Shallow-Male — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

34,138 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$54

$108.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 10-14 20:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% -$671

Other

0% 77% -$11

Sports

0% 67% +$46

Politics

0% 62% +$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 16:45 UTC	411	$2.0K	1,805	1,566	+239	Down	+$0	03-29 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 16:45 UTC	731	$1.8K	2,510	1,101	+1,409	Up	+$164	03-26 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 06:00 UTC	705	$1.7K	2,143	1,097	+1,045	Up	+$49	03-26 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 17:00 UTC	720	$1.6K	2,444	1,266	+1,179	Down	+$1,075	03-26 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 00:30 UTC	317	$1.5K	1,636	1,109	+527	Down	+$88	03-27 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 03:30 UTC	432	$1.5K	1,662	1,218	+444	Up	+$141	03-28 03:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 03:15 UTC	249	$1.3K	1,298	857	+441	Up	+$13	03-27 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 05:30 UTC	501	$1.3K	1,724	669	+1,055	Down	+$2	03-26 05:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 07:45 UTC	247	$1.3K	1,251	928	+323	Down	+$69	03-27 07:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 11:15 UTC	231	$1.2K	1,333	718	+615	Up	-$18	03-28 11:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 01:00 UTC	332	$1.2K	1,973	950	+1,023	Up	+$15	03-27 01:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 05:45 UTC	325	$1.1K	1,290	939	+352	Up	+$49	03-28 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 07:15 UTC	400	$1.1K	1,367	626	+741	Down	+$32	03-26 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 06:30 UTC	464	$1.1K	1,360	779	+581	Down	+$26	03-26 06:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 08:15 UTC	381	$1.1K	1,115	702	+413	Down	+$113	03-26 08:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 07:00 UTC	468	$1.1K	1,433	758	+675	Down	-$19	03-26 07:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 09:45 UTC	417	$1.1K	1,286	705	+580	Up	-$64	03-26 09:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 03:00 UTC	410	$1.1K	1,304	685	+619	Up	+$111	03-26 03:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 00:45 UTC	410	$1.1K	1,236	697	+540	Down	+$25	03-26 00:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 09:00 UTC	458	$1.1K	1,349	741	+609	Up	+$184	03-26 09:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 19:00 UTC	436	$1.1K	1,239	793	+447	Up	-$39	03-25 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:30 UTC	437	$1.0K	1,531	648	+883	Down	-$73	03-26 04:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-25 22:15 UTC	405	$1.0K	1,245	875	+369	Up	+$40	03-25 22:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 01:45 UTC	382	$1.0K	1,290	596	+694	Down	+$47	03-26 02:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 10:00 UTC	373	$971	1,351	510	+840	Up	+$47	03-26 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 08:30 UTC	352	$970	1,342	421	+921	Up	-$18	03-26 08:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 06:15 UTC	207	$939	903	706	+196	Up	+$5	03-27 06:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 18:00 UTC	326	$932	1,094	619	+475	Down	-$2	03-26 18:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 04:15 UTC	311	$893	1,012	511	+500	Up	-$116	03-26 04:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-28 06:45 UTC	219	$873	930	742	+188	Down	+$47	03-28 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 20:55:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9450b4…
10-14 20:55:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x78f637…
09-30 13:28:45	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	BUY	105	4¢	$5	0xe9bc72…
09-30 13:23:23	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x4748a3…
08-16 02:44:06	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $3.5B and $4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xc8e2dc…
08-15 02:54:58	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2.5B and $3B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x25de86…
08-15 00:36:16	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2.5B and $3B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x6c445c…
08-14 16:36:30	Will Lyntris' market cap be between $2B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	9	26¢	$2	0xfdbaf3…
08-14 16:36:28	Will Lyntris' market cap be at least $4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xb78094…
08-14 16:36:28	Will Lyntris' market cap be less than $2B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x31203f…
08-14 04:39:48	Will Lauren Weedman – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x06af85…
08-14 04:39:46	Will Jamie Lee Curtis – “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x7b5265…
08-14 04:39:46	Will Betty Gilpin – “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	9	43¢	$4	0x4dd209…
08-12 02:31:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x3da64b…
08-11 15:47:15	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0x685330…
08-11 15:37:09	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0xdfb4d8…
08-11 14:53:49	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x6ad7ba…
08-11 11:50:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x44b469…
08-11 11:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x9e34b0…
08-11 11:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x49e54f…
08-11 11:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0x3cda3f…
08-11 11:34:31	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xd9dde5…
08-11 11:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x76a286…
08-11 11:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C or higher on August 13?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x7adaa3…
08-10 15:47:52	Will Cherry Jones – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xf8780b…
08-10 15:47:06	Will Cherry Jones – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xa483d3…
08-10 13:06:30	Will Leslie Bibb – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x302064…
08-10 12:56:24	Will Leslie Bibb – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe7a006…
08-10 09:47:01	Will Laurie Metcalf – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x0bb658…
08-09 06:02:15	Will Kaitlin Olson – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a comedy series?	Yes	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x15cbe8…
