Accurate-Mallard-Gallbladder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$205

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved

824

Trades

1,102

lifetime

Volume

$3.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 07-26 16:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 29% -$136

Other

12% 37% -$66

Sports

6% 50% -$4

Politics

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	7	$136	733	24	+708	Down	-$88	05-28 14:49
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$78	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$2	05-19 09:14
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$63	55	55	+0	No	+$0	05-28 12:49
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	5	$61	65	65	+0	cancelled	+$1	05-28 12:49
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$51	60	60	+0	Yes	-$2	05-28 12:50
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$31	63	0	+63	Down	+$32	05-28 14:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:20 UTC	3	$23	36	29	+7	Down	+$3	06-18 13:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:35 UTC	3	$22	29	16	+13	Down	+$2	06-18 12:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$20	178	178	+0	Yes	+$1	07-19 18:28
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	2	$17	17	17	+0	cancelled	$0	05-28 12:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:45 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	06-18 12:49
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$15	29	0	+29	Up	-$15	05-28 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	1	$14	19	0	+19	No	+$5	07-01 14:06
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$13	30	0	+30	Up	+$17	05-28 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	2	$13	32	0	+32	Up	-$13	05-28 08:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$12	05-28 16:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$12	24	0	+24	Down	-$12	05-28 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	Up	+$12	05-28 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$12	05-28 18:21
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	4	$12	24	0	+24	Down	-$12	05-28 18:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$12	24	0	+24	Up	+$12	05-28 14:46
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$12	05-28 19:18
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	4	$12	24	0	+24	Up	+$12	05-28 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$12	05-28 19:23
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$12	24	0	+24	Up	+$12	05-28 14:09
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$12	05-28 16:37
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$12	24	0	+24	Down	-$12	05-28 14:42
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$12	24	0	+24	Down	-$12	05-28 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$12	24	0	+24	Down	+$12	05-28 17:14
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$12	24	0	+24	Up	-$12	05-28 18:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 16:03:33	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x2a2cd0…
07-26 16:02:21	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x652457…
07-26 16:02:09	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x2875f9…
07-26 16:01:48	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	53	4¢	$2	0xc47101…
07-20 13:59:04	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	45	11¢	$5	0xa4d02d…
07-19 19:19:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x81ab6e…
07-19 18:28:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	178	6¢	$11	0x606d4c…
07-19 07:09:25	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$2	0x6d7ce6…
07-19 07:09:24	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	875	0¢	$3	0x5e36d8…
07-18 21:57:46	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xc1c838…
07-18 18:56:16	Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x730d00…
07-18 18:56:15	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xc97f03…
07-18 18:56:15	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x757a88…
07-18 18:56:13	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe4fc52…
07-18 18:56:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	83	5¢	$4	0xabceb3…
07-18 18:56:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	625	0¢	$2	0x387e20…
07-18 18:54:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x315d32…
07-18 18:11:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0xf7ed9b…
07-04 19:11:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xefa7c3…
07-04 19:09:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x34cc94…
07-03 07:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3ab825…
07-03 07:46:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb8d14c…
07-03 03:11:11	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xb5f856…
07-03 03:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4af241…
07-03 03:00:26	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 13°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x45d988…
07-03 02:59:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xdb94db…
07-03 02:59:28	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa0d24a…
07-02 22:00:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x9010d5…
07-02 22:00:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x48cba5…
07-02 22:00:13	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x462b16…
07-02 21:59:56	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x262613…
07-02 21:58:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 2?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xac8813…
07-02 21:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	2	24¢	$0	0xfd3024…
07-02 21:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0xe0f9dc…
07-02 20:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?	No	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xa2b10a…
07-02 20:49:49	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 2?	No	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb0a806…
07-02 20:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	0	57¢	$0	0xe9695c…
07-02 20:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7860aa…
07-02 20:48:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x960f5f…
07-02 20:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x669915…
07-02 20:44:38	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x1fbd91…
07-02 20:43:35	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xb20605…
07-02 20:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 3?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x74792b…
07-02 20:43:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x60cffa…
07-02 15:44:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x3d4137…
07-02 15:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xffb110…
07-01 14:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 2?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xb71dfd…
07-01 14:06:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 2?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x03701a…
07-01 14:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 2?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x7d9e81…
07-01 14:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6c754d…
07-01 14:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 2?	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x5e94c0…
07-01 14:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 2?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xc04a83…
07-01 14:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x700276…
07-01 14:06:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2d88a5…
07-01 14:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 2?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x362912…
07-01 14:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on July 2?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x1a24bd…
06-18 13:30:58	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x74a7ae…
06-18 13:23:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x4df6c3…
06-18 13:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:20 UTC	Down	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0xc793c8…
06-18 13:21:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:20 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x47ed08…
06-18 13:15:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdf7784…
06-18 13:11:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x296017…
06-18 13:06:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x55eb13…
06-18 13:01:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe4c714…
06-18 12:55:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x803617…
06-18 12:49:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1d817a…
06-18 12:46:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x207b62…
06-18 12:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd2ea9b…
06-18 12:40:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xffb036…
06-18 12:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x51f8a5…
06-18 12:37:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:35 UTC	Down	SELL	16	72¢	$12	0xac2129…
06-18 12:36:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x36a094…
06-18 12:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xa917fa…
06-18 12:30:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8fad16…
06-18 12:29:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x608240…
06-18 10:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4fc176…
06-18 10:17:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x677bb8…
06-18 10:08:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x6ae963…
06-18 09:51:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf5e7f1…
06-18 09:45:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x45cb2d…
06-18 09:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x424c19…
06-18 09:37:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xaddd7c…
06-18 09:30:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x697641…
06-17 23:53:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0x6a07d2…
06-17 23:41:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x73eb57…
06-17 23:34:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xc8e8f7…
06-17 23:24:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	11¢	$3	0x36e363…
06-17 23:12:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xec935c…
06-17 23:12:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x33bf78…
06-17 23:12:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x1c47f7…
06-17 23:07:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	0	18¢	$0	0xed3034…
06-17 23:07:16	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x3b6ecf…
06-17 22:58:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x2c74a4…
06-17 22:58:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x5a5cdb…
06-17 22:14:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x48a677…
06-17 22:11:20	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd57a01…
06-17 22:08:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x80d374…
06-17 03:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x855f71…
06-17 03:06:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2cc07d…
06-17 03:03:36	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x8e0925…