Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

9.6%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$1.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-07-07

last 10-14 19:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Politics

47% 14% -$7

Other

42% 12% -$29

Sports

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes		+21	$13	74¢	$15	+$2	09-29 19:48
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No		+21	$9	26¢	$6	-$3	09-29 12:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	12	$105	150	54	+96	Yes	-$17	09-21 20:46
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	9	$102	105	105	+0	open	—	07-29 13:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$84	52	52	+0	open	—	08-13 06:49
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 105m and 115m?	7	$69	65	65	+0	No	-$2	07-17 03:37
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%?	6	$53	66	39	+26	open	—	09-25 06:56
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	3	$43	84	0	+84	No	-$1	07-18 15:56
Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	4	$43	42	42	+0	No	+$0	08-28 14:43
Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	4	$42	42	42	+0	No	-$1	08-26 15:52
Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	5	$41	46	46	+0	open	—	08-31 11:14
Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	6	$36	69	27	+42	open	—	10-14 19:11
Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	3	$30	21	21	+0	Yes	$0	08-22 19:28
Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	3	$29	21	21	+0	No	-$1	08-24 04:59
russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	2	$27	52	52	+0	No	+$1	08-09 17:41
Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	2	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	08-20 14:07
Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	6	$26	51	9	+42	No	-$1	08-20 01:49
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?	2	$26	42	0	+42	Yes	-$5	09-03 21:26
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	3	$25	45	3	+42	open	—	08-23 12:31
Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$23	21	21	+0	open	—	08-24 20:02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$22	42	0	+42	open	—	09-29 19:48
will graham platner drop out by july 10 281	4	$21	48	0	+48	Yes	+$1	07-08 14:29
Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	3	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	10-02 17:48
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	3	$19	29	13	+16	open	—	10-04 20:32
over 32pt5m committed to the credible public sale	2	$18	21	21	+0	Yes	-$3	07-16 19:46
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	2	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	10-10 01:51
Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?	2	$17	25	25	+0	No	-$1	08-17 03:20
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	3	$15	21	21	+0	open	—	09-13 04:58
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	4	$13	21	21	+0	open	—	08-14 18:59
Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	2	$13	25	25	+0	open	—	10-08 19:27
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	2	$11	63	63	+0	open	—	07-21 11:25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?	2	$9	25	25	+0	open	—	10-12 03:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 19:11:36	Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	No	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0xb03f50…
10-14 18:57:25	Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	No	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0x67e28c…
10-14 15:49:12	Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	No	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0xf4e9b0…
10-14 15:49:12	Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb6d4cd…
10-14 15:49:10	Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xc9cb38…
10-14 07:25:47	Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?	No	BUY	23	26¢	$6	0xa3a041…
10-14 05:51:35	Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0x7dae47…
10-13 16:03:43	Will Republicans win white women in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xd3d1f1…
10-12 03:38:50	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	25	15¢	$4	0x7ef39e…
10-11 14:26:34	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	25	21¢	$5	0xe3d796…
10-10 01:51:22	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x27e7cd…
10-09 06:40:01	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0xbce2cc…
10-08 19:27:38	Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	21¢	$5	0x925620…
10-07 14:20:52	Will DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	29¢	$7	0xbf245e…
10-04 20:32:07	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x99496c…
10-04 06:47:14	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x8bf525…
10-03 19:29:25	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Turkey by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa5f4c9…
10-02 17:48:36	Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x4cd6b3…
10-02 03:19:33	Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xb2ab91…
10-02 03:19:33	Will Republicans win 2 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x37807b…
09-29 19:48:30	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0x58d6f3…
09-29 12:43:17	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0xa9c9f9…
09-25 06:56:32	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x0d3d3c…
09-24 14:16:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x165f69…
09-24 08:40:51	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0xef0d59…
09-24 02:52:14	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x3e781c…
09-24 02:51:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%?	No	SELL	21	76¢	$16	0x2454ac…
09-24 02:10:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-07 House election by 12%-15%?	No	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0xa82e9e…
09-21 20:46:12	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x6e3310…
09-21 20:23:19	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0xc9df8d…
