Agile-Corporal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$241

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,785

lifetime

Volume

$34.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$39

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-12 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% — —

Politics

33% 100% +$241

Sports

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-650	$-40	6¢	$-36	+$4	06-12 08:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes		-32	$-4	11¢	$-3	+$1	06-12 08:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on march 16 2026 11c	2	$1.6K	788	788	+0	open	—	03-16 12:57
will trumps greenland tariffs go into effect for finland by feburary 1	2	$1.2K	634	634	+0	open	—	01-22 13:05
highest temperature in london on march 9 2026 14c	2	$903	504	504	+0	open	—	03-09 14:33
will trump say mad this week april 5	3	$861	888	0	+888	open	—	03-31 22:29
Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	13	$637	656	656	+0	open	—	04-29 13:33
highest temperature in london on march 23 2026 16c	13	$607	756	0	+756	open	—	03-23 16:00
highest temperature in london on february 5 2026 8c	17	$591	389	389	+0	open	—	02-05 21:40
will trump say ass or shit this week march 29	3	$520	561	0	+561	open	—	03-26 16:02
will trump dance during national agriculture day event	4	$416	548	0	+548	open	—	03-27 17:21
highest temperature in london on april 3 2026 16c	3	$407	261	258	+3	open	—	04-03 13:52
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 8 be between 2100000 and 2300000	4	$376	259	259	+0	open	—	02-09 13:13
will trump say military during the easter lunch on wednesday	7	$320	339	0	+339	open	—	04-01 21:53
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 15 be greater than 2300000	38	$288	152	152	+0	open	—	02-17 14:07
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 14 be greater than 1900000	9	$261	137	137	+0	open	—	02-17 14:08
highest temperature in london on february 19 2026 6c	5	$254	154	154	+0	open	—	02-19 12:58
Will the US strike Syria next?	4	$241	923	923	+0	open	—	02-06 08:04
will trump dance during white house easter egg roll on april 6	3	$227	265	128	+137	open	—	04-06 15:22
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$223	123	123	+0	open	—	04-03 20:23
highest temperature in london on february 11 2026 12c	5	$219	117	116	+0	open	—	02-11 21:22
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$216	116	116	+0	open	—	02-01 13:43
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 15c	7	$216	309	0	+309	open	—	04-04 12:38
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 18 be between 2000000 and 2200000	2	$215	156	156	+0	open	—	02-18 14:51
highest temperature in london on march 18 2026 18c	1	$210	219	0	+219	open	—	03-18 14:23
highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 12c	3	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	03-07 12:34
will trump say war during the easter lunch on wednesday	2	$200	209	0	+209	open	—	04-01 21:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$200	440	0	+440	Yes	+$240	01-30 10:00
will trump dance during tpusa event on april 17	1	$200	212	0	+212	open	—	04-17 21:54
highest temperature in london on march 30 2026 11c	2	$200	217	0	+217	open	—	03-30 12:14
machado wears a dress or skirt during next trump meeting	4	$200	276	0	+276	open	—	01-15 17:15
will the total number of tsa passengers for february 4 be between 1700000 and 1900000	2	$197	204	204	+0	open	—	02-04 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 08:04:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	42¢	$19	0xd88c72…
06-12 08:04:12	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	650	6¢	$40	0xa679e0…
06-12 08:03:58	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	13¢	$4	0x414788…
05-06 17:08:42	Will Trump say "Wolf" in May?	Yes	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xaab427…
05-06 17:00:14	Will Trump or Melania say "Barron" or "Genius" at the Military Mothers event?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x17efb3…
05-01 21:42:12	Will Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfbb223…
05-01 21:42:12	Will Trump say "Unaffordable Care Act" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf46153…
05-01 21:42:12	Will Trump say "Obamacare" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf13ac3…
05-01 21:42:12	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc08c31…
05-01 21:42:12	Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaa765b…
05-01 21:42:12	Will Trump say "Disney" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7433b2…
05-01 21:42:12	Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x60f359…
05-01 21:42:12	Will Trump say "Cookie" or "Potato" at The Villages on May 1?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2e5653…
05-01 21:30:28	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x64a396…
05-01 21:26:50	Will Trump say "Tiger" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x64bc9a…
05-01 21:11:42	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3e5325…
05-01 21:11:42	Will Trump say "Cat" in May?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1ae970…
05-01 20:55:52	Will Trump say "Jerome Too Late" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf1db0a…
05-01 20:44:12	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x7306a2…
05-01 20:35:42	Will Trump say "Fat" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x68d321…
05-01 20:35:18	Will Trump say "Percent" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x95d091…
05-01 20:34:06	Will Trump say "Fish" in May?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xaec5ee…
05-01 20:34:06	Will Trump say "Fish" in May?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x09a8dc…
05-01 20:30:06	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	SELL	45	15¢	$6	0x23e3a4…
05-01 20:30:00	Will Trump say "Lion" in May?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xda2f9b…
05-01 20:30:00	Will Trump say "Lion" in May?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xb6b3f1…
05-01 20:30:00	Will Trump say "Bear" in May?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x90046c…
05-01 20:30:00	Will Trump say "Shark" in May?	Yes	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x88bdcc…
05-01 20:30:00	Will Trump say "Shark" in May?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x765f21…
05-01 20:30:00	Will Trump say "Bear" in May?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x28add5…
05-01 20:17:50	Will Trump say "Tax" 15+ times at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x40dae3…
05-01 20:17:08	Will Trump say "Lunatic" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf77fe6…
05-01 20:12:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" in May?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x83c302…
05-01 20:12:12	Will Trump say "Six Seven" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	45	45¢	$20	0x4bf895…
05-01 20:12:06	Will Trump say "No No No" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x8ce35f…
05-01 20:09:42	Will Donald Trump dance on May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xa059c3…
