Notable-Fireman — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$7.36K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved (90d)

193

Trades (90d)

687

1,014 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$97.9K

$100.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-23 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

100% 92% -$7,364

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	60	$5.2K	5,484	+5,484	No	-$5,222	10-18 17:38
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 18?	17	$2.7K	2,745	+2,745	No	+$12	10-17 19:10
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 15?	5	$2.6K	2,641	+2,641	No	+$3	10-16 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 15?	5	$2.4K	2,395	+2,395	No	+$2	10-15 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	23	$2.3K	2,316	+2,316	Yes	-$2,296	10-18 17:03
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	17	$2.2K	2,220	+2,220	No	+$7	10-18 16:55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 13?	44	$2.1K	2,161	+2,161	No	+$16	10-14 02:11
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 15?	13	$2.0K	1,990	+1,990	No	+$6	10-15 21:54
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	10	$1.9K	1,930	+1,930	No	+$6	10-18 19:05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or higher on October 16?	24	$1.9K	1,855	+1,855	Yes	+$3	10-16 17:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on October 18?	5	$1.8K	1,849	+1,849	No	+$2	10-18 04:16
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 15?	4	$1.7K	1,747	+1,747	No	+$2	10-16 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18?	6	$1.7K	1,685	+1,685	No	+$2	10-18 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 17?	5	$1.7K	1,683	+1,683	No	+$2	10-17 15:24
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 15?	9	$1.7K	1,659	+1,659	No	+$2	10-15 21:23
lowest temperature in lucknow on october 18 2026 23c	2	$1.6K	1,603	+1,603	No	+$2	10-17 22:36
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C or below on October 18?	1	$1.6K	1,602	+1,602	No	+$2	10-17 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on October 18?	1	$1.6K	1,588	+1,588	No	+$2	10-17 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 16?	8	$1.5K	1,488	+1,488	No	+$2	10-16 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on October 18?	9	$1.2K	1,225	+1,225	No	+$1	10-18 21:40
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 14?	13	$1.2K	1,225	+1,225	No	+$16	10-14 05:24
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 17?	1	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	No	+$1	10-17 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 17?	1	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	No	+$1	10-17 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 17?	1	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	No	+$1	10-17 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 16?	1	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	No	+$1	10-17 07:31
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 65°F or below on October 16?	6	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	No	+$1	10-17 03:03
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 81°F or below on October 16?	1	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	No	+$1	10-17 02:17
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 17?	1	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	No	+$1	10-17 09:59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C or below on October 16?	7	$1.2K	1,199	+1,199	No	+$1	10-16 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 16?	2	$1.2K	1,199	+1,199	No	+$1	10-16 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 08:23:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on October 18?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xc668a7…
10-19 06:09:29	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x859406…
10-18 21:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on October 18?	No	BUY	882	100¢	$881	0x1fda2f…
10-18 19:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$50	0xd6d3d6…
10-18 17:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	90¢	$75	0x03347f…
10-18 17:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	79	90¢	$72	0x4d7c5f…
10-18 17:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	81	91¢	$73	0x664e41…
10-18 17:33:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	90¢	$74	0xcdd7df…
10-18 17:28:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x25a12f…
10-18 17:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0x2c9ee1…
10-18 17:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x0bd7cc…
10-18 17:05:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	94¢	$80	0x680934…
10-18 17:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	81	94¢	$76	0xe5d594…
10-18 17:04:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0xfeee5a…
10-18 17:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x915176…
10-18 17:04:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xf99d84…
10-18 17:03:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0xf46527…
10-18 17:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0xd26572…
10-18 17:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0xdc079c…
10-18 17:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0x0a58e6…
10-18 17:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	85	94¢	$80	0x7fbea9…
10-18 17:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0x8296ac…
10-18 17:03:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	94¢	$78	0x57e34a…
10-18 17:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	81	94¢	$76	0x7a1549…
10-18 17:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	94¢	$77	0x4cfddd…
10-18 17:03:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	94¢	$79	0x4cd4b5…
10-18 17:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	93¢	$77	0xcee69a…
10-18 17:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0x86148b…
10-18 17:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0x65d23c…
10-18 17:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	93¢	$78	0x2168be…
10-18 17:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	81	93¢	$76	0x1130f7…
10-18 17:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	93¢	$77	0xc43d46…
10-18 17:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0x902290…
10-18 17:03:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	92¢	$76	0x799b3f…
10-18 17:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	92¢	$78	0xcca62b…
10-18 17:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	92¢	$76	0x355281…
10-18 17:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	92¢	$77	0x5bec11…
10-18 17:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	92¢	$78	0xf3799b…
10-18 17:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	85	92¢	$78	0x4a4ad5…
10-18 17:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	81	92¢	$75	0x5f4624…
10-18 17:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	91¢	$77	0xa269c8…
10-18 17:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0x55b482…
10-18 17:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	91¢	$75	0x880a3e…
10-18 17:02:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	91¢	$76	0xdaf3bb…
10-18 17:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	91¢	$76	0x5fd378…
10-18 17:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	84	91¢	$77	0x344463…
10-18 17:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	76	91¢	$69	0xd018e7…
10-18 17:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	91¢	$76	0x3f2d2a…
10-18 17:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	81	91¢	$74	0x378af7…
10-18 17:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	91¢	$75	0x0630f1…
10-18 16:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$80	0xa22b7f…
10-18 16:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0xf9c9fd…
10-18 16:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0x4924b7…
10-18 11:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 9°C or below on October 18?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xfbd534…
10-18 09:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0xcbb07c…
10-18 09:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	83	97¢	$81	0x80d37d…
10-18 09:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x11a6ad…
10-18 09:26:57	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 14°C on October 18?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xf5a249…
10-18 08:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0x5eedba…
10-18 08:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xc590d5…
10-18 08:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$80	0x4199ca…
10-18 08:20:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xa8a600…
10-18 08:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x539512…
10-18 08:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x8382a6…
10-18 07:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	83	99¢	$82	0xa080fa…
10-18 06:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x536aff…
10-18 06:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x313f1c…
10-18 06:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	82	99¢	$82	0x0a2eb4…
10-18 06:27:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	1,189	100¢	$1,187	0x326629…
10-18 06:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	159	100¢	$159	0x4f1a68…
10-18 06:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4d1335…
10-18 06:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	537	100¢	$536	0x0f7bc4…
10-18 06:27:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xccdc61…
10-18 06:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xc85236…
10-18 06:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	379	100¢	$379	0x84e51a…
10-18 06:15:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x476fc7…
10-18 06:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc100d…
10-18 06:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2c655a…
10-18 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd6307…
10-18 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb2ce9c…
10-18 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0xa7d3ff…
10-18 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x5f56d5…
10-18 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x35c33e…
10-18 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x28da0e…
10-18 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x176315…
10-18 06:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b772d…
10-18 06:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0xefa65c…
10-18 06:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	486	100¢	$485	0xb2db1d…
10-18 06:03:32	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xe10be3…
10-18 06:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x42aadf…
10-18 06:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	406	100¢	$405	0xf02fb3…
10-18 06:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x89945d…
10-18 06:00:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on October 18?	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xcbb789…
10-18 05:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xabe6e5…
10-18 05:54:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$58	0xc75b47…
10-18 05:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18?	No	BUY	1,414	100¢	$1,413	0xdf8add…
10-18 05:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 18?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf3cc3…
10-18 05:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x611898…
10-18 05:47:17	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf979a1…
10-18 05:46:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8a2beb…