Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.84K

Unrealized P&L

-$65

Hit rate

60.9%

Resolved

177

Trades

659

lifetime

Volume

$103.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$157

Open exposure

$244

1 position

First seen

2026-03-11

last 11-04 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

40% 67% +$5,461

Crypto

30% 76% -$473

Sports

19% 46% +$3

Politics

11% 0% -$1,148

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET	Up	—	+303	$309	80¢	$244	-$65	11-06 22:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	59	$20.9K	27,492	16,740	+10,752	Yes	-$134	11-01 15:41
Ravens vs. Bills	14	$10.4K	5,533	5,533	+0	Bills	+$266	11-01 21:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	23	$7.6K	4,931	4,931	+0	No	+$1,659	10-30 15:02
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	9	$6.2K	4,706	4,706	+0	open	—	10-28 17:44
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	14	$4.5K	4,962	4,962	+0	Yes	+$2,621	10-30 16:03
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	10	$3.4K	2,243	2,243	+0	Yes	+$992	10-30 15:54
Spread: Bills (-3.5)	5	$3.1K	1,953	1,953	+0	Bills	+$568	11-01 20:26
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	10	$2.2K	1,340	1,340	+0	Yes	-$40	11-01 11:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$2.0K	1,435	1,435	+0	Yes	-$14	10-31 22:29
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	5	$1.7K	1,088	1,088	+0	Yes	+$364	10-30 14:40
1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	14	$1.4K	1,656	1,132	+524	No	-$302	11-01 19:18
Chiefs vs. Broncos	2	$1.4K	1,517	1,517	+0	Broncos	-$546	11-02 00:25
Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)	3	$1.3K	1,515	1,515	+0	Broncos	-$772	11-02 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1PM ET	7	$1.1K	550	550	+0	Down	+$32	10-30 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	34	$970	500	500	+0	Down	+$20	10-30 18:59
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	8	$957	3,667	3,667	+0	No	-$343	10-28 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	12	$940	500	500	+0	Down	+$50	10-30 18:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$888	758	758	+0	open	—	10-27 21:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 22:35 UTC	4	$875	455	455	+0	Up	+$25	08-18 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 23:05 UTC	7	$862	862	553	+308	Down	-$30	08-18 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 06:00 UTC	5	$805	517	517	+0	Down	+$5	08-19 06:05
Raiders vs. Jets	5	$776	924	924	+0	Raiders	-$103	11-01 19:02
Spread: Grizzlies (-8.5)	3	$719	510	510	+0	Grizzlies	+$230	11-01 01:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	17	$700	400	400	+0	Down	+$92	11-04 11:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:45 UTC	3	$669	373	373	+0	Up	+$69	08-19 12:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-18 22:45 UTC	5	$656	360	360	+0	Down	+$56	08-18 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 07:25 UTC	12	$643	347	347	+0	Up	+$43	08-19 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:40 UTC	2	$601	308	308	+0	Up	+$9	08-19 12:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:35 UTC	2	$567	293	293	+0	Up	+$17	08-19 12:39
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	6	$560	609	609	+0	Steelers	-$57	11-01 18:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 22:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET	Up	SELL	188	49¢	$91	0x2b24af…
11-06 22:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	491	81¢	$400	0x5d52d4…
11-04 13:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x155254…
11-04 13:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe88dff…
11-04 13:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xbb5e8c…
11-04 13:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0xafab71…
11-04 13:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x5d119b…
11-04 13:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x809f0c…
11-04 13:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x53be72…
11-04 13:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	304	78¢	$237	0xbb39ad…
11-04 12:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0xd704cb…
11-04 12:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x98b122…
11-04 12:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0xd584d1…
11-04 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdfb819…
11-04 11:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	378	99¢	$374	0x4388a7…
11-04 11:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x507d7d…
11-04 11:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4e89db…
11-04 11:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x0f81d2…
11-04 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf74ff6…
11-04 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	55	76¢	$42	0xf236d0…
11-04 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xd55068…
11-04 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	56	76¢	$43	0x7bfbc7…
11-04 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x5c619b…
11-04 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	56	76¢	$43	0x461848…
11-04 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x3808b1…
11-04 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	56	76¢	$43	0x166515…
11-04 11:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	56	76¢	$43	0x00b79a…
11-04 11:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x4dee1a…
11-04 11:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x4c3596…
11-04 11:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x49e2d4…
11-02 18:31:28	Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	3,644	1¢	$33	0x5d3ec4…
11-02 18:31:15	Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	5,207	1¢	$36	0x84c44a…
11-02 00:25:15	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	SELL	1,517	27¢	$410	0xfe5f38…
