Helpful-Herb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

130

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$38

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 46 days

Categories

Other

58% 99% +$1

Politics

27% 89% +$2

Crypto

12% 100% +$1

Tech

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+62	$45	60¢	$38	-$7	10-19 19:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	2	$92	46	46	+0	Yes	+$0	08-13 00:27
Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-31 20:45
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$49	49	0	+49	Yes	+$0	08-05 01:14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$48	48	0	+48	Yes	+$0	09-15 23:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	09-14 15:36
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	2	$48	24	24	+0	No	+$0	10-05 08:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-13 11:16
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	1	$46	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-13 01:08
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$45	46	0	+46	No	+$0	08-15 16:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	08-14 16:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$45	62	0	+62	open	—	10-19 19:15
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$45	45	0	+45	No	+$0	08-17 06:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$44	44	0	+44	No	+$0	08-22 01:22
Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$44	45	0	+45	Yes	+$1	08-20 18:58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	09-21 19:58
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	10-29 09:32
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$32	32	0	+32	Yes	+$0	10-03 01:09
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	07-29 22:57
googl above 300 on march 31 2026	1	$27	27	0	+27	No	+$0	03-31 02:47
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	05-15 10:42
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-30 00:00
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$17	17	0	+17	Yes	+$0	05-26 06:00
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-31 14:53
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	02-24 20:24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	08-27 11:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	06-28 15:57
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-29 07:26
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-29 18:18
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$0	10-01 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:32:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x407a25…
10-28 21:31:22	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$17	0x3f6052…
10-24 01:04:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	121	0¢	$0	0xc6c4a3…
10-24 01:04:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x329af4…
10-19 19:15:17	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	62	72¢	$45	0x68e8ef…
10-17 12:38:45	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x5d0c08…
10-09 06:34:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0x386911…
10-05 08:20:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x98d942…
10-03 01:09:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x652691…
10-01 04:05:47	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xf356ec…
09-27 08:59:53	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x86d12f…
09-26 05:00:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd429ab…
09-25 16:35:14	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x53878f…
09-25 08:09:47	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x52b46e…
09-22 22:38:22	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbfd525…
09-21 19:58:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x7b8730…
09-18 23:10:40	Will Solana reach $200 in September?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3ba76f…
09-15 23:31:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x7e5034…
09-14 15:36:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xf1a5ea…
09-12 09:54:01	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5760cd…
09-07 12:47:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x63aca7…
09-04 14:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0xf095bf…
08-31 20:45:48	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x9ffa5d…
08-27 18:38:54	Will Z.ai be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa9082e…
08-27 11:04:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x518e1f…
08-22 01:22:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x347b92…
08-21 05:52:16	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x891db7…
08-20 18:58:09	Aligned FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0x0d4185…
08-20 03:24:01	will xagusd dip to 46 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xddde7d…
08-19 14:20:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	246	0¢	$1	0x9c9846…
08-19 14:10:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x29221a…
08-18 15:21:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xc769ea…
08-17 06:06:10	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xbdd1fa…
08-16 06:18:21	Will Baidu be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5d27a7…
08-15 16:22:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	46	99¢	$45	0x0548b5…
08-15 11:59:19	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	166	0¢	$1	0x163ec7…
08-15 01:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0xf8a653…
08-15 00:50:00	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	0¢	$0	0x0d5f06…
08-14 16:48:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xfd5f1f…
08-14 16:15:34	will nvda dip to 152 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xa9d3bb…
08-13 11:16:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	46	99¢	$46	0xc9e51a…
08-13 01:08:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x439bb5…
08-13 00:27:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x867e33…
08-09 22:06:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x2de163…
08-06 15:28:33	will wti dip to 50 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x472c23…
08-05 20:48:03	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4d938…
08-05 01:14:27	Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xf57bc9…
08-04 15:56:00	will ethereum dip to 1100 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x22a732…
07-31 13:43:24	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x20f7fd…
07-29 22:57:03	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xd29a46…
07-29 21:09:03	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x92bb51…
07-28 22:14:02	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0xc035e2…
07-28 18:34:26	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc40251…
07-28 03:25:58	will spy reach 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x271d64…
07-27 02:08:57	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf0262e…
07-26 10:04:12	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x17112c…
07-26 05:30:21	will bitcoin reach 80k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x91d9d9…
07-25 17:35:07	will wti dip to 55 in july 2026 444	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8b8e9d…
07-25 05:03:49	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x811cf4…
07-23 05:15:19	will xauusd dip to 3600 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd08c44…
07-23 04:39:45	will ethereum dip to 1100 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x088148…
07-17 13:12:06	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa13b6b…
07-05 06:24:55	will ethereum dip to 800 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x7c6c12…
07-02 07:57:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1db73d…
06-30 00:00:01	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5dd8bf…
06-29 11:03:44	will openais valuation hit high 1pt25t by june 30	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0bf2c7…
06-28 15:57:34	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xdaa8bd…
06-27 22:44:22	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0bc22a…
06-27 20:54:50	will openais valuation hit low 700b by june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x24ffde…
05-31 14:53:36	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xd27fbe…
05-29 18:18:59	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf42a5b…
05-28 02:23:49	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa25d91…
05-26 06:00:10	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x105cf8…
05-23 00:25:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7c4c07…
05-19 15:34:03	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0945c5…
05-15 10:42:43	Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xabe141…
05-10 07:40:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6b0dc…
05-10 00:22:37	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xab5864…
05-09 08:43:57	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ecfbe…
05-08 16:24:51	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb78e11…
05-08 03:33:24	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa9734d…
05-07 19:24:55	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb5009d…
05-06 10:59:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe311da…
05-05 21:38:32	Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa88892…
05-05 11:39:18	Will Solana dip to $10 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5a2869…
05-05 10:50:50	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x888849…
04-29 07:26:20	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc8c056…
04-27 05:17:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xc754b0…
04-24 15:27:44	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x711a62…
04-23 15:52:14	Will Solana reach $120 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x83b221…
04-23 03:24:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcf14cf…
04-20 06:52:38	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa4fa43…
04-19 21:33:36	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x764a64…
04-19 02:57:10	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xaef740…
04-19 02:06:28	Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x18c844…
04-18 10:26:26	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf49225…
04-17 19:28:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x12ef5c…
04-17 05:09:36	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x64aeac…
04-16 15:00:04	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xec3885…
04-15 13:16:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5be8ed…