Alienated-Referendum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

1,452

Trades

2,581

lifetime

Volume

$41.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-17 20:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 94% -$78

Other

4% 77% -$24

Politics

0% 33% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 22:50 UTC	4	$270	280	0	+280	Up	+$10	04-14 22:54
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 16:10 UTC	2	$240	242	0	+242	Down	+$2	04-14 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 21:15 UTC	3	$220	224	0	+224	Down	+$4	04-14 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC	2	$200	202	0	+202	Up	+$2	04-14 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:10 UTC	2	$200	206	0	+206	Up	+$6	04-14 23:14
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:55 UTC	2	$200	203	0	+203	Up	+$3	04-16 12:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	2	$186	94	94	+0	Yes	+$2	05-17 20:44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?	2	$183	92	92	+0	No	+$1	05-17 08:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?	2	$183	92	92	+0	No	+$1	05-17 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 16:25 UTC	2	$182	184	0	+184	Up	+$2	04-14 16:29
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:45 UTC	2	$182	186	0	+186	Down	+$4	04-14 11:49
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 16:45 UTC	1	$168	169	0	+169	Down	+$2	04-14 16:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:35 UTC	3	$165	170	0	+170	Down	+$5	04-14 20:39
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 10:15 UTC	3	$165	169	0	+169	Down	+$4	04-15 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 20:15 UTC	3	$160	163	0	+163	Down	+$3	04-14 20:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:00 UTC	2	$160	169	0	+169	Down	+$9	04-14 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 05:40 UTC	7	$160	166	0	+166	Up	+$6	04-15 05:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 07:45 UTC	2	$160	162	0	+162	Up	+$2	04-15 07:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 10:50 UTC	7	$151	153	0	+153	Down	+$2	04-15 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 10:00 UTC	2	$150	152	0	+152	Down	+$2	04-14 10:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 11:50 UTC	2	$150	153	0	+153	Down	+$3	04-14 11:55
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 23:05 UTC	4	$150	153	0	+153	Down	+$3	04-14 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 11:35 UTC	2	$150	153	0	+153	Down	+$3	04-17 11:39
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 12:20 UTC	3	$150	153	0	+153	Down	+$3	04-16 12:24
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:15 UTC	3	$150	152	0	+152	Up	+$2	04-14 12:19
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 10:35 UTC	3	$150	152	0	+152	Up	+$2	04-15 10:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 09:55 UTC	4	$145	148	0	+148	Up	+$3	04-14 09:59
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 16:40 UTC	1	$134	135	0	+135	Up	+$1	04-14 16:44
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 14:50 UTC	2	$130	134	0	+134	Up	+$4	04-14 14:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-15 16:30 UTC	3	$130	133	0	+133	Down	+$3	04-15 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 20:45:13	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 17?	Yes	BUY	95	98¢	$94	0x49bf0a…
05-17 20:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	SELL	94	100¢	$94	0x872b64…
05-17 12:43:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	94	98¢	$92	0x976568…
05-17 12:04:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xadc4df…
05-17 10:01:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x520342…
05-17 08:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?	No	SELL	92	100¢	$92	0xebcb5b…
05-16 11:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 17?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x189e8c…
05-16 11:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x8d63cd…
05-16 04:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x81cead…
05-15 19:28:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	SELL	70	100¢	$69	0x5bd72d…
05-15 19:27:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	Yes	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xf9ea78…
05-15 19:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x456aaa…
05-15 16:53:45	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x75536a…
05-15 11:29:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xfe9df3…
05-15 11:29:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x18e621…
05-14 20:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x34e151…
05-14 20:11:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xaaa6d1…
05-14 17:30:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 14?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb9962c…
05-14 17:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1a2df3…
05-14 10:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x374cc1…
05-14 09:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x967cfe…
05-13 19:23:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x21a1c2…
05-13 18:40:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdfc366…
05-13 10:11:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb1bdc9…
05-13 08:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x10ea56…
05-12 20:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x16ba7a…
05-12 12:18:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xa121d2…
05-12 12:14:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 12?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xd58490…
05-12 09:07:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x958764…
05-11 16:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 12?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x1cebf7…
05-11 16:31:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe4302c…
05-11 09:01:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 11?	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x1c9cd6…
05-11 08:58:35	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7aca9c…
05-10 18:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xbcae56…
05-09 12:19:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 9?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x89e873…
05-08 18:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 9?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xad4d44…
05-08 18:11:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdfa39c…
05-08 17:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc4165b…
05-08 16:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xaf685d…
05-08 14:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7620ff…
05-06 12:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xede1d4…
05-06 12:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe557ea…
05-06 12:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xbf9ffb…
05-06 12:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf2abb6…
05-06 12:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x67e284…
05-06 12:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4cffba…
05-06 12:39:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x87d939…
05-06 12:39:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x89d121…
05-06 12:39:26	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb9a71f…
05-06 12:39:26	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5bbbeb…
05-06 12:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5b8fa6…
05-06 12:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4850e2…
05-06 12:26:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5d934a…
05-06 12:25:12	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8f9172…
05-06 12:25:10	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc7be03…
05-06 12:24:44	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x44a167…
05-06 12:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x190017…
05-06 12:13:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x70c50c…
05-06 12:11:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd62e2a…
05-06 12:05:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x503cec…
05-06 11:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe78319…
05-06 11:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x8e227c…
05-06 11:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x05c559…
05-06 11:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2c65da…
05-06 11:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc02512…
05-06 11:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa9752d…
05-06 11:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6ebe9e…
05-06 11:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbea187…
05-06 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x17e924…
05-06 11:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4287d5…
05-06 11:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xedc11e…
05-06 11:44:00	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xdf13d4…
05-06 11:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xab6d37…
05-06 11:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9dc25b…
05-06 11:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x28c6d1…
05-06 11:11:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa8e6c5…
05-06 11:11:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2988c1…
05-06 11:11:32	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x4d35d8…
05-06 11:11:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa76c7a…
05-06 11:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x04b5d7…
05-06 11:04:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb3472d…
05-06 11:03:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf1a9b9…
05-06 10:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3fdfc3…
05-06 10:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x669093…
05-06 10:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc7e4d0…
05-06 10:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf82395…
05-06 10:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x05ead8…
05-06 10:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4fbdc…
05-06 10:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfd3d9f…
05-06 10:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbbcf4a…
05-06 10:53:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xc0ea22…
05-06 10:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x675357…
05-06 10:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x49cb8e…
05-06 10:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x89fc87…
05-06 10:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x79a4f4…
05-06 10:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xb3b79e…
05-06 10:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1996a…
05-06 10:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xea4bc6…
05-06 10:34:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3dd131…
05-06 10:34:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x1a16e4…