Complex-Grandson — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

1,002

Trades

1,254

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-17 05:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 127 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 83% -$15

Other

18% 97% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	9	$144	159	0	+159	Up	+$15	05-15 07:26
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$100	111	0	+111	Down	+$11	05-18 00:07
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	05-14 14:03
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$100	103	0	+103	Down	+$3	05-15 07:32
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$100	103	0	+103	Down	+$3	05-14 23:47
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	7	$100	103	0	+103	Up	-$100	05-18 00:13
BNB Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$100	106	0	+106	Down	+$6	05-17 14:16
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$100	105	0	+105	Down	+$5	05-15 03:33
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	6	$100	104	0	+104	Up	+$4	05-15 02:52
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$100	104	0	+104	Down	+$4	05-15 16:47
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	7	$100	104	0	+104	Down	+$4	05-15 00:42
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	2	$100	104	0	+104	Down	+$4	05-15 01:52
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	5	$100	108	0	+108	Up	+$8	05-14 17:06
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	10	$100	110	0	+110	Up	+$10	05-16 15:31
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	16	$100	114	0	+114	Up	+$14	05-15 14:04
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$100	109	0	+109	Up	+$9	05-15 13:41
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$100	104	0	+104	Down	+$4	05-15 01:31
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$59	66	0	+66	Up	+$7	05-15 05:43
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$38	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	05-15 07:22
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	2	$30	31	0	+31	Down	+$1	05-15 01:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 15:00 UTC	4	$25	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	06-08 15:12
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-15 08:17
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-15 07:12
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-15 03:12
BNB Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$24	25	0	+25	Up	+$1	05-15 01:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 12:45 UTC	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	06-05 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 14:45 UTC	2	$24	15	15	+0	Up	+$5	06-08 14:58
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$24	25	0	+25	Down	+$1	05-15 05:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 18:00 UTC	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	06-06 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-05 01:15 UTC	2	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	06-05 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 05:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:55 UTC	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x301d79…
10-17 02:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x618aa4…
10-17 01:18:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x26dd71…
10-17 00:37:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0xf11c8c…
10-17 00:12:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x6c2db8…
10-16 11:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xae6fe3…
10-16 02:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x357d4b…
10-15 19:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x86075e…
10-15 18:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x9caace…
10-15 06:57:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x78b64b…
10-15 04:53:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xdbf293…
10-14 08:17:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0x850636…
10-14 06:57:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 06:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x180a50…
10-14 05:37:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0xe91a69…
10-14 02:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0xf860b4…
10-13 21:08:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xe48a5b…
10-13 06:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xcff80b…
10-12 11:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xe2c75a…
10-12 09:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	59¢	$13	0xa44ed4…
10-11 22:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x2de086…
10-11 21:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xd48a7f…
10-11 14:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x0d1c68…
10-11 14:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	27	48¢	$13	0x6533eb…
10-10 23:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xba3bc5…
10-10 20:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x133a3d…
10-10 14:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x8212ad…
10-10 12:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x32ce6f…
10-10 11:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x6cce61…
10-10 10:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x734e21…
10-09 22:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x6702ac…
10-09 21:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x903c85…
10-09 21:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xa165e3…
10-09 13:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x146051…
10-09 12:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0x423330…
10-09 08:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x054068…
10-09 04:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x9ce618…
10-09 00:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x7de838…
10-08 21:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x97e8a5…
10-08 20:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xcfff91…
10-08 13:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xe7613c…
10-08 10:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x4bf171…
10-08 09:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x698e24…
10-08 03:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x13ce5f…
10-07 15:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xa43707…
10-07 10:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0x15c14f…
10-06 23:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0xf07752…
10-06 15:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0xc4c238…
10-05 15:22:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x40f09b…
10-05 12:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0xcf8e73…
10-05 02:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x640eb7…
10-05 00:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x4d93a7…
10-04 23:18:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x3398cb…
10-04 17:57:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x65c033…
10-04 15:02:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	74¢	$13	0x155c37…
10-04 03:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0x4e1579…
10-03 22:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0xb80544…
10-03 09:57:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-03 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xfc4fa5…
10-03 07:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0x04f77c…
10-02 22:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x12db6e…
10-02 10:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0xd3bf69…
10-02 08:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	73¢	$13	0x550fc3…
10-02 06:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x4d1aea…
10-02 06:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0x36c027…
10-01 23:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x4e67ed…
10-01 23:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x3e8a10…
10-01 18:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xd9d1a8…
10-01 18:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xb57aaf…
10-01 01:17:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0xa13bca…
10-01 01:02:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x58f9ec…
09-30 20:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x002d0b…
09-30 19:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x3bf760…
09-30 17:47:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x5e3e1c…
09-30 13:28:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x7d1d63…
09-30 10:37:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xc1b98c…
09-30 08:07:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0x771525…
09-30 02:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x5693fe…
09-29 11:03:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x4de285…
09-29 10:48:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	69¢	$12	0x7b1430…
09-29 10:43:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xb1fb1d…
09-29 10:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x32647a…
09-28 22:52:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	16	73¢	$12	0xaaf101…
09-28 21:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0x0c35cf…
09-28 17:02:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x22dbff…
09-27 22:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xed763b…
09-27 10:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf7aff2…
09-27 10:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xdf2318…
09-27 06:43:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xbb6f21…
09-27 06:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x15c8d8…
09-26 21:47:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xd19545…
09-26 19:27:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7a386a…
09-26 18:02:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6a1246…
09-26 16:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x58c22d…
09-26 13:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x4b2af3…
09-26 12:52:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc6709e…
09-26 08:17:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x2ac607…
09-26 06:17:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd3eda0…
09-25 20:22:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd31a16…
09-25 18:17:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x0f1682…
09-25 11:37:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xf61b32…
09-24 22:52:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xa23360…