	+$0	02-10 09:34
ethereum above 1800 on april 7	1	$128	128	0	+128	Yes	+$0	04-07 01:59
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	1	$128	128	0	+128	No	+$0	03-17 02:25
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	1	$126	126	0	+126	No	+$0	03-31 06:52
bitcoin above 70k on april 17	1	$125	125	0	+125	Yes	+$0	04-17 01:51
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	05-05 01:59
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 190 214	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	03-27 01:46
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	04-12 01:20
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 520 539	1	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	03-23 01:20
ethereum above 1700 on march 7	1	$125	125	0	+125	Yes	+$0	03-07 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	05-25 01:42
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	05-28 02:51
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$124	124	0	+124	No	+$0	05-17 02:22
ethereum above 2000 on june 5 2026	1	$122	122	0	+122	No	+$0	06-05 02:23
bitcoin above 72k on april 23	1	$120	121	0	+121	Yes	+$0	04-23 01:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	04-30 09:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-09 08:15
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-30 01:47
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	1	$94	94	0	+94	No	+$0	03-13 02:35
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 215 239	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	03-13 02:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	09-02 12:46
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-23 08:22
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	09-02 12:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 09:07:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x254c7c…
10-17 09:03:38	atp daniel basilas 2026 10 17	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xa3dbf6…
09-02 12:54:01	Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x74eef9…
09-02 12:51:40	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x66175c…
09-02 12:46:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe259a4…
08-29 08:56:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x36f5f9…
07-23 08:22:15	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x94dc65…
06-12 01:35:06	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x690992…
06-12 01:34:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2af342…
06-12 01:34:36	will ethereum reach 2100 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4c1bd2…
06-12 01:34:24	ethereum above 1400 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe54821…
06-12 01:34:09	Macron out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe5360a…
06-12 01:33:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd46d66…
06-12 01:33:46	will wti dip to 20 in june 2026 685 856 769	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x528325…
06-12 01:33:39	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0d85b1…
06-05 02:23:18	ethereum above 2000 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xf869da…
05-30 01:47:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xd0da98…
05-30 01:47:29	Netanyahu out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,200	0¢	$4	0xaf4539…
05-28 02:51:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x168c51…
05-25 01:42:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0x160310…
05-17 02:22:59	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	124	100¢	$124	0xf00d3d…
05-09 08:15:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x261110…
05-09 08:15:30	Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.50–3.75 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x619b9f…
05-09 08:15:01	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7b45db…
05-09 08:14:47	Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc0912e…
05-05 01:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xf22ea3…
04-30 09:15:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xb25440…
04-23 01:19:10	bitcoin above 72k on april 23	Yes	BUY	121	100¢	$120	0xee3a9a…
04-23 01:18:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc2a833…
04-23 01:18:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4ddb37…
04-23 01:18:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 23	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5c8699…
04-23 01:15:02	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,210	0¢	$4	0xbd479b…
04-17 01:51:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xfa12c5…
04-17 01:51:34	will meta ai assistant glasses be 1 free app in the us apple app store on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x19c4ce…
04-17 01:51:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0e60fc…
04-12 01:37:35	highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 11c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8d7fe1…
04-12 01:37:19	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeca8f7…
04-12 01:20:17	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 360 379	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x598a84…
04-07 01:59:49	ethereum above 1800 on april 7	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x139640…
03-31 06:52:39	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	No	BUY	126	100¢	$126	0x17ce39…
03-27 01:46:57	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 190 214	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xdffe0c…
03-23 01:20:01	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 520 539	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xa16624…
03-23 01:19:53	will mistral have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2674f5…
03-23 01:19:47	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xca5a53…
03-23 01:18:49	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 82000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x1b8a25…
03-17 02:25:35	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 360 379	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x66691c…
03-17 02:25:25	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2a736b…
03-17 02:25:17	elon musk of tweets march 2026 720 759	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7d016f…
03-17 02:25:01	will temu shop like a billionaire be 2 free app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4b8454…
03-13 02:35:39	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x26d31f…
03-13 02:35:31	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 215 239	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x066943…
03-07 03:11:33	ethereum above 1700 on march 7	Yes	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0x1e5494…
02-15 02:33:23	us strikes iran by february 14 2026	No	BUY	132	100¢	$131	0x7b2541…
02-10 09:34:57	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 80 99	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x17e330…
02-06 02:55:25	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xc19926…
02-03 03:32:00	elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 0 39	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x2c1d6a…
01-30 09:31:12	will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0xa2cecf…
01-26 08:21:07	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 200 219	No	BUY	141	100¢	$141	0x4b074b…
01-21 10:57:54	elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 0 39	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0xe60589…
01-17 07:45:20	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 200 219	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x67a986…
01-08 02:36:33	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 220 239	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x59e4bc…