08-06 16:24:11	Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x04bd64…
08-06 16:00:33	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xa4e00e…
08-05 23:47:44	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xa6bb59…
08-05 20:20:56	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x7c4ca2…
08-05 19:11:41	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xd29386…
08-05 16:34:59	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xb1491b…
08-05 16:14:24	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x2a0784…
08-05 07:42:11	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?	Yes	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xbfdcc6…
08-05 07:39:06	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x87b4de…
08-05 05:19:38	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m?	Yes	SELL	11	71¢	$8	0xbfa995…
08-04 12:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xf0f1de…
08-03 16:35:35	Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xd7f463…
08-03 12:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xc4d44a…
08-03 12:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x734b98…
08-03 11:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x5e21be…
08-03 11:11:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x623f0b…
08-03 11:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x76fd25…
08-03 10:44:05	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5?	Yes	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0xfc208f…
08-02 21:51:20	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 0 or 1 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x920113…
08-02 16:31:57	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xb275aa…
08-02 02:17:21	Will "DTF St. Louis" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x7ffebb…
08-01 23:21:42	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x4e7bd1…
08-01 23:21:09	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $446,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xffa584…
08-01 11:55:59	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $470,000 and $478,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x2e04ab…
08-01 11:55:50	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $462,000 and $470,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x2e17c7…
08-01 11:31:30	Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $454,000 and $462,000 on September 30?	Yes	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x834fb3…
07-31 22:26:00	Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x30c7b0…
07-30 22:56:20	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 280m and 290m?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xd78876…
07-30 19:04:50	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 310m and 320m?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x0755e9…
07-30 18:12:03	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x02e10c…
07-30 16:11:08	Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0x07e92c…
07-30 10:03:39	Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x8d0806…
07-30 05:56:00	Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xf2e233…
07-30 02:46:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 340m and 350m?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x86fe52…
07-30 01:05:14	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x292a88…
07-30 01:05:12	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$2	0x6f18b3…
07-30 00:34:03	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0xff2391…
07-29 22:10:02	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 300m and 310m?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x0b0d5a…
07-29 21:51:57	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 320m and 330m?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x892c1c…
07-29 21:22:39	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 330m and 340m?	Yes	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0x49a6c1…
07-29 18:41:56	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x74393b…
07-29 18:34:30	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 290m and 300m?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x9d598b…
07-26 21:11:01	Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xd18781…
07-26 20:21:12	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0x81ec55…
07-26 18:38:10	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0x0c57a6…
07-26 10:02:52	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0x95776e…
07-26 07:03:25	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xa681e2…
07-26 07:03:24	Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x0f18d0…
07-26 02:11:43	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0xa9a02c…
07-25 12:58:49	Will HBO Max win the most Emmys?	Yes	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0x37cbb0…
07-25 12:52:28	Will Apple TV win the most Emmys?	Yes	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x77f881…
07-25 11:17:07	Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xde1b1b…
07-25 04:11:34	Will annual inflation be 3.1% or less in July?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x0af38f…
07-25 04:11:19	Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xe7bedd…
07-25 02:47:24	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	SELL	6	38¢	$2	0xe03a82…
07-24 15:16:19	Will annual inflation be 3.2% in July?	Yes	SELL	7	3¢	$0	0x5b718c…
07-24 15:08:42	Will Netflix win the most Emmys?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0xd39bfd…
07-24 14:40:13	Will Netflix win the most Emmys?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0xdcb1b6…
07-23 19:51:55	Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x09519c…
07-23 16:52:03	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xfd1ae6…
07-23 16:43:46	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	Yes	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x3f2770…
07-23 03:17:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x4bb97d…
07-21 19:36:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xce08a0…
07-21 19:36:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x1ab7e4…
07-21 19:36:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xecbaef…
07-21 19:36:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x264d7b…
07-21 19:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x8cf08f…
07-21 19:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xb98c98…
07-21 19:31:12	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x04e459…
07-21 19:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x79822a…