Silly-Analogy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 06-25 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 100% +$0

Politics

25% 100% +$0

Other

23% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No		+13	$12	90¢	$12	$-0	06-02 05:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$261	132	132	+0	open	—	03-22 09:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	06-25 06:31
solana above 110 on april 9	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	04-08 08:27
highest temperature in chengdu on april 7 2026 15corbelow	1	$139	140	0	+140	open	—	04-06 09:18
will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	1	$139	140	0	+140	open	—	04-04 05:05
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	1	$139	139	0	+139	open	—	03-29 06:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 5?	1	$138	138	0	+138	open	—	06-02 05:56
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	1	$131	139	0	+139	open	—	03-22 10:05
bitcoin above 74k on march 13	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	03-13 15:40
solana above 130 on april 18	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	04-16 18:20
ethereum above 1900 on april 20	1	$127	127	0	+127	open	—	04-19 16:10
Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 25?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	04-23 14:24
ethereum above 1700 on april 15	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	04-13 14:12
will xrp reach 1pt7 june 8 14 2026	1	$112	112	0	+112	open	—	06-10 08:11
bitcoin above 58k on april 12	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	04-10 16:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	05-12 08:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	04-26 15:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$80	80	0	+80	open	—	04-29 07:32
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 11?	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	05-09 13:42
will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	02-27 07:33
will xrp reach 2 in february 2026	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	02-27 07:37
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	2	$27	35	0	+35	open	—	04-29 07:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-29 07:35
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 27?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-26 15:07
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$22	32	0	+32	open	—	05-12 08:14
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	05-06 14:27
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-27 07:34
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	04-10 16:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	05-05 13:23
highest temperature in jakarta on april 18 2026 34c	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	04-18 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 06:31:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xee080a…
06-10 08:11:37	will xrp reach 1pt7 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xdfbe4a…
06-02 05:56:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on June 5?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x3c6e8d…
06-02 05:54:43	Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x752868…
05-12 08:15:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8ac2bb…
05-12 08:14:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	32	69¢	$22	0xb358dc…
05-09 13:42:47	Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x047c6d…
05-06 14:27:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc69280…
05-05 13:23:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfd006e…
04-29 07:35:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x22b903…
04-29 07:35:04	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7c7c4d…
04-29 07:32:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xda8741…
04-26 15:07:48	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x48657e…
04-26 15:07:18	Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on April 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6c0db0…
04-26 15:05:48	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36fb1c…
04-25 02:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 25?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x902bb6…
04-23 14:24:08	Will the price of Solana be less than $40 on April 25?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xeb8d5f…
04-21 11:08:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x24be05…
04-19 16:10:34	ethereum above 1900 on april 20	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x640d2c…
04-18 11:50:58	highest temperature in jakarta on april 18 2026 34c	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6ab26e…
04-16 18:20:10	solana above 130 on april 18	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xf38026…
04-13 15:54:57	will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x850f89…
04-13 14:12:33	ethereum above 1700 on april 15	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x86ed51…
04-12 16:23:13	highest temperature in mexico city on april 14 2026 12corbelow	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbe64a9…
04-10 16:06:35	bitcoin above 58k on april 12	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x23459a…
04-10 16:05:39	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb2593e…
04-10 16:04:57	highest temperature in paris on april 10 2026 18corbelow	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe22019…
04-10 16:03:49	highest temperature in chicago on april 10 2026 46 47f	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb58d27…
04-08 08:27:27	solana above 110 on april 9	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x233e86…
04-06 09:18:13	highest temperature in chengdu on april 7 2026 15corbelow	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x376501…
04-04 05:05:09	will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x76ce01…
03-29 06:35:16	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0x54e261…
03-22 10:05:19	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 22 2026 392	Yes	BUY	139	94¢	$131	0x659a02…
03-22 09:59:09	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	132	99¢	$131	0xfc4b03…
03-18 09:42:01	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	132	98¢	$130	0xf6820c…
03-13 15:40:31	bitcoin above 74k on march 13	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xe1b3dd…
02-27 07:37:01	will xrp reach 2 in february 2026	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x9df533…
02-27 07:36:33	will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd2ffe…
02-27 07:35:13	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x48c3aa…
02-27 07:34:29	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xaf7181…
02-27 07:33:47	will israel strike lebanon on february 25 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xfa991b…