Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.83K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.05K
Hit rate
50.2%
Resolved (90d)
129
Trades (90d)
1,839
4,983 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$356.5K
$950.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$191
Open exposure
$41.6K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-30 19:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 81 days
Categories
Other
77% 40% -$50,390
Politics
21% 57% +$12,799
Sports
1% 50% +$79
Crypto
1% 25% +$492
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1,190
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? Yes +10,990 $6,222 98¢ $10.8K +$4,531 10-15 17:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +16,901 $9,180 50¢ $8.4K -$814 10-30 17:11
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -8,514 -$5,217 91¢ $-7748 -$2,531 05-15 17:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -22,522 -$7,317 24¢ $-5293 +$2,024 05-13 04:36
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4,688 $1,676 55¢ $2.6K +$879 10-29 20:22
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +4,165 $12 52¢ $2.2K +$2,174 10-30 19:14
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,500 $995 42¢ $1.0K +$50 10-30 04:03
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +1,000 $800 98¢ $984 +$184 10-16 23:17
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -1,501 -$781 57¢ $-863 -$83 05-13 15:09
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes -9,122 -$990 9¢ $-803 +$187 10-30 05:50
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes -471 -$372 84¢ $-398 -$26 07-25 00:11
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? No +10,990 $401 2¢ $236 -$165 10-22 13:13
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? No -284 -$373 82¢ $-231 +$142 07-15 05:14
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +3,000 $510 2¢ $60 -$450 10-23 21:26
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +60 -$329 48¢ $29 +$357 07-31 18:22
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +1,000 $27 2¢ $16 -$11 10-21 12:12
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +20 $12 56¢ $11 -$1 09-08 17:29
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +20 -$587 44¢ $9 +$596 08-01 03:52