Realized P&L (7d)
-$84
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved (7d)
116
Trades (7d)
210
21,708 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.04K
$45.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$53
16 positions
First seen
2026-05-11
last 11-14 08:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Crypto
94% 58% -$83
Other
4% 50% -$4
Politics
1% 48% +$11
Tech
0% 33% +$3
Sports
0% 50% +$6
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 677 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
0 ships transit bab el mandeb on any date by january 31 2027 No +19 $15 78¢ $14 $0 11-14 06:31
Will China’s CPI increase by ≤0.4% over the 12 month period ending in November 2026? Yes +20 $10 44¢ $9 -$1 11-14 16:19
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? Yes +20 $9 33¢ $7 -$2 11-12 15:24
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels before November 15, 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 11-13 22:18
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before January 1, 2027? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-08 05:22
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? No +5 $2 97¢ $5 +$2 11-08 11:09
will bruno mars appear at the 2026 nfl christmas day halftime show Yes +20 $3 12¢ $2 -$1 11-13 07:55
Will the Republican Party hold between 175 and 179 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +17 $5 11¢ $2 -$3 11-07 00:24
Will Green Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +105 $7 1¢ $1 -$6 11-07 01:58
Will Eric Trump join Trump at APEC in China? Yes +20 $4 7¢ $1 -$3 11-12 19:09
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 0-5%? No +8 $2 5¢ $0 -$2 11-07 06:47
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat? No +24 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 11-05 01:14
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +5 $2 3¢ $0 -$2 11-10 23:35
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? Yes +11 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-24 02:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +65 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 11-09 02:36
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +22 $15 0¢ $0 -$15 11-02 22:45