Full-Burial — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

-$19

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

668

lifetime

Volume

$169.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$254

Open exposure

$3.53K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 06:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

52% — —

Other

42% 100% +$43

Tech

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	+1,733	$1,602	91¢	$1.6K	$-25	06-09 06:20
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	-987	$-960	98¢	$-970	$-10	05-31 14:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	+600	$583	97¢	$582	$-1	06-02 23:25
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+400	$381	100¢	$399	+$18	05-31 10:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	46	$15.7K	11,317	11,317	+0	open	—	02-28 20:16
us forces enter iran by march 7	24	$13.1K	7,737	7,737	+0	open	—	03-05 08:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	18	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-19 09:39
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	15	$9.4K	6,017	4,000	+2,017	open	—	04-23 17:53
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	37	$9.0K	6,577	6,967	-390	open	—	03-02 17:12
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	5	$7.1K	5,000	3,000	+2,000	open	—	03-26 20:21
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	6	$6.9K	3,510	3,510	+0	open	—	03-02 01:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	32	$5.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	05-22 12:19
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$4.5K	3,000	2,000	+1,000	open	—	03-14 16:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	32	$4.0K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	04-27 03:58
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-14 11:27
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	36	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-26 05:46
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-19 16:13
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	8	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-29 05:40
will opinion launch a token on march 12	47	$3.7K	1,897	1,897	+0	open	—	03-01 11:19
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$3.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-26 15:47
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 276	7	$3.1K	2,000	1,514	+486	open	—	03-02 15:24
Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	6	$3.0K	2,022	1,022	+1,000	Yes	+$38	05-13 10:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	7	$2.9K	1,865	1,865	+0	open	—	03-03 02:01
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-23 08:39
will opinion launch a token on march 5	12	$2.8K	2,246	1,185	+1,061	open	—	03-02 12:56
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	10	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-31 06:29
maduro trial scheduled by january 31	16	$2.2K	1,195	1,094	+101	open	—	01-18 02:22
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	7	$2.1K	2,242	0	+2,242	open	—	04-20 20:40
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	04-11 09:37
Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	2	$2.0K	2,020	0	+2,020	open	—	05-13 01:36
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	3	$1.8K	1,093	747	+346	open	—	05-31 22:33
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	19	$1.7K	958	958	+0	open	—	03-30 15:02
nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	3	$1.7K	1,757	0	+1,757	open	—	06-08 16:22
will zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the world economic forum	18	$1.6K	944	700	+244	open	—	01-23 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 06:20:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	Yes	BUY	1,733	92¢	$1,602	0x60d95f…
06-08 16:22:30	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	1,615	97¢	$1,560	0xd57b4e…
06-08 16:20:51	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x2c0d3a…
06-08 16:19:49	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	Yes	BUY	71	96¢	$68	0x463787…
06-02 23:25:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	600	97¢	$583	0x695891…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	490	2¢	$10	0xdd1894…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xce9080…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	490	2¢	$10	0xbff036…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x8adfd3…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7e43cf…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0x7b8985…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	252	2¢	$5	0x5ee91d…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x4bdb58…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	153	2¢	$3	0x268bf2…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1d40fc…
06-01 12:11:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	490	2¢	$10	0x121c9d…
05-31 22:33:14	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	No	SELL	307	98¢	$301	0x360583…
05-31 20:00:21	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	No	SELL	440	98¢	$430	0x07e3f0…
05-31 14:21:43	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xb53354…
05-31 14:21:43	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1dc7dd…
05-31 14:21:35	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x71ae26…
05-31 14:07:29	Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?	No	BUY	1,093	96¢	$1,049	0x4bdadb…
05-31 13:59:39	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1a3746…
05-31 10:19:24	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	11	97¢	$10	0x5c2a5e…
05-31 10:05:44	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	95¢	$181	0x005999…
05-31 09:40:40	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	901	97¢	$876	0x45dfbf…
05-31 07:27:19	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0x50ac06…
05-31 06:29:20	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	930	100¢	$927	0x6bc683…
05-31 06:23:25	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8d4733…
05-31 05:58:59	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0xdcd1eb…
05-31 05:50:57	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x40a052…
05-31 05:17:13	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$138	0xcb02e7…
05-31 05:04:07	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x4c9085…
05-30 10:39:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	154	99¢	$152	0x76a645…
