Rapid-Identification — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$122

Unrealized P&L

+$23

Hit rate

81.4%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

171

3,255 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$3.07K

$37.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$129

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 11-03 00:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

100% 74% +$1,197

Sports

0% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+117	$85	94¢	$110	+$24	11-03 00:05
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+20	$13	54¢	$11	-$2	11-02 18:29
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+7	$6	100¢	$7	+$1	11-02 01:52
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	+2	$1	58¢	$1	+$0	11-03 00:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	28	$1.2K	1,275	0	+1,275	No	+$122	06-20 14:59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	36	$938	1,419	0	+1,419	No	+$481	06-09 14:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	44	$903	1,378	0	+1,378	No	+$474	06-19 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	21	$783	1,039	0	+1,039	No	+$256	06-15 15:37
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	16	$763	846	0	+846	No	+$83	06-17 11:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	37	$758	1,165	0	+1,165	No	+$407	06-16 13:14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	34	$739	1,098	0	+1,098	Yes	-$739	07-20 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	25	$707	1,132	0	+1,132	Yes	-$707	06-26 14:00
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	16	$679	779	0	+779	No	+$101	06-26 14:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	33	$634	1,030	0	+1,030	No	+$395	06-12 13:49
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	15	$542	689	0	+689	No	+$147	06-26 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	12	$513	572	0	+572	No	+$59	06-21 02:23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	22	$481	767	0	+767	No	+$286	06-29 14:26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	24	$436	703	0	+703	No	+$267	07-20 00:21
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	10	$421	249	248	+0	No	+$51	07-31 04:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?	39	$398	567	0	+567	No	+$169	06-25 20:25
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	19	$372	620	0	+620	Yes	-$372	06-19 05:35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	29	$345	854	0	+854	No	+$509	06-23 14:49
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	14	$343	520	0	+520	Yes	-$343	06-30 14:39
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	5	$318	350	0	+350	No	+$32	06-29 16:24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	15	$288	420	0	+420	Yes	-$288	06-09 14:51
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	5	$273	320	0	+320	No	+$47	06-16 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	7	$267	309	0	+309	No	+$42	06-30 14:11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	6	$260	286	0	+286	No	+$26	06-26 05:11
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?	49	$257	385	0	+385	No	+$128	06-23 09:05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	13	$253	380	0	+380	Yes	-$253	06-23 14:45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	14	$250	460	0	+460	Yes	-$250	06-12 14:57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	7	$242	279	0	+279	No	+$38	06-08 21:41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 12?	17	$234	306	0	+306	No	+$72	06-11 16:31
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	4	$228	240	0	+240	No	+$12	06-20 10:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 00:46:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x07ba68…
11-03 00:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x5125c4…
11-03 00:01:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x5eca46…
11-02 18:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x090d22…
11-02 16:04:18	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x318979…
11-02 13:57:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x28c4f7…
11-02 13:49:57	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x8757bc…
11-02 01:52:03	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xa64177…
11-02 01:25:36	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x0c8508…
11-01 13:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x9180e0…
10-30 13:44:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xaaaddf…
10-30 13:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x6ee9eb…
10-30 13:43:24	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	74¢	$8	0x1e55eb…
10-30 05:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0x7b046e…
10-30 05:26:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x1fe551…
10-30 05:15:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x950bb3…
10-29 17:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xb3e71b…
10-29 16:39:34	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xd5ca02…
10-29 03:14:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	67¢	$19	0xe0f984…
10-29 02:19:37	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x2475b5…
10-29 02:12:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x1d9349…
10-29 02:09:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xe41b34…
10-29 02:03:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x5ffe88…
10-28 16:30:23	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x901c59…
10-27 03:56:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x86c4d7…
10-27 03:55:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	18	69¢	$12	0x5a65c3…
10-27 03:50:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	33	72¢	$24	0x76a751…
10-27 01:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x1e7aaf…
10-26 12:54:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	21	59¢	$12	0xa98f85…
10-26 12:38:15	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x89d60a…
10-26 11:04:45	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	27	58¢	$16	0xeb139c…
10-26 10:14:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xa847ff…
10-26 09:55:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	13	58¢	$7	0x0eb3b4…
10-26 08:01:38	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0xeb1d5c…
10-23 17:04:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x5271a3…
10-23 17:03:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	39	80¢	$32	0xc4f2a4…
10-23 16:08:48	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xbbda55…
10-23 15:34:59	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xc400d3…
10-23 15:00:12	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0x072088…
10-23 14:59:48	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xb464a0…
10-22 16:36:14	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x990ddd…
10-22 08:45:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	40	69¢	$28	0x50430e…
10-21 16:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0xfd65a0…
10-21 16:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x4271aa…
10-21 16:04:06	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	35	78¢	$27	0x9de2a9…
10-21 15:49:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	16	79¢	$12	0x0ce6f8…
10-21 15:49:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0xcb6c65…
10-21 15:42:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x5a3be3…
10-21 10:29:15	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$16	0x24e3cb…
10-21 10:01:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x34921f…
10-20 16:02:09	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x757b52…
10-20 14:52:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xbe7a76…
10-20 05:26:27	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0x5b9007…
10-20 01:07:39	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xcf532f…
10-19 20:12:11	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x83b262…
10-19 07:35:35	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xd2caf0…
10-19 03:43:09	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x566b14…
10-16 14:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xc5263a…
10-16 14:16:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0xaa5596…
10-16 14:07:07	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x414a21…
10-16 04:20:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x46695c…
10-16 02:23:40	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	26	71¢	$18	0x00e971…
10-16 02:23:12	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	0	71¢	$0	0x4e699d…
10-16 02:15:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	40	70¢	$28	0x8270c7…
10-16 00:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x53337e…
10-15 03:31:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	27	80¢	$21	0xc77b16…
10-15 02:07:19	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	32	73¢	$23	0xa4842b…
10-15 02:02:08	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xbf6dce…
10-15 01:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xcf8c04…
10-14 16:10:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0xedeb09…
10-14 16:01:33	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	31	77¢	$24	0xc9b011…
10-14 15:52:06	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x30a654…
10-14 15:14:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x191268…
10-14 15:13:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa8688b…
10-14 04:16:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc39469…
10-14 04:12:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	36	89¢	$32	0xf87969…
10-14 04:11:49	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xd9209b…
10-13 11:14:37	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x96914d…
10-12 14:18:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x8b5e73…
10-12 14:11:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	26	37¢	$10	0x6e818a…
10-12 14:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x78c312…
10-12 14:11:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x47bac2…
10-12 05:19:15	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x90edd7…
10-12 02:26:41	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0x3219e4…
10-12 00:23:38	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0x4ac8f0…
10-10 16:42:04	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xcb8461…
10-10 15:00:49	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x5cef5b…
10-09 06:20:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xea2c6b…
10-08 22:31:29	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	24	78¢	$19	0x7c8637…
10-08 22:29:23	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xb425a6…
10-08 22:07:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0x01e572…
10-08 21:55:51	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0x4fcffa…
10-08 21:55:09	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x54faa2…
10-08 21:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	17	77¢	$13	0xc12e67…
10-08 21:53:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0x6c548c…
10-08 20:31:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x9fc052…
10-08 20:31:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	38	84¢	$32	0x01ba3f…
10-08 05:25:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xfe5b74…
10-07 17:09:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0xeab20c…
10-07 17:05:41	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	18	76¢	$13	0xa11838…