Alienated-Referendum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.9%

Resolved

110

Trades

2,542

lifetime

Volume

$40.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-08 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 92% $-96

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 228 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776207000	4	$270	280	+280	open	—	04-14 22:54
doge updown 5m 1776183000	2	$240	242	+242	open	—	04-14 16:14
btc updown 5m 1776201300	3	$220	224	+224	open	—	04-14 21:19
btc updown 5m 1776157500	2	$200	202	+202	open	—	04-14 09:09
btc updown 5m 1776208200	2	$200	206	+206	open	—	04-14 23:14
eth updown 5m 1776344100	2	$200	203	+203	open	—	04-16 12:59
btc updown 5m 1776183900	2	$182	184	+184	open	—	04-14 16:29
doge updown 5m 1776167100	2	$182	186	+186	open	—	04-14 11:49
doge updown 5m 1776185100	1	$168	169	+169	open	—	04-14 16:49
btc updown 5m 1776198900	3	$165	170	+170	open	—	04-14 20:39
doge updown 5m 1776248100	3	$165	169	+169	open	—	04-15 10:19
btc updown 5m 1776197700	3	$160	163	+163	open	—	04-14 20:19
eth updown 5m 1776157200	2	$160	169	+169	open	—	04-14 09:04
btc updown 5m 1776231600	7	$160	166	+166	open	—	04-15 05:44
eth updown 5m 1776239100	2	$160	162	+162	open	—	04-15 07:49
eth updown 5m 1776250200	7	$151	153	+153	open	—	04-15 10:54
btc updown 5m 1776160800	2	$150	152	+152	open	—	04-14 10:04
eth updown 5m 1776167400	2	$150	153	+153	open	—	04-14 11:55
doge updown 5m 1776207900	4	$150	153	+153	open	—	04-14 23:09
btc updown 5m 1776425700	2	$150	153	+153	open	—	04-17 11:39
doge updown 5m 1776342000	3	$150	153	+153	open	—	04-16 12:24
doge updown 5m 1776168900	3	$150	152	+152	open	—	04-14 12:19
doge updown 5m 1776249300	3	$150	152	+152	open	—	04-15 10:39
eth updown 5m 1776160500	4	$145	148	+148	open	—	04-14 09:59
doge updown 5m 1776184800	1	$134	135	+135	open	—	04-14 16:44
doge updown 5m 1776178200	2	$130	134	+134	open	—	04-14 14:54
btc updown 5m 1776270600	3	$130	133	+133	open	—	04-15 16:34
doge updown 5m 1776339600	4	$130	132	+132	open	—	04-16 11:44
eth updown 5m 1776073800	3	$130	131	+131	open	—	04-13 09:54
doge updown 5m 1776070500	3	$130	131	+131	open	—	04-13 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 18:11:27	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdfa39c…
05-08 17:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc4165b…
05-08 16:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xaf685d…
05-08 14:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7620ff…
05-06 12:44:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xede1d4…
05-06 12:44:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe557ea…
05-06 12:44:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xbf9ffb…
05-06 12:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xf2abb6…
05-06 12:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x67e284…
05-06 12:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4cffba…
05-06 12:39:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x87d939…
05-06 12:39:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x89d121…
05-06 12:39:26	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb9a71f…
05-06 12:39:26	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5bbbeb…
05-06 12:39:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x5b8fa6…
05-06 12:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4850e2…
05-06 12:26:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5d934a…
05-06 12:25:12	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x8f9172…
05-06 12:25:10	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc7be03…
05-06 12:24:44	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x44a167…
05-06 12:24:34	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x190017…
05-06 12:13:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x70c50c…
05-06 12:11:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd62e2a…
05-06 12:05:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x503cec…
05-06 11:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xe78319…
05-06 11:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x8e227c…
05-06 11:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x05c559…
05-06 11:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2c65da…
05-06 11:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc02512…
05-06 11:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa9752d…
05-06 11:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6ebe9e…
05-06 11:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xbea187…
05-06 11:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x17e924…
05-06 11:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4287d5…
05-06 11:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xedc11e…
05-06 11:44:00	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0xdf13d4…
05-06 11:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xab6d37…
05-06 11:40:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9dc25b…
05-06 11:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x28c6d1…
05-06 11:11:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa8e6c5…
05-06 11:11:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2988c1…
05-06 11:11:32	Solana Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x4d35d8…
05-06 11:11:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xa76c7a…
05-06 11:04:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x04b5d7…
05-06 11:04:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb3472d…
05-06 11:03:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf1a9b9…
05-06 10:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3fdfc3…
05-06 10:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x669093…
05-06 10:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc7e4d0…
05-06 10:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf82395…
05-06 10:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x05ead8…
05-06 10:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4fbdc…
05-06 10:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xfd3d9f…
05-06 10:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbbcf4a…
05-06 10:53:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xc0ea22…
05-06 10:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x675357…
05-06 10:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x49cb8e…
05-06 10:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x89fc87…
05-06 10:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x79a4f4…
05-06 10:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0xb3b79e…
05-06 10:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1996a…
05-06 10:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xea4bc6…
05-06 10:34:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3dd131…
05-06 10:34:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x1a16e4…
05-06 10:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x929a90…
05-06 10:09:06	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xeba922…
05-06 10:09:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0b1d16…
05-06 10:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf59d63…
05-06 10:08:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x632a04…
05-06 10:05:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe3ad4c…
05-06 10:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xd25039…
05-06 09:59:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x8ed99b…
05-06 09:43:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xdc5a8a…
05-06 09:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xaf8679…
05-05 19:25:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x89590e…
05-05 19:24:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x434a07…
05-05 19:24:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9796ef…
05-05 19:24:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x8b65b6…
05-05 19:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x39085d…
05-05 17:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5de363…
05-05 17:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf772a2…
05-05 17:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x47ed64…
05-05 16:49:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x58aa01…
05-05 16:49:30	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x90ebce…
05-05 14:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x33a615…
05-05 14:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xce58ce…
05-05 14:49:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xec437a…
05-05 12:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x606253…
05-05 12:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x7f757b…
05-05 12:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x536e17…
05-05 12:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2fe7e4…
05-05 12:24:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x442793…
05-05 12:24:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x45c587…
05-05 12:14:52	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xc08fe0…
05-05 12:14:36	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x2b8710…
05-05 11:55:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x8d4b23…
05-05 11:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x34df14…
05-05 11:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0xdcf087…
05-05 11:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x696d36…
05-05 11:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x3e7610…