Dangerous-Rule — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.40K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.5%

Resolved

2,744

Trades

5,234

lifetime

Volume

$53.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-30 19:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 51% +$1,149

Other

32% 27% -$2,713

Politics

2% 27% -$533

Sports

1% 25% -$304

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16 game1	13	$3.2K	2,675	2,675	+0	FURIA	+$1,009	02-16 18:20
cs2 ill bbp 2026 02 16	4	$3.0K	1,802	1,802	+0	Bebop	+$206	02-16 21:38
cs2 msc bw 2026 02 16	34	$2.8K	3,922	2,111	+1,811	Bushido Wildcats	-$1,334	02-16 23:08
cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16	9	$1.6K	3,269	388	+2,881	Team Falcons	-$1,207	02-16 19:44
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$1.6K	786	786	+0	Yes	-$1	01-27 17:54
cs2 furia fal2 2026 02 16 game2	20	$925	4,400	179	+4,221	Team Falcons	-$900	02-16 19:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:35 UTC	16	$692	910	890	+20	Down	+$412	09-14 13:38
will usd reach 1pt5m iranian rials by january 31	2	$658	378	378	+0	Yes	+$98	01-29 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	8	$648	774	774	+0	Up	+$8	10-02 12:54
cs2 all pha 2026 02 17	11	$612	803	403	+400	Alliance	+$11	02-17 11:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-11 12:30 UTC	9	$578	1,667	667	+1,000	Up	+$418	09-11 12:34
will israel or the us target tehran 812	2	$459	320	320	+0	Yes	+$59	02-05 10:33
nothing ever happens january 581	5	$431	736	736	+0	No	-$9	01-19 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	13	$325	2,178	0	+2,178	Up	+$1,853	10-30 01:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 14:45 UTC	13	$315	765	0	+765	Up	-$127	09-28 14:48
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$300	1,111	0	+1,111	Max Holloway	-$300	07-11 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-14 13:40 UTC	13	$281	988	988	+0	Up	-$19	09-14 13:44
sea fio tor 2026 02 07 total 3pt5	7	$262	200	200	+0	Over	+$31	02-07 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:40 UTC	10	$240	660	0	+660	Down	+$25	09-30 14:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 13:30 UTC	21	$233	782	551	+232	Down	-$75	09-16 13:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 13:35 UTC	5	$230	710	0	+710	Down	-$195	09-16 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	9	$225	1,423	0	+1,423	Down	-$225	10-30 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	9	$225	2,036	0	+2,036	Down	-$225	10-09 13:38
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$224	373	0	+373	No	-$224	01-15 00:49
will seguro win all of portugals districts	5	$207	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	-$197	02-08 21:38
arg riv tig 2026 02 07 total 3pt5	4	$205	131	131	+0	Over	+$34	02-08 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	8	$200	1,003	0	+1,003	Down	-$200	10-30 00:12
will the us strike somalia next 656	2	$197	149	149	+0	Yes	-$3	01-18 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	8	$190	360	0	+360	Down	+$39	10-01 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 15:45 UTC	8	$186	255	255	+0	Down	-$85	06-18 15:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x05912b…
10-30 19:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0xdf093a…
10-30 19:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x35f35d…
10-30 19:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	177	14¢	$25	0xd29fb4…
10-30 19:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	232	11¢	$25	0x0a5e51…
10-30 19:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0xdb89e0…
10-30 19:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	122	21¢	$25	0x978cfd…
10-30 19:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	162	15¢	$25	0xcb157e…
10-30 19:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	191	13¢	$25	0x3ba76f…
10-30 19:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0xe71a79…
10-30 19:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x955fc6…
10-30 19:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	111	22¢	$25	0x7dcf5a…
10-30 17:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xbe5694…
10-30 15:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	181	14¢	$25	0x829f27…
10-30 15:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	102	25¢	$25	0x3157d2…
10-30 15:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	231	11¢	$25	0xc012e0…
10-30 15:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xa132f0…
10-30 15:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xec88b9…
10-30 14:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xa7979c…
10-30 13:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	161	16¢	$25	0x2e63ae…
10-30 13:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	242	10¢	$25	0x107d2c…
10-30 13:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x4edf32…
10-30 13:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x07bcd4…
10-30 13:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	122	20¢	$25	0xc8f7d7…
10-30 11:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	137	18¢	$25	0xd083c6…
10-30 10:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	63	40¢	$25	0xbfb12d…
10-30 10:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x1708cb…
10-30 08:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x57f528…
10-30 08:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0xed812b…
10-30 05:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	132	19¢	$25	0x076d2f…