09-21 20:23:19	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	No	SELL	18	41¢	$7	0xc9df8d…
09-21 07:20:26	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x5f9678…
09-18 19:15:07	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	4¢	$1	0x0a8549…
09-18 16:59:39	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xc74b90…
09-18 10:50:16	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x61989d…
09-17 21:28:45	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x4b9e49…
09-17 21:28:40	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x21ec00…
09-17 07:01:58	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xd60ec1…
09-17 07:01:58	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	No	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x385ecd…
09-17 00:22:27	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	75¢	$16	0x47c276…
09-15 18:33:36	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x78f030…
09-14 07:29:21	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x58ec67…
09-14 07:29:19	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x00f01c…
09-14 07:29:18	Will Democrats win exactly 4 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbde67e…
09-13 04:58:12	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xea4866…
09-11 13:50:39	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb6f438…
09-11 13:50:39	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x0f2b26…
09-03 21:26:07	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x21b5bc…
09-03 14:41:49	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xece3b2…
08-31 11:14:56	Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xe27acb…
08-30 16:37:13	Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x86f391…
08-30 16:37:13	Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0x86f391…
08-30 13:07:21	Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x24b36c…
08-30 13:07:13	Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0xc86d00…
08-28 14:43:25	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	No	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x5d60c9…
08-28 12:55:42	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	No	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xfb090f…
08-28 12:55:42	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0xfb090f…
08-28 05:24:54	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x8c2e2f…
08-27 05:53:06	Will Lucas Ribeiro win the Governor of Paraíba election?	No	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0xa75150…
08-26 15:52:45	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	38¢	$8	0x412311…
08-25 23:10:01	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	41¢	$9	0x953454…
08-25 22:31:33	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x96bd59…
08-25 09:39:52	Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x988ccd…
08-24 20:02:48	Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x0c1a0b…
08-24 05:50:30	Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x1d2112…
08-24 04:59:16	Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	SELL	21	67¢	$14	0xb40626…
08-23 15:59:00	Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x04c8b6…
08-23 15:42:51	Will Helio Bolsonaro win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xcc35db…
08-23 12:31:04	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x791d1b…
08-22 23:16:39	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	Yes	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x69e422…
08-22 22:05:49	Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?	No	BUY	24	39¢	$9	0xb0dd19…
08-22 19:28:40	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0x5d775d…
08-22 05:38:57	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x93d56b…
08-22 05:38:57	Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x50c4b1…
08-20 14:07:15	Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	SELL	21	63¢	$13	0x01f27b…
08-20 13:17:18	Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?	Yes	BUY	21	63¢	$13	0xb52237…
08-20 01:49:24	Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xb1d118…
08-19 12:39:57	Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdd6d51…
08-19 12:39:43	Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xba25f0…
08-19 05:44:24	Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xcc9998…
08-19 05:44:24	Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x6defdb…
08-19 00:43:57	Will AfD win 32-34 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0xf7535b…
08-18 11:23:15	will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x6197c6…
08-17 23:17:22	will byd be removed from chinese military companies list by june 30 2027 20260706223230559	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0xe2af0e…
08-17 03:20:27	Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	25	32¢	$8	0xf05afa…
08-14 19:28:30	Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0x930992…
08-14 18:59:19	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0x1b81dd…
08-14 05:17:03	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xc23278…
08-13 14:38:06	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x706acc…
08-13 14:37:55	Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xac223a…
08-13 06:49:37	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	52	80¢	$42	0x836b38…
08-13 06:35:25	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xed5d75…
08-12 23:18:15	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	52	80¢	$42	0x96798c…
08-09 17:41:12	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	SELL	52	27¢	$14	0x034055…
08-08 13:56:15	russia ukraine peace talks by september 30 2026 20260609012542188	Yes	BUY	52	25¢	$13	0xd15c11…
07-29 13:17:32	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	39	26¢	$10	0x9d94e2…
07-29 08:31:11	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0x8fc9ee…
07-26 14:43:15	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	No	BUY	52	28¢	$15	0xa2ad44…
07-26 14:36:48	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	36	71¢	$25	0x00d657…
07-26 14:32:03	Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	SELL	17	71¢	$12	0x31373d…