Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$87

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-07

last 11-06 22:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

84% 57% +$3

Politics

15% 55% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes		+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	11-01 05:17
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	44¢	$1	$0	11-06 22:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 22:44:52	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfc821d…
11-06 14:25:00	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $275 Week of November 2 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x080129…
11-05 13:38:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x519dda…
11-05 02:45:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x2bf64e…
11-01 05:17:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x42acb1…
10-29 04:30:17	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xf87981…
10-28 08:29:28	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc48e92…
10-28 08:13:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x343634…
10-27 12:02:23	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x03d104…
10-27 04:02:05	Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdea8ce…
10-23 04:38:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc16444…
10-22 20:32:53	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb69454…
10-22 12:08:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x08f736…
10-21 19:36:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $367.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x208ed4…
10-21 11:13:45	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd46fb0…
10-21 03:07:26	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5afbb6…
10-19 04:25:41	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5962ad…
10-18 20:25:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4cfbc9…
10-18 11:53:14	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe1999f…
10-18 00:08:00	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8676ab…
10-17 15:52:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2338ae…
10-16 09:03:36	will rklb reach 58 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x161ee5…
10-16 01:03:18	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1193d1…
10-15 16:39:08	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc02431…
10-15 08:30:53	will xagusd dip to 55 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6b7221…
10-15 00:09:19	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1060a5…
10-15 00:00:13	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8aea2…
10-14 21:22:01	will pltr reach 210 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2da8b7…
10-14 11:21:50	will googl reach 365 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe50c8c…
10-14 02:54:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd02f1a…
10-13 06:39:58	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb50ba7…
10-11 22:37:29	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x15be70…
10-10 19:38:55	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9cbf08…
10-10 07:17:57	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x4ede89…
10-09 19:40:10	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc8c15c…
10-08 07:56:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc68fd7…
10-07 11:56:38	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x77df30…
10-07 03:51:29	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfa93e5…
10-06 19:51:15	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 6?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x6521c8…
10-06 11:46:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdb7f3f…
10-06 03:41:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x0e0812…
10-05 16:57:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x4aa0f9…
10-05 00:35:53	will coin dip to 180 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5511c1…
10-04 04:27:35	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb2ae44…
10-02 09:55:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc0a418…
10-02 01:35:50	will rklb dip to 70 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2744a6…
10-01 10:23:54	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xabd177…
10-01 10:17:29	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.90 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd7ed39…
09-28 13:56:41	will abnb dip to 150 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7ed033…
09-28 05:43:05	will mu dip to 1020 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xeea5d6…
09-27 21:42:39	will xagusd dip to 62 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb721ff…
09-27 13:31:21	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x264caf…
09-27 03:11:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2d6c2c…
09-26 07:44:33	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8c0572…
09-23 18:02:13	will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe8149c…
09-23 09:59:41	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on September 23?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x45ea6b…
09-22 23:24:19	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf9ea27…
09-22 14:52:10	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0f7fbb…
09-22 06:47:31	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xade77d…
09-21 22:45:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6ff8b2…
09-21 14:44:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x5e4c69…
09-21 06:44:36	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $183 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x8d7e19…
09-20 22:09:17	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa516e1…
09-19 05:23:13	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x38388f…
09-18 20:25:55	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x76539b…
09-17 19:56:28	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x71fe79…
09-17 11:44:24	spy closes above 755 on september 17 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x190e27…
09-16 23:25:01	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x60970e…
09-16 15:24:44	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x271729…
09-16 07:13:27	will warsh say scenario during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb22134…
09-15 23:10:40	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x00c729…
09-14 22:09:13	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.10 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x758c58…
09-14 13:55:33	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x13f889…
09-14 05:40:25	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa70ee4…
09-13 21:39:25	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x27cd8e…
09-13 04:11:58	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x85f0ac…
09-11 23:33:12	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc20f6f…
09-11 11:41:15	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8ba1cd…
09-10 23:32:58	will ewy reach 187 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4f9098…
09-10 15:27:09	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0748a2…
09-10 07:22:28	wti closes above 96 on september 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdad64d…
09-09 22:22:57	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x33755e…
09-09 13:25:42	Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd8ed52…
09-08 14:21:48	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x71209f…
09-08 08:41:55	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdfed4c…
09-07 17:28:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8be23d…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	2	$2	4	+4	Up	$0	10-28 08:29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	$0	09-10 15:27
will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	$0	10-15 16:39
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	2	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	10-10 07:17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-06 03:41
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-10 19:38
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-18 20:25
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-21 14:44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-11 23:33
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-14 02:54
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	09-16 23:25
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 15:52
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $75 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-21 22:45
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 01:03
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-18 00:08
will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	1	$1	4	+4	No	+$3	09-23 18:02
will ewy reach 187 by september 7 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-10 23:32
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	11-05 02:45
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:44
Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-20 22:09
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-05 16:57
will mu dip to 1020 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-28 05:43
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-07 17:28
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $190 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-22 23:24
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 27?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-21 11:13
Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-27 04:02
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2?	1	$1	4	+4	Up	-$1	10-02 09:55
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-23 04:38
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 12, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	11-06 22:44
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $324 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-14 05:40