Velvety-Hassock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.9%

Resolved

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$31.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-20 17:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

63% 50% +$11

Other

31% 40% $-2

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on march 8 2026	13	$4.0K	2,720	2,720	+0	open	—	03-09 02:40
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	26	$3.5K	8,324	1,000	+7,324	open	—	03-28 08:44
usisrael strike yemen by march 14	11	$2.0K	4,800	4,800	+0	open	—	03-15 06:56
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	22	$2.0K	3,497	3,497	+0	open	—	03-24 13:31
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$2.0K	6,192	0	+6,192	open	—	02-28 06:17
will iran strike turkey in march	7	$1.7K	5,488	5,488	+0	open	—	03-13 22:54
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	5	$1.4K	2,426	2,426	+0	open	—	04-03 01:05
will iran strike israel on march 10	7	$861	532	532	+0	open	—	03-15 06:56
us strikes iraq by march 7	5	$851	805	805	+0	open	—	03-06 13:41
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	6	$666	23,545	23,544	+0	open	—	02-19 19:06
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$637	337	337	+0	open	—	03-07 18:06
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	39	$554	12,172	0	+12,172	open	—	02-20 00:54
houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	6	$516	417	417	+0	open	—	04-04 22:58
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$449	15,751	0	+15,751	open	—	02-28 07:06
will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	2	$432	235	235	+0	open	—	03-02 20:21
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$410	1,026	1,026	+0	open	—	03-13 00:55
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$309	691	587	+104	open	—	02-28 00:16
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	4	$298	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	02-19 12:03
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$289	875	0	+875	open	—	02-27 14:45
will iran strike israel on march 6	8	$239	5,528	0	+5,528	open	—	03-12 00:32
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	4	$212	698	698	+0	open	—	04-07 22:52
us forces seize another oil tanker by february 21 2026	2	$205	107	107	+0	open	—	02-22 05:08
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	2	$192	111	111	+0	open	—	03-14 21:48
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	8	$192	1,631	1,631	+0	open	—	02-27 21:19
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	4	$182	13,000	0	+13,000	open	—	02-25 01:38
bitcoin above 70k on april 7	4	$162	571	537	+35	open	—	04-06 23:29
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	4	$156	6,420	6,216	+203	open	—	02-19 19:33
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	6	$154	369	369	+0	open	—	03-28 10:32
will israel strike gaza on march 9 2026	4	$153	197	197	+0	open	—	03-10 00:01
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?	3	$153	81	81	+0	open	—	04-08 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 17:38:03	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	27¢	$23	0x656ee2…
05-19 07:25:11	Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	20¢	$17	0x99695a…
05-18 18:53:39	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	43	53¢	$23	0x000cb4…
05-18 03:32:48	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x1f5b70…
05-15 14:22:03	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0xd77051…
05-15 13:53:42	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x7eb97c…
05-13 19:20:10	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	24	16¢	$4	0x6bcbf1…
05-13 19:20:03	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	SELL	177	16¢	$28	0x19c692…
05-13 19:14:30	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	Yes	BUY	201	14¢	$28	0xbccdc7…
05-12 16:23:20	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xdbcfe9…
05-12 10:39:40	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	33¢	$14	0x70af79…
05-12 06:16:33	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x8f189e…
05-11 18:21:04	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x66b2d1…
05-11 18:00:25	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	10¢	$5	0xead07e…
05-09 17:17:43	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	23¢	$12	0x9158cc…
05-09 16:30:03	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x9215aa…
05-09 16:28:50	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x245b78…
05-08 18:02:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	14¢	$18	0x97780c…
05-08 14:27:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lys	Eva Lys	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x212f94…
05-08 14:27:31	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lys	Eva Lys	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x188c2a…
05-08 13:55:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lys	Eva Lys	BUY	16	23¢	$4	0x4a3cda…
05-08 13:54:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Naomi Osaka vs Eva Lys	Eva Lys	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x940e10…
05-06 09:04:04	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xe14e79…
05-06 06:26:54	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$13	0xf74046…
05-04 18:03:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	9¢	$12	0x1e5b4f…
05-01 14:10:28	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x998aa2…
05-01 13:51:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xcb0a3c…
05-01 13:12:04	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	7	50¢	$3	0x14a425…
05-01 13:10:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x4f0161…
05-01 12:36:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	7	48¢	$3	0x3d170e…
05-01 11:28:04	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x66b091…
05-01 10:50:16	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xa35a4e…
05-01 10:44:04	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x0a45d1…
04-30 20:40:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xaf1646…
04-30 03:02:04	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	61¢	$21	0xaed4ae…
04-30 03:00:24	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x906154…