10-30 04:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x02222d…
10-30 04:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xccf627…
10-30 02:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x5c4c09…
10-30 02:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	116	22¢	$25	0x0d4df5…
10-30 02:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	177	14¢	$25	0x6b6bdd…
10-30 02:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xcb2662…
10-30 01:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	144	17¢	$25	0xdc42e3…
10-30 01:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xb12505…
10-30 01:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xbcfca8…
10-30 01:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x20993b…
10-30 01:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x729c46…
10-30 01:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	153	16¢	$25	0x7abdf5…
10-30 01:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0x02c99a…
10-30 01:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	211	12¢	$25	0x82d475…
10-30 01:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0xb117f9…
10-30 01:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xe13d56…
10-30 01:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	197	13¢	$25	0x5cf3ae…
10-30 01:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	154	16¢	$25	0x849e9a…
10-30 01:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0xdd2b70…
10-30 01:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	217	12¢	$25	0xe18849…
10-30 01:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xe4c202…
10-30 01:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	121	21¢	$25	0x1c1275…
10-30 01:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0x7771eb…
10-30 00:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x7dc573…
10-30 00:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x9c1847…
10-30 00:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x99b12d…
10-30 00:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xf48ee4…
10-30 00:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x9d1eb8…
10-30 00:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xfaed5a…
10-30 00:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	154	16¢	$25	0xd5902d…
10-30 00:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	159	16¢	$25	0x9f2e0f…
10-29 20:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	213	12¢	$25	0xcd6a8e…
10-29 16:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	117	21¢	$25	0xe2fa53…
10-29 15:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x6f9cf0…
10-29 15:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	214	12¢	$25	0xe61a02…
10-29 15:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	195	13¢	$25	0x303e7e…
10-29 15:46:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	192	13¢	$25	0xe20d36…
10-29 15:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	83	72¢	$60	0x5373e6…
10-29 15:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x4900cc…
10-29 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x27e016…
10-28 20:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	88	29¢	$25	0xd9b17c…
10-28 18:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	178	14¢	$25	0x74fe94…
10-28 18:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	217	12¢	$25	0xf147f3…
10-28 16:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xe8fe55…
10-28 12:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	107	23¢	$25	0xd3c574…
10-28 12:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x0ce039…
10-27 15:21:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xa1d3f7…
10-27 13:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	99	25¢	$25	0x40f38f…
10-27 13:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	214	12¢	$25	0x845e82…
10-27 12:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x3d64b5…
10-26 19:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x958692…
10-26 19:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	122	20¢	$25	0x0e0c9d…
10-26 19:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	239	10¢	$25	0x12edf7…
10-26 19:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xde40db…
10-26 17:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	198	13¢	$25	0x21a2c2…
10-26 17:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0xe0d49d…
10-26 16:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	145	17¢	$25	0x82b6ea…
10-26 16:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	91	27¢	$25	0xbb4c07…
10-26 15:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	90	28¢	$25	0xdc2135…
10-26 15:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0xec67e6…
10-26 15:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xf58b98…
10-26 14:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	98	26¢	$25	0xb57698…
10-26 14:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x964179…
10-26 14:11:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x70d7b5…
10-26 14:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x00469f…
10-26 14:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xad8ab5…
10-26 13:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0xce5dba…
10-26 13:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x86099d…
10-26 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xcffd0d…
10-26 13:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0xd5d1e2…