Dangerous-Rule — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$31

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

52 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$228

$228 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 01:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 64% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down		+60	$2	52¢	$32	+$29	05-06 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up		+22	$2	16¢	$4	+$1	05-06 01:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$12	18	+18	open	—	05-05 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$11	18	+18	open	—	05-05 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	05-05 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$7	11	+11	open	—	05-05 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	05-05 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	05-05 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	05-05 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$7	11	+11	open	—	05-05 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	05-05 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	05-05 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	05-05 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$6	10	+10	Up	+$4	05-05 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	Down	$-5	05-05 05:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	$-5	05-05 04:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Down	$-5	05-05 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$5	8	+8	Up	+$3	05-05 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	$-4	05-05 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	$-4	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-05 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-05 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	$-4	05-05 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$4	7	+7	Down	+$2	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-05 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-05 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$4	7	+7	open	—	05-05 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 01:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x82ece3…
05-06 01:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x7b012b…
05-06 00:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0xad1498…
05-05 16:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd607cd…
05-05 16:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$7	0xcf39e2…
05-05 14:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x36a32b…
05-05 13:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xf81168…
05-05 13:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	61¢	$8	0x640c3e…
05-05 13:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x6a4c62…
05-05 13:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x4e7246…
05-05 13:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x78890e…
05-05 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x341e4a…
05-05 13:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0x09e722…
05-05 12:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x6ebc6a…
05-05 12:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x2b350f…
05-05 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x8e65aa…
05-05 11:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xc8db6d…
05-05 11:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x4023ae…
05-05 11:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	62¢	$7	0xf166e4…
05-05 11:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x20a2d5…
05-05 11:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0x4aa534…
05-05 11:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xd9ca51…
05-05 09:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x6cac1f…
05-05 09:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x86cca9…
05-05 09:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x284152…
05-05 09:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x825713…
05-05 06:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x3a48b9…
05-05 06:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x2984a9…
05-05 06:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x7ba2f1…
05-05 06:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xd5dca7…
05-05 05:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x828157…
05-05 05:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x09f253…
05-05 05:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x267b56…
05-05 04:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x0473cc…
05-05 04:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x783e19…
05-05 04:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x84e7be…
05-05 04:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x2419e0…
05-05 04:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf0c6c8…
05-05 03:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xcddfbb…
05-05 03:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x12a225…
05-05 03:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x26af4a…
05-05 03:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa7d873…
05-05 03:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x3e4cc0…
05-05 03:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0xec2795…
05-05 02:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x8082c6…
05-05 02:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xee4ec9…
05-05 02:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xfc7ead…
05-05 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xce2b40…
05-04 22:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x91b0cc…
05-04 21:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xbd8adb…
05-04 21:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x352556…
05-04 20:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x1e786b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	49	$7.89K	302	05-06 01:59
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	44	$2.45K	225	05-06 01:59
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	43	$5.65K	220	05-06 01:59
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	43	$2.20K	195	05-06 01:59
Babyish-Cribbage 0x2a6c…0b42	43	$563	197	05-06 01:59
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	42	$2.68K	165	05-06 01:58
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	41	$756	96	05-06 01:59
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	40	$2.82K	175	05-06 01:59