05-30 10:39:10	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	369	99¢	$364	0x675683…
05-30 06:35:22	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x91ef8d…
05-30 05:11:57	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$393	0x1894d2…
05-29 17:09:48	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x36bffa…
05-29 17:04:26	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc0f14b…
05-29 17:04:18	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x088fb0…
05-29 16:48:52	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xdfb9b6…
05-29 16:48:33	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xdf84b2…
05-29 16:17:52	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xb9162d…
05-29 16:12:02	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x4dc03e…
05-29 16:02:21	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x9de87f…
05-29 15:49:03	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x7693e8…
05-29 15:47:18	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xb637e8…
05-24 00:27:31	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	364	96¢	$349	0xbb3620…
05-23 21:52:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	795	96¢	$762	0x4bc5cb…
05-23 18:06:20	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x280cba…
05-23 17:20:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xf5ce3d…
05-22 12:19:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	693	95¢	$658	0x14649f…
05-20 19:10:22	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xa87de7…
05-20 18:55:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	984	94¢	$926	0x04375e…
05-20 18:44:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	323	94¢	$304	0xa919e5…
05-20 18:37:51	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	511	91¢	$464	0x0613ff…
05-19 21:23:09	will trump or melania say six seven during the congressional picnic 948 932	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5d2e8e…
05-19 18:52:37	will trump or melania say six seven during the congressional picnic 948 932	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xed9e33…
05-19 17:35:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	64	84¢	$54	0x1b7200…
05-19 17:35:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0x62fabb…
05-19 16:52:57	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	68	86¢	$58	0x3c5a99…
05-19 16:35:41	will trump or melania say six seven during the congressional picnic 948 932	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x721076…
05-19 16:34:36	will trump or melania say six seven during the congressional picnic 948 932	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf0da2a…
05-19 16:31:09	will trump or melania say stock market during the congressional picnic 755 366	No	BUY	40	76¢	$31	0x82a44a…
05-19 16:13:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,974	0xfec967…
05-19 14:44:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	454	90¢	$409	0xe77dcf…
05-19 14:44:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	97¢	$966	0x15e1b7…
05-19 14:44:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x0b149c…
05-19 14:43:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	300	90¢	$270	0x7467f2…
05-19 14:43:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xaf9216…
05-19 14:42:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x4c0744…
05-19 14:35:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	212	90¢	$191	0x63a600…
05-18 18:10:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1,569	98¢	$1,535	0x3aa9ae…
05-18 18:09:40	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	431	98¢	$421	0x528a6b…
05-17 07:40:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,530	94¢	$1,441	0x572691…
05-17 07:23:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x666368…
05-17 07:21:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0x5adeb8…
05-17 07:19:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xb147bc…
05-17 07:17:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	25	94¢	$23	0x6aaa85…
05-17 07:16:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdda2a7…
05-17 07:15:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$9	0xf40f0b…
05-17 07:13:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	142	94¢	$134	0x203d4d…
05-17 07:09:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	215	94¢	$202	0x9c3c1b…
05-13 10:07:22	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	636	97¢	$618	0x4182cc…
05-13 10:00:01	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	357	97¢	$347	0x6b7dcc…
05-13 09:37:23	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xe41a24…
05-13 03:35:54	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	SELL	1,022	99¢	$1,011	0x787748…
05-13 01:36:31	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,942	0xd80eeb…
05-12 15:52:31	Will Mark Zuckerberg attend Trump’s Xi summit?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x27605a…
05-12 15:04:06	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	1,000	98¢	$979	0x0cfcd1…
05-12 15:03:38	Will Tim Cook attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$22	0x8a1bb3…
05-11 18:37:43	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0x6118a9…
05-11 18:12:30	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc13931…
05-09 04:50:51	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8c25c7…
05-07 18:55:50	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x222354…
05-05 17:44:58	Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x6449b1…
04-29 10:50:36	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x4d6d74…
04-29 10:35:28	Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xedc136…
04-29 07:50:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	283	36¢	$102	0xd57351…
04-29 07:49:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	330	36¢	$119	0x03b87e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	74	$17.2M	22,822	06-08 14:08
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	73	$863.1K	12,878	06-10 03:15
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	70	$202.9K	16,843	06-01 01:51
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	66	$12.7K	2,684	06-08 16:40
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	63	$25.4K	2,387	05-29 17:30
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	62	$78.9K	7,210	03-28 07:43
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	62	$10.6K	4,888	06-08 08:45
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	61	$138.2K	725	06-08 20:16