04-29 18:45:24	Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during April press conference?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x80fda2…
04-29 13:33:44	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	615	1¢	$4	0x677bde…
04-29 12:42:42	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	39	93¢	$36	0x85a17f…
04-29 12:24:12	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xc0a898…
04-29 12:24:02	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0712d3…
04-29 12:04:42	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb73eda…
04-29 12:04:32	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x194364…
04-29 11:45:50	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0xb61423…
04-29 11:45:40	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0x1de9b9…
04-29 11:42:30	Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	129	0¢	$0	0x9cb31f…
04-29 11:36:24	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	SELL	41	2¢	$1	0xfb4596…
04-29 11:35:58	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x35b501…
04-29 11:35:54	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xb5c0b2…
04-29 11:35:52	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x434f56…
04-29 11:34:36	Will Keir Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x736754…
04-29 11:34:32	Will Keir Starmer say "Tolerance" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x0ca806…
04-29 11:34:24	Will Keir Starmer say "Tolerance" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x0765d3…
04-29 11:34:22	Will Keir Starmer say "Tolerance" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x485bfd…
04-29 11:34:18	Will Keir Starmer say "Mental Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x3e8768…
04-29 11:34:16	Will Keir Starmer say "Apologize" or "Apology" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xb6b0f4…
04-29 11:34:16	Will Keir Starmer say "Tolerance" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x71c1bc…
04-29 11:34:14	Will Keir Starmer say "Deeply Concerning" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xd80147…
04-29 11:34:14	Will Keir Starmer say "Macroeconomy" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x6cecef…
04-29 11:34:12	Will Keir Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0xe92f5c…
04-29 11:34:10	Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x58ece5…
04-29 11:34:04	Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x5baf43…
04-29 11:26:22	Will Keir Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xffba1f…
04-29 11:17:12	Will Keir Starmer say "Renewable" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x953838…
04-29 11:13:26	Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	129	31¢	$40	0x3173cb…
04-29 11:12:56	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xbc3fd2…
04-29 11:10:52	Will Keir Starmer say "U-Turn" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x524bc4…
04-29 11:06:18	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xde921a…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Economy" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	61	65¢	$40	0xb52185…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Peace in the Middle East" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x862db1…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Gas" or "Gallon" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0x7d6314…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Death to America" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x727c45…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Impeach" or "Impeached" or "Impeachment" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x6fedda…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Insult" or "Insulting" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x6831cf…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Pete" or "Hegseth" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x5b1bb4…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Ukraine" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x580b81…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "JD" or "Vance" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0x560c2b…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Palestine" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	48	83¢	$40	0x437cea…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x34fc29…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Commander-in-Chief" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	48	84¢	$40	0x3097d9…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Diplomatic" or "Diplomacy" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x2aa78b…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Successful" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x1fac6d…
04-27 17:28:50	Will Leavitt say "Military operation" during the next White House press briefing?	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0x16e23b…
04-27 17:25:10	Will Leavitt say "FED" or "Chair" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x5fde07…
04-27 17:22:52	Will Leavitt say "President" 66+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xfa625d…
04-27 17:16:20	Will Leavitt say "Despicable" or "Disgusting" during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xd8d3b3…
04-27 17:16:08	Will Leavitt say "Democrat" 5+ times during the next White House press briefing?	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x30d36f…
04-23 22:00:06	will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xe8af09…
04-23 20:18:46	will trump say veteran during healthcare event	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0xe80284…
04-23 20:18:46	will trump say autism during healthcare event	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xcc33bc…
04-23 20:18:46	will trump say insurance during healthcare event	No	BUY	42	94¢	$40	0xc3caa2…
04-23 20:18:46	will trump say maha during healthcare event	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xb19a1b…
04-23 20:18:46	will trump say obamacare during healthcare event	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0x6e59d1…
04-23 20:18:46	will trump say eu or european union during healthcare event	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x138824…
04-23 20:18:46	will trump say no no no during healthcare event	No	BUY	43	94¢	$40	0x0e12c0…
04-23 20:18:46	will trump say ozempic or fat shot during healthcare event	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x0c2d53…
04-23 20:18:44	will trump say go ahead 3 times during healthcare event	No	BUY	43	92¢	$40	0xd661f8…
04-23 20:08:06	will trump say somali or somalia or somalian during healthcare event	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8a35a0…
04-23 20:03:16	will trump say nuclear during healthcare event	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x31b8cb…
04-23 20:03:04	will trump say somali or somalia or somalian during healthcare event	Yes	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0xd46e32…