Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

47.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$117

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-07

last 11-02 02:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

88% 43% -$16

Politics

10% 71% +$12

Tech

2% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No		+2	$1	72¢	$2	+$1	10-28 09:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	2	$5	9	+9	Yes	-$1	09-21 06:56
will pltr reach 174 by september 7 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	+$4	09-09 00:08
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$1	09-19 07:50
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-21 14:57
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-21 22:58
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-09 17:05
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$2	09-09 09:04
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$2	10	+10	Yes	+$8	09-23 17:00
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-15 05:24
spy closes above 765 on september 18 2026	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	09-17 21:39
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	09-17 03:29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-14 13:20
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-22 06:58
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	+$4	09-13 21:13
will coin reach 212 50 by september 21 2026	1	$2	5	+5	No	-$2	09-23 07:28
will rklb reach 72 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	09-24 01:54
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-07 07:45
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	09-08 14:33
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-14 05:14
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	2	$2	4	+4	Up	$0	10-15 16:54
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$0	10-09 15:27
will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$0	09-14 21:24
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-07 23:11
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-20 22:10
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-19 04:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 15:44
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-28 08:13
will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-29 23:04
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 01:08
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 08:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 02:54:15	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x53af0d…
10-29 05:08:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfcbd8f…
10-28 09:08:08	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x67575c…
10-28 08:13:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x995845…
10-28 00:04:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2fab9c…
10-27 15:49:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xaacefb…
10-27 07:48:57	Gemini Carbon released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x50877e…
10-26 23:48:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,100 in October?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc9ef6e…
10-25 14:41:21	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1ef3e1…
10-25 02:07:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x84a7c6…
10-21 05:00:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a3ec2…
10-19 04:59:54	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $244 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xefea92…
10-18 20:59:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xea8a99…
10-18 11:56:59	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf4fdae…
10-18 01:08:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x60ef35…
10-17 15:44:48	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa28e29…
10-17 04:18:54	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 22 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3488ce…
10-16 09:10:33	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x636340…
10-16 01:08:31	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbbcfb9…
10-15 16:54:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb84245…
10-15 16:42:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 15?	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9f74bf…
10-15 08:32:52	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1bbf49…
10-15 00:00:09	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x54b9fa…
10-14 11:28:13	will spy reach 785 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4eee71…
10-14 03:17:04	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbbf140…
10-13 07:13:40	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x497e79…
10-12 23:09:26	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x2aa636…
10-12 15:08:39	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $198 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6fc8a1…
10-12 07:08:23	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc56ee4…
10-11 23:08:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x443fc2…
10-11 14:37:52	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe3c8d3…
10-11 03:03:30	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x94a335…
10-10 18:32:13	Will Bank of America (BAC) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $1.2B?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9b87a0…
10-10 06:28:12	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x07b70d…
10-09 15:27:10	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xdeb338…
10-09 15:26:06	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7fe0ec…
10-09 06:26:30	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbe6080…
10-08 22:26:14	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x31d1a5…
10-08 04:17:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf88712…
10-07 17:18:25	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x771286…
10-07 16:36:38	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x554ea4…
10-07 04:16:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa0b6d2…
10-06 20:14:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x9426ae…
10-06 12:14:19	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $193 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf92686…
10-06 04:14:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x15e6ba…
10-05 17:54:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x882b3b…
10-05 16:35:07	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xda46af…
10-04 23:47:02	will coin reach 192 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb0443c…
10-02 08:31:38	xagusd up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x6e815e…
10-01 11:58:29	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdb754b…
10-01 03:56:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x77ce3a…
09-30 18:59:17	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf07ecf…
09-30 07:07:32	spy up or down on september 30 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6db50c…
09-29 23:04:18	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa5360f…
09-29 14:04:08	will wti reach 95 by september 28 2026 from september 28	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdf55df…
09-29 05:57:41	will mu reach 1080 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf0c433…
09-28 21:56:14	will meta reach 730 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6612f4…
09-28 13:54:50	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in September?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc52634…
09-28 05:09:45	will xagusd dip to 60 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa23529…
09-27 21:09:33	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbe41be…
09-27 12:11:26	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x33572f…
09-27 01:54:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7675d7…
09-26 08:11:17	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x08fa46…
09-26 00:01:06	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdcb9ab…
09-25 14:56:57	wti up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc906f9…
09-25 06:43:30	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x034ac2…
09-24 21:56:06	will trump say ballroom during his evening remarks with xi jinping	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa43a38…
09-24 01:54:05	will rklb reach 72 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x02772b…
09-23 17:00:19	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x606ad1…
09-23 07:28:20	will coin reach 212 50 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdc2d9e…
09-22 06:58:43	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xf39a74…
09-21 22:58:24	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd7198a…
09-21 14:57:21	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x838ae4…
09-21 06:56:30	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xfe4ef5…
09-21 06:44:36	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xddbf2f…
09-20 22:10:28	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x8b21cc…
09-19 07:50:22	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x1b39ec…
09-17 21:39:22	spy closes above 765 on september 18 2026	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x98a76e…
09-17 03:29:01	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xd676c6…
09-15 05:24:16	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x08225a…
09-14 21:24:10	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x805435…
09-14 13:20:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6f3f17…
09-14 05:14:33	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x2c3b6b…
09-13 21:13:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x859eed…
09-09 17:05:37	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x139226…
09-09 09:04:22	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6a42d6…
09-09 00:08:51	will pltr reach 174 by september 7 2026	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0xd6368d…
09-08 14:33:10	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x97fec7…
09-07 23:11:25	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x427acd…
09-07 07:45:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x8f6502…