Realized P&L (30d)
-$8.29K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.66K
Hit rate
52.6%
Resolved (30d)
34
Trades (30d)
408
5,010 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$54.3K
$955.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$191
Open exposure
$41.0K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-31 16:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 82 days
Categories
Other
77% 40% -$50,390
Politics
22% 54% +$12,289
Sports
1% 50% +$79
Crypto
1% 25% +$492
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1,190
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +10,990 $6,222 98¢ $10.8K +$4,548 10-15 17:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +16,901 $9,180 56¢ $9.4K +$200 10-30 17:11
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -8,514 -$5,217 95¢ $-8088 -$2,872 05-15 17:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -22,522 -$7,317 22¢ $-5067 +$2,249 05-13 04:36
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4,688 $1,676 52¢ $2.5K +$785 10-29 20:22
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +3,895 -$139 52¢ $2.0K +$2,184 10-31 08:34
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +1,000 $800 100¢ $999 +$199 10-16 23:17
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -1,501 -$781 57¢ $-863 -$83 05-13 15:09
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -9,122 -$990 5¢ $-461 +$529 10-30 05:50
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes -471 -$372 85¢ $-400 -$28 07-25 00:11
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -284 -$373 84¢ $-240 +$134 07-15 05:14
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +10,990 $401 2¢ $220 -$181 10-22 13:13
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +60 -$329 48¢ $29 +$357 07-31 18:22
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +20 $12 52¢ $11 -$2 09-08 17:29
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +20 -$587 48¢ $10 +$596 08-01 03:52
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +1,000 $27 0¢ $1 -$26 10-21 12:12
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +0 -$65 44¢ $0 +$65 10-31 16:57