Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 10?
open
Total volume
$568
$4,919 in 24h
Trades
57
Unique wallets
36
Liquidity
$1,858
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 06:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | — | $168 | $168 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 31 | $2 | $392 | $390 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | — | $232 | $232 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $22 | $22 |
| Median | 11 | — | $96 | $96 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $17 | $17 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $62 | $62 |
| unranked | 5 | $2 | $132 | $130 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xde32…ef53 | Yes | +200 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 18:52 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +105 | $105 | $105 | 5 | 05-10 02:40 |
| Glaring-Pain 0xbeff…08e4 | No | +101 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-09 17:34 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +51 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 05-10 05:11 |
| Incompatible-Yawl 0x37e8…64e4 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-10 03:17 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | +44 | $44 | $44 | 2 | 05-10 05:37 |
| Rectangular-Spyglass 0xd9bb…c982 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-10 02:53 |
| Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-10 03:01 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +22 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-09 09:45 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-10 06:08 |
| Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 00:33 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-09 20:41 |
| Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-10 05:42 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-09 16:57 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 00:35 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 21:15 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 00:01 |
| Nifty-Museum 0xa67f…3c3d | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 23:21 |
| Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 01:44 |
| Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 16:56 |
| Few-Combine 0xdbf6…9ff3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 06:18 |
| Stunning-Fang 0x7f7e…4fca | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:16 |
| Beloved-Insert 0xfb75…41b0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 11:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:18:36 | Few-Combine 0xdbf6…9ff3 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x833fb0… |
| 05-10 06:16:33 | Stunning-Fang 0x7f7e…4fca | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xea8eaf… |
| 05-10 06:08:32 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xab5a64… |
| 05-10 05:42:22 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x7f827f… |
| 05-10 05:42:13 | Trusting-Down 0x7b47…902d | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0xed4e48… |
| 05-10 05:41:35 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d2038… |
| 05-10 05:37:28 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xfe8a24… |
| 05-10 05:11:27 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 21 | 100¢ | $21 | 0xa83ebd… |
| 05-10 04:11:47 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe57677… |
| 05-10 04:11:47 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x53ff9f… |
| 05-10 03:17:32 | Incompatible-Yawl 0x37e8…64e4 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xbe27da… |
| 05-10 03:01:52 | Experienced-Former 0xd871…a133 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xeb59b1… |
| 05-10 02:53:49 | Rectangular-Spyglass 0xd9bb…c982 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x11225f… |
| 05-10 02:40:48 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xcf1cb1… |
| 05-10 02:40:48 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x65607e… |
| 05-10 02:40:48 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe822a3… |
| 05-10 02:14:51 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0a6f4a… |
| 05-10 02:11:37 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf6af41… |
| 05-10 02:11:37 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x09aeed… |
| 05-10 02:11:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x335340… |
| 05-10 02:11:35 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1438f… |
| 05-10 02:11:35 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b3fa5… |
| 05-10 02:11:21 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb65ce… |
| 05-10 02:08:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf4283… |
| 05-10 01:48:39 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8a1e81… |
| 05-10 01:44:40 | Organic-Tulip 0x651c…0a23 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x2758ec… |
| 05-10 00:50:00 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xda6875… |
| 05-10 00:01:40 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xcf0f75… |
| 05-09 23:21:03 | Nifty-Museum 0xa67f…3c3d | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x27caa6… |
| 05-09 23:01:18 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x83acf4… |
| 05-09 23:01:14 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfc3dcc… |
| 05-09 21:15:04 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xc34d79… |
| 05-09 20:41:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x740f86… |
| 05-09 20:41:23 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x9fdfa5… |
| 05-09 20:41:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3283be… |
| 05-09 20:02:34 | Monstrous-Divan 0x6086…a5f9 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x32e63c… |
| 05-09 18:52:02 | (anonymous) 0xde32…ef53 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xd5c5fd… |
| 05-09 18:31:25 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe08e61… |
| 05-09 18:31:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe842f2… |
| 05-09 18:31:23 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xd6f48a… |
| 05-09 18:25:46 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x208f45… |
| 05-09 18:25:46 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x59334d… |
| 05-09 18:25:46 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd25d8b… |
| 05-09 18:25:46 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x28fbb1… |
| 05-09 18:25:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x031a8d… |
| 05-09 17:34:54 | Glaring-Pain 0xbeff…08e4 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x99837b… |
| 05-09 16:57:58 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xf6617c… |
| 05-09 16:56:10 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x15c168… |
| 05-09 15:59:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8d76ba… |
| 05-09 15:59:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x83289e… |
| 05-09 12:06:43 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x1cd721… |
| 05-09 11:20:27 | Beloved-Insert 0xfb75…41b0 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x861151… |
| 05-09 09:45:06 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 22 | 99¢ | $22 | 0xcba109… |
| 05-09 00:35:38 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa3bc4b… |
| 05-09 00:33:29 | Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x835b83… |
| 05-08 23:11:40 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa15e1b… |
| 05-08 05:45:26 | Stormy-Reserve 0x5def…1283 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6cf49f… |