Glaring-Pain 0xbeffb2…8508e4
2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$325
Unrealized P&L
+$164
Hit rate
67.9%
Resolved
906
Trades
1,851
lifetime
Volume
$55.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$839
28 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-29 08:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 88 days
Categories
Other
41% 60% -$42
Crypto
32% 58% -$7
Politics
26% 38% -$247
Sports
0% 38% -$31
Pop-Culture
0% 33% +$3
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +615 $479 94¢ $575 +$96 10-11 15:08
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,000 $100 10¢ $95 -$5 10-21 19:04
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -1,043 -$219 6¢ $-57 +$162 05-10 14:27
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No -50 -$15 92¢ $-46 -$31 10-12 15:05
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? Yes +626 $20 2¢ $12 -$8 10-11 07:12
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +32 $8 16¢ $5 -$3 09-25 10:35
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +100 $10 4¢ $4 -$6 05-18 05:46
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? Yes -50 -$34 8¢ $-4 +$30 10-12 15:05
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +71 $10 6¢ $4 -$6 05-18 05:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? Yes +111 $10 3¢ $4 -$6 05-19 14:13
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +42 $5 8¢ $4 -$1 09-25 10:36
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +59 $10 6¢ $3 -$7 07-21 19:06
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +83 $10 4¢ $3 -$7 05-17 04:57
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +77 $5 4¢ $3 -$2 05-19 08:06
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes +111 $10 2¢ $3 -$7 05-18 05:27
Russia coup attempt in 2026? Yes +100 $10 3¢ $3 -$7 05-17 04:50
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +167 $10 2¢ $3 -$7 05-18 05:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +53 $10 3¢ $2 -$8 05-18 05:32
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? Yes +164 $4 1¢ $1 -$3 05-21 09:42
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +31 $10 4¢ $1 -$9 05-18 05:33
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 46¢ $1 +$0 10-29 08:39
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 70¢ $1 +$0 10-29 08:38
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-29 08:39
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +2 $1 55¢ $1 $0 10-29 08:51
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $1 63¢ $1 $0 10-29 08:39
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 68¢ $1 $0 10-29 08:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 10-29 08:37
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 34¢ $1 $0 10-27 19:32