04-30 02:38:44	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xdcb112…
04-30 02:29:42	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xe8a93a…
04-29 20:47:08	Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa4700c…
04-29 20:00:24	Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by April 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x7118bb…
04-29 17:28:34	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xc1207e…
04-29 14:52:04	James Comey arrested by April 30?	No	SELL	7	21¢	$2	0x8ccbd0…
04-29 13:32:02	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x1471c1…
04-29 12:38:54	Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xac6fdc…
04-29 12:18:54	Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0xb77493…
04-29 12:13:10	Will the UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x997f8e…
04-29 11:28:04	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xfce14f…
04-29 11:26:24	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x2b887b…
04-29 11:17:32	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbdbef4…
04-29 11:00:44	Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xdc3cb5…
04-29 10:44:18	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x119a4c…
04-29 09:50:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 30?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x76e83f…
04-29 09:40:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba4108…
04-29 09:40:26	Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 40 by April 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x3e06ca…
04-29 09:40:20	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x021866…
04-29 09:40:14	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0da08e…
04-29 09:30:22	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by April 30?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x195a6e…
04-29 09:30:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x829fe6…
04-29 09:30:12	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x38a977…
04-29 09:30:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xe16672…
04-29 09:30:10	James Comey arrested by April 30?	No	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0xa19345…
04-28 17:12:30	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xcb09d6…
04-28 08:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x66c9b1…
04-28 06:40:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 28?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x4e2eee…
04-28 04:00:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 29?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x4efd7c…
04-28 04:00:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x949821…
04-27 21:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x4627f6…
04-27 21:13:44	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x270c73…
04-27 20:10:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xae7bb5…
04-27 17:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 27?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf3e4f8…
04-27 17:10:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on April 27?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xf70b13…
04-27 15:21:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 27?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x9fb2a2…
04-27 15:20:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 27?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5d8b0d…
04-27 15:10:04	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?	No	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x30b941…
04-27 14:10:36	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x8f1e82…
04-27 14:10:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 27?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x4faa3a…
04-27 10:14:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x6be8f1…
04-27 10:10:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 28?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x896146…
04-27 06:11:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0xb72a3f…
04-27 06:00:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 27?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x1c5b10…
04-27 05:20:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0x7503d1…
04-27 04:00:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xde341e…
04-27 02:10:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xd13a09…
04-27 00:11:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x2bacfb…
04-26 23:10:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xa1818f…
04-26 22:20:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0x303819…
04-26 21:08:44	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0xcf7074…
04-26 19:30:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 26?	No	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xe56e46…
04-26 19:30:10	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on April 26?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x01d7ad…
04-26 18:30:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 27?	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0x8e90b1…
04-26 15:20:10	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on April 26?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x6f52f6…
04-26 13:10:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xeafa9e…
04-26 09:50:14	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2e9835…
04-26 09:50:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 26?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x928c05…
04-26 09:15:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 26?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x05b9bb…
04-26 08:40:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x52da9e…
04-26 08:40:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?	No	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0xe0ff55…
04-26 08:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0322a6…
04-26 08:10:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 26?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xb587a1…
04-26 07:40:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?	No	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x011e54…