11-02 00:25:01	Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)	Chiefs	SELL	1,515	17¢	$257	0x7a2ee5…
11-01 23:45:06	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Senate election by 25% or more?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xdc95b2…
11-01 23:43:15	Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)	Chiefs	BUY	502	88¢	$442	0x44fbdd…
11-01 23:05:27	Spread: Chiefs (-1.5)	Chiefs	BUY	1,013	58¢	$587	0x347fee…
11-01 23:04:49	Chiefs vs. Broncos	Chiefs	BUY	1,517	63¢	$956	0xda45f0…
11-01 21:09:57	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	SELL	2,757	100¢	$2,754	0x45b472…
11-01 21:07:52	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0xf22e74…
11-01 21:07:51	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x74628f…
11-01 21:07:34	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	SELL	510	100¢	$510	0xb27cca…
11-01 20:41:18	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	413	12¢	$50	0xee6d46…
11-01 20:33:45	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	300	97¢	$290	0x91780e…
11-01 20:33:45	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x880236…
11-01 20:33:45	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x591310…
11-01 20:33:45	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	572	97¢	$553	0x3552a6…
11-01 20:33:43	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	189	97¢	$183	0xe94617…
11-01 20:30:27	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	2,502	98¢	$2,451	0x9dd56e…
11-01 20:26:15	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	SELL	1,953	94¢	$1,836	0x19903a…
11-01 20:25:27	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	SELL	1,506	97¢	$1,462	0xdf54ea…
11-01 20:21:39	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	135	10¢	$13	0xaa8079…
11-01 20:20:58	1win FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	278	10¢	$28	0x9c494c…
11-01 19:18:31	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	524	35¢	$183	0x758cfc…
11-01 19:02:30	Ravens vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	1,506	85¢	$1,280	0x94be56…
11-01 19:02:04	Raiders vs. Jets	Raiders	SELL	507	36¢	$183	0x6c36ff…
11-01 18:56:01	Raiders vs. Jets	Raiders	BUY	507	48¢	$244	0x7a04b4…
11-01 18:50:03	Raiders vs. Jets	Raiders	SELL	417	37¢	$154	0x3502a5…
11-01 18:49:49	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	BUY	505	67¢	$338	0x7e6bea…
11-01 18:37:33	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	162	52¢	$84	0x69b945…
11-01 18:37:27	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0xcc4f51…
11-01 18:37:16	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	BUY	1,032	69¢	$712	0x575217…
11-01 18:37:07	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	150	52¢	$78	0x09b680…
11-01 18:35:43	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	26	52¢	$14	0x367e47…
11-01 18:35:18	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x699bd0…
11-01 18:34:10	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Browns	SELL	203	24¢	$49	0xba4cf1…
11-01 18:33:16	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xfab40d…
11-01 18:25:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	96	0¢	$0	0xbdf017…
11-01 18:25:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	284	0¢	$1	0x77f2c2…
11-01 18:25:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x4eb805…
11-01 18:25:57	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x332bd1…
11-01 18:25:55	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x310ce1…
11-01 18:25:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	790	0¢	$4	0xcd2ab6…
11-01 18:16:48	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	BUY	203	58¢	$117	0x2296bf…
11-01 17:55:19	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0xf90188…
11-01 17:55:01	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	184	1¢	$1	0xee3b54…
11-01 17:35:04	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Browns	BUY	203	50¢	$102	0x812e74…
11-01 17:34:42	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Steelers	SELL	203	50¢	$101	0x75c112…
11-01 17:34:18	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Steelers	BUY	203	51¢	$104	0x362c6d…
11-01 17:33:54	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Steelers	SELL	203	50¢	$101	0x6dd3e7…
11-01 17:33:45	Spread: Jets (-1.5)	Jets	SELL	203	50¢	$101	0xde936a…
11-01 17:32:28	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x5b8e9c…
11-01 17:31:37	Spread: Steelers (-3.5)	Steelers	BUY	203	51¢	$104	0x804340…
11-01 17:30:54	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdb9771…
11-01 17:30:52	Raiders vs. Jets	Raiders	BUY	203	47¢	$96	0x745354…
11-01 17:30:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x20aa42…
11-01 17:05:25	Spread: Jets (-1.5)	Jets	BUY	203	51¢	$104	0xd8ceac…
11-01 17:04:22	Raiders vs. Jets	Raiders	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x70628a…
11-01 17:04:01	Ravens vs. Bills	Ravens	SELL	265	38¢	$101	0xeb55dc…
11-01 17:03:28	Spread: Bills (-3.5)	Bills	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0x613634…
11-01 17:03:21	Ravens vs. Bills	Ravens	BUY	265	39¢	$103	0x168b78…
11-01 16:49:34	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd1209f…
11-01 16:39:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x01dead…
11-01 16:24:39	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x01a091…
11-01 15:58:58	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	513	65¢	$333	0x066eb1…
11-01 15:57:43	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	367	36¢	$134	0x773a1b…
11-01 15:41:54	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,752	0¢	$11	0xd0ea5d…
11-01 15:38:46	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0xbaec30…
11-01 15:37:25	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	150	54¢	$81	0x6d9ace…
11-01 15:33:34	1win FDV above $70M one day after launch?	No	SELL	52	55¢	$28	0x766f1e…