Realized P&L
+$349
Unrealized P&L
-$84
Hit rate
63.4%
Resolved
182
Trades
720
lifetime
Volume
$9.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$31
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-30
last 07-18 22:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Crypto
95%
20%
+$468
Other
3%
26%
-$80
Politics
2%
15%
-$25
Pop-Culture
0%
0%
-$10
Tech
0%
0%
-$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-18).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | +715 | $25 | 1¢ | $10 | -$15 | 05-14 10:50 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | +368 | $35 | 2¢ | $9 | -$26 | 05-08 10:26 | |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | +263 | $10 | 2¢ | $5 | -$5 | 06-02 22:38 | |
| Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | +323 | $10 | 1¢ | $3 | -$7 | 06-02 22:40 | |
| Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | +1,190 | $25 | 0¢ | $3 | -$22 | 06-02 22:35 | |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | +833 | $10 | 0¢ | $1 | -$9 | 06-02 22:41 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| xrp above 1pt4 on february 6 | 14 | $916 | 1,334 | 1,119 | +216 | Yes | +$693 | 02-06 15:24 |
| ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-03 17:00 UTC | 42 | $910 | 1,017 | 1,017 | +0 | Up | +$624 | 02-03 20:33 |
| xrp up or down on february 6 | 25 | $611 | 670 | 617 | +53 | Up | +$354 | 02-06 12:33 |
| ethereum up or down on february 6 | 5 | $578 | 552 | 552 | +0 | Up | +$358 | 02-06 16:31 |
| solana up or down on february 7 | 17 | $559 | 700 | 699 | +1 | Up | +$122 | 02-07 16:05 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 14:15 UTC | 6 | $400 | 1,462 | 0 | +1,462 | Down | -$400 | 02-06 14:21 |
| ethereum above 2600 on january 31 | 5 | $269 | 295 | 295 | +0 | No | +$251 | 01-31 14:31 |
| xrp above 1pt5 on february 8 | 5 | $266 | 2,026 | 2,026 | +0 | No | -$252 | 02-08 16:53 |
| xrp above 1pt5 on february 12 | 2 | $234 | 2,123 | 0 | +2,123 | No | -$234 | 02-11 05:06 |
| xrp above 1pt5 on february 6 | 12 | $229 | 474 | 464 | +10 | No | +$197 | 02-06 16:59 |
| xrp above 1pt5 on february 15 | 11 | $227 | 241 | 241 | +0 | Yes | +$145 | 02-15 01:05 |
| XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-07 09:00 UTC | 10 | $207 | 300 | 300 | +0 | Down | +$81 | 02-07 12:18 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-07 09:00 UTC | 11 | $196 | 248 | 248 | +0 | Up | +$77 | 02-07 12:12 |
| bitcoin up or down on january 31 | 18 | $193 | 15,217 | 0 | +15,217 | Down | -$193 | 01-31 16:50 |
| XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-05 17:00 UTC | 11 | $180 | 1,039 | 25 | +1,014 | Down | -$164 | 02-05 20:37 |
| will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 31 | 8 | $179 | 310 | 310 | +0 | Yes | +$167 | 01-31 14:47 |
| bitcoin up or down on february 5 | 12 | $170 | 558 | 76 | +482 | Down | -$100 | 02-05 11:28 |
| ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-08 09:00 UTC | 8 | $147 | 153 | 153 | +0 | Up | +$71 | 02-08 12:27 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:15 UTC | 7 | $111 | 408 | 0 | +408 | Down | -$111 | 02-04 17:23 |
| XRP Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-08 09:00 UTC | 7 | $110 | 139 | 139 | +0 | Up | +$50 | 02-08 12:59 |
| solana up or down february 1 6am et | 6 | $107 | 584 | 0 | +584 | Up | -$107 | 02-01 11:47 |
| ethereum up or down february 13 6am et | 7 | $106 | 130 | 130 | +0 | Up | +$45 | 02-13 11:56 |
| Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 3 France? | 2 | $105 | 1,167 | 0 | +1,167 | No | -$105 | 07-04 19:42 |
| xrp above 1pt7 on february 9 | 1 | $103 | 2,463 | 0 | +2,463 | No | -$103 | 02-07 12:22 |
| xrp above 1pt6 on february 10 | 6 | $102 | 1,930 | 0 | +1,930 | No | -$102 | 02-09 16:50 |
| ethereum above 2500 on january 31 | 7 | $95 | 409 | 409 | +0 | No | +$89 | 01-31 14:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-08 09:00 UTC | 6 | $92 | 100 | 100 | +0 | Up | +$52 | 02-08 12:46 |
| fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance | 2 | $91 | 164 | 164 | +0 | England | +$62 | 07-18 22:31 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-04 17:00 UTC | 9 | $89 | 97 | 97 | +0 | Down | +$27 | 02-04 19:48 |
| bitcoin up or down on february 11 | 2 | $87 | 578 | 0 | +578 | Down | -$87 | 02-11 05:08 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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