(anonymous) 0xe3593a…d24128
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$160
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
62.7%
Resolved
195
Trades
443
lifetime
Volume
$3.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$396
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-14
last 10-30 05:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Crypto
76% 49% -$136
Politics
14% 45% -$2
Other
5% 25% -$6
Sports
3% 50% -$15
Tech
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 193 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +129 $106 92¢ $119 +$13 10-18 05:14
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +138 $84 84¢ $116 +$32 10-20 14:52
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +71 $49 40¢ $29 -$20 10-30 03:21
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +26 $20 88¢ $22 +$2 10-14 05:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +12 $10 98¢ $11 +$1 10-18 05:13
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +20 $10 55¢ $11 +$1 10-18 10:21
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +13 $10 80¢ $10 +$0 10-17 09:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +10 $4 58¢ $6 +$2 10-17 16:54
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +8 $5 74¢ $6 +$1 10-16 12:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +44 $4 13¢ $6 +$2 10-15 02:35
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +5 $4 98¢ $5 +$1 10-17 16:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +15 $5 34¢ $5 $0 10-30 03:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +17 $4 30¢ $5 +$1 10-17 12:37
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +51 $4 9¢ $4 +$0 10-15 02:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +14 $5 32¢ $4 -$1 10-14 05:29
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +17 $5 24¢ $4 -$1 10-14 05:27
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +50 $5 7¢ $4 -$1 10-14 05:28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +18 $4 19¢ $3 -$1 10-15 02:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +15 $4 21¢ $3 -$1 10-17 12:37
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +6 $4 50¢ $3 -$1 10-17 12:38
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +20 $4 16¢ $3 -$1 10-17 09:19
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 Yes +12 $4 24¢ $3 -$1 10-15 02:59
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 33¢ $2 +$1 10-19 05:19
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +20 $2 10¢ $2 $0 10-14 05:34
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +9 $2 22¢ $2 $0 10-14 05:33
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 $0 10-14 05:33
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? Yes +4 $1 37¢ $1 +$0 10-19 06:41
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +7 $1 18¢ $1 +$0 10-19 05:13
Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 43¢ $1 +$0 10-19 05:18
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +3 $2 38¢ $1 -$1 10-19 05:10