Conventional-Pricing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$729

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 09-17 06:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

98% 56% -$8

Crypto

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$94	100	100	+0	Yes	+$38	05-26 09:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$54	100	0	+100	Yes	+$46	06-25 07:24
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$42	98	0	+98	No	-$42	05-21 03:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?	1	$31	31	0	+31	No	+$0	06-15 01:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-10 02:59
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$30	100	100	+0	No	-$23	05-26 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on June 16?	1	$28	28	0	+28	No	+$0	06-15 01:24
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$23	60	0	+60	Yes	+$37	04-27 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 3?	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	06-03 05:15
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$23	98	0	+98	Yes	+$75	05-21 03:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$23	60	0	+60	No	-$23	04-27 06:07
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$23	100	0	+100	No	-$23	06-25 07:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-04 08:35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$21	50	50	+0	No	+$5	05-26 09:44
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$21	98	0	+98	No	-$21	05-21 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-04 08:34
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	04-27 05:57
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	4	$17	100	100	+0	No	-$16	05-26 09:45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 3?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	06-03 05:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	05-10 02:59
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$15	100	0	+100	No	-$15	06-25 07:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	-$15	05-04 08:35
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 10?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-10 03:00
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-28 06:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-27 06:10
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$14	27	0	+27	No	-$14	09-17 06:38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	04-28 06:25
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$9	100	0	+100	No	-$9	06-04 05:35
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$9	60	0	+60	No	-$9	04-27 06:08
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$9	27	0	+27	Yes	+$18	09-17 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 06:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0xe1009c…
09-17 06:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0x9a869e…
09-17 06:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	10¢	$3	0x3d15ab…
06-25 07:24:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0xd93579…
06-25 07:24:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xa37400…
06-25 07:24:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x0f38f5…
06-15 01:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on June 16?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb94666…
06-15 01:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 16?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4524d0…
06-04 05:35:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x5a258c…
06-03 05:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on June 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd716db…
06-03 05:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on June 3?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6d399c…
06-03 05:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x58a69b…
05-26 09:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xc36405…
05-26 09:44:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0xe24515…
05-26 09:44:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x5ca440…
05-26 09:32:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xdcc2da…
05-24 07:02:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xd76d79…
05-24 07:01:44	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	17¢	$15	0xe8a813…
05-24 06:57:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xac4bac…
05-24 06:56:22	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe691fc…
05-24 06:55:56	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	9¢	$1	0x17e732…
05-24 06:55:45	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x6f84ff…
05-24 06:55:05	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xb5d9e1…
05-24 06:54:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0x7eb20f…
05-24 06:54:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x7a2aff…
05-21 03:18:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	24¢	$16	0xa80dc6…
05-21 03:17:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$2	0x615f54…
05-21 03:16:13	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xcab22d…
05-21 03:14:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	6¢	$4	0xf2be71…
05-21 03:14:11	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0x6d9977…
05-21 03:14:02	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	43¢	$42	0x9fe88f…
05-21 02:58:33	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	21¢	$21	0xc48de1…
05-10 03:00:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x135019…
05-10 02:59:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa8a6fe…
05-10 02:59:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6b9893…
05-04 08:35:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa7d10c…
05-04 08:35:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc545b7…
05-04 08:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xeb70b4…
04-28 06:25:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6a888…
04-28 06:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb2e4e0…
04-27 06:10:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xeb9f99…
04-27 06:08:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x347d61…
04-27 06:07:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x289f3b…
04-27 06:07:52	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x2c1855…
04-27 06:07:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x2a282d…
04-27 05:57:46	BNB Up or Down - April 27, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xceb412…