Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.8%

Resolved

538

Trades

6,446

lifetime

Volume

$9.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-09 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 3% $-32

Other

32% — —

Politics

12% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	4	$375	300	300	+0	open	—	01-19 14:26
tsla above 460 on january 30 2026	4	$315	200	200	+0	open	—	01-29 14:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$274	199	199	+0	open	—	02-01 04:15
infinex fdv above 200m one day after launch 274	6	$229	300	300	+0	open	—	01-31 08:50
msft above 465 on january 30 2026	3	$221	200	200	+0	open	—	01-20 14:33
meta above 640 on january 30 2026	4	$217	200	200	+0	open	—	01-23 10:00
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	4	$197	200	200	+0	open	—	02-02 06:24
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	2	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	01-27 03:25
Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$173	100	100	+0	open	—	02-02 00:53
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$168	100	100	+0	open	—	02-23 20:52
aapl above 240 on january 30 2026	2	$164	100	100	+0	open	—	01-20 15:48
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	3	$163	200	100	+100	open	—	02-28 06:37
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$156	100	100	+0	open	—	01-24 02:10
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$151	100	100	+0	open	—	01-23 18:02
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	4	$147	200	200	+0	open	—	01-22 18:54
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$145	205	205	+0	open	—	01-30 03:35
msft above 480 on january 30 2026	2	$140	100	100	+0	open	—	01-23 16:49
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$139	100	100	+0	open	—	01-29 17:42
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	6	$136	283	283	+0	open	—	01-30 18:59
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	2	$125	100	100	+0	open	—	01-22 14:07
will golden ejae and mark sonnenblick win song of the year at the 68th annual grammy awards	3	$121	200	100	+100	open	—	02-01 20:41
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$116	95	95	+0	open	—	01-31 15:06
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	4	$111	195	195	+0	open	—	01-22 19:47
gc hit 5000 high jan 2026 374 153 895 849	2	$110	100	100	+0	open	—	01-22 18:20
will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	2	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	01-23 14:53
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$87	95	95	+0	open	—	02-05 07:20
amzn above 240 on january 30 2026	2	$85	203	0	+203	open	—	01-29 17:05
gc settle 4600 4725 jan 2026	1	$84	100	0	+100	open	—	01-22 10:29
msft above 450 on january 30 2026	2	$79	84	84	+0	open	—	01-20 16:21
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$72	103	103	+0	open	—	02-27 15:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 02:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x76df1d…
05-09 02:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x58a578…
05-09 01:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5334e3…
05-09 01:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xbe866a…
05-09 01:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x68b9e2…
05-09 01:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0b3b11…
05-09 01:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x96d114…
05-09 01:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x10f4ee…
05-09 00:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x87afc4…
05-09 00:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x353803…
05-09 00:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf592f5…
05-09 00:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4ba324…
05-09 00:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x91dc52…
05-09 00:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9ad0c5…
05-09 00:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb204c3…
05-09 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa81a61…
05-09 00:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x46a6c9…
05-09 00:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x2312a6…
05-09 00:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd0dfd6…
05-09 00:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6d43ed…
05-09 00:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb1e6a8…
05-09 00:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x943ae1…
05-09 00:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x33032b…
05-08 23:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd4a1da…
05-08 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xbcaf65…
05-08 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe37919…
05-08 23:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x6df096…
05-08 23:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9991e1…
05-08 23:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x55a07e…
05-08 23:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd85eb4…
05-08 23:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9f3a8c…
05-08 23:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf14f14…
05-08 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc63eb7…
05-08 22:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7147fc…
05-08 22:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xef52b2…
05-08 22:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa5b3e1…
05-08 22:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xa58b46…
05-08 22:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x96344f…
05-08 22:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xadf572…
05-08 22:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x730725…
05-08 22:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa3bdc9…
05-08 22:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x48c682…
05-08 22:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x1926d8…
05-08 22:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x02e9b4…
05-08 22:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xcc4894…
05-08 22:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0f5706…
05-08 22:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb4c6ff…
05-08 16:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd6d09e…
05-08 16:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x449859…
05-08 16:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa77a13…
05-08 16:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x29a00d…
05-08 16:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x26e9f4…
05-08 16:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x79daf4…
05-08 16:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0eecca…
05-08 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xaea8f3…
05-08 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x9315cb…
05-08 16:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x1503c5…
05-08 16:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xed55ad…
05-08 16:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x85f7fb…
05-08 16:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3284cf…
05-08 16:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x13fa3f…
05-08 15:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9f5ccd…
05-08 15:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe9fbf3…
05-08 15:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x3e2e70…
05-08 15:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x09de20…
05-08 15:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xa88b0d…
05-08 15:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf73cc9…
05-08 14:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb94ac9…
05-08 14:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4bca54…
05-08 14:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7de268…
05-08 14:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x24946b…
05-08 14:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x031c28…
05-08 14:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xb19bd9…
05-08 14:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xaa3aad…
05-08 08:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x438ec1…
05-08 08:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4456cd…
05-08 08:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x98d771…
05-08 08:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x26c6e5…
05-08 08:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe38391…
05-08 08:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x13c9fb…
05-08 08:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0x6951b0…
05-08 08:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2add0d…
05-08 08:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x129ca6…
05-08 08:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x001218…
05-08 08:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xeb7442…
05-08 08:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xa59185…
05-08 08:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe4d6c0…
05-08 08:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xb3453e…
05-08 08:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x851f85…
05-08 08:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x699d0c…
05-08 08:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x98c0e8…
05-08 07:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xfb3346…
05-08 07:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xadbb9d…
05-08 07:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xbec8e5…
05-08 07:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9f1457…
05-08 07:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xf9d046…
05-08 07:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x3d91bf…
05-08 07:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1e0df4…
05-08 07:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xff0a01…
05-08 07:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0817fd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	824	$12.4K	4,016	05-09 00:45
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	807	$90.5K	14,693	05-09 00:44
Shadowy-Integral 0xaea5…7985	661	$38.9K	3,348	05-09 00:16
Elementary-Birdwatcher 0x668c…4930	650	$195.3K	10,097	05-08 01:31
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	631	$223.0K	67,100	05-09 00:44
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	631	$202.1K	35,128	05-09 00:44
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	631	$187.7K	60,994	05-09 00:44
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	629	$420.3K	16,417	05-09 00:46