Surprised-Sectional — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$110

Hit rate

63.1%

Resolved

1,512

Trades

31,624

lifetime

Volume

$176.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$223

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 09-22 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 61% +$2,035

Other

1% 100% +$30

Politics

0% 0% -$32

Sports

0% 0% -$26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	-188	-$98	93¢	$-175	-$77	05-28 09:35
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+99	$60	27¢	$27	-$34	08-30 14:18
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	06-05 14:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+10	$9	96¢	$10	+$1	05-18 12:48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+10	$3	18¢	$2	-$1	05-17 13:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	4	$1.4K	750	750	+0	open	—	09-22 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:30 UTC	44	$416	840	0	+840	Up	+$4	03-31 01:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:50 UTC	42	$413	840	0	+840	Up	+$7	03-31 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:40 UTC	42	$413	840	0	+840	Up	+$7	03-31 00:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:25 UTC	41	$413	820	0	+820	Down	+$7	03-31 01:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:40 UTC	42	$411	840	0	+840	Down	+$9	03-31 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:20 UTC	40	$403	800	0	+800	Down	-$3	03-31 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:25 UTC	40	$403	800	0	+800	Up	-$3	03-31 00:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:20 UTC	46	$402	840	0	+840	Up	+$18	03-31 00:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 10:00 UTC	41	$401	812	0	+812	Up	-$5	03-31 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:55 UTC	44	$401	820	0	+820	Down	+$19	03-31 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:20 UTC	42	$400	800	0	+800	Up	$0	03-31 01:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:35 UTC	41	$400	820	0	+820	Up	+$20	03-31 13:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 14:00 UTC	41	$400	800	0	+800	Up	+$0	03-31 14:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:00 UTC	44	$400	817	0	+817	Down	+$0	03-31 01:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:15 UTC	41	$400	800	0	+800	Down	-$20	03-31 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 18:50 UTC	40	$399	800	0	+800	Down	+$1	03-30 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 00:00 UTC	49	$399	760	0	+760	Up	-$39	03-31 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 05:15 UTC	40	$399	800	0	+800	Up	+$1	03-31 05:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:10 UTC	40	$398	800	0	+800	Down	+$2	03-30 19:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:15 UTC	39	$398	780	0	+780	Down	+$2	03-31 07:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 05:30 UTC	44	$395	810	0	+810	Up	+$5	03-31 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:05 UTC	43	$394	820	0	+820	Down	+$6	03-31 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:50 UTC	45	$392	787	0	+787	Up	+$8	03-31 01:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:30 UTC	50	$390	761	0	+761	Up	-$17	03-31 07:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 01:35 UTC	41	$390	798	0	+798	Down	+$6	03-31 01:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 13:30 UTC	48	$389	780	0	+780	Up	-$9	03-31 13:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:00 UTC	42	$385	762	0	+762	Up	-$3	03-31 11:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 11:15 UTC	38	$384	740	0	+740	Up	+$16	03-31 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 02:55 UTC	39	$382	739	0	+739	Down	-$2	03-31 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-22 17:49:36	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	750	96¢	$718	0x5f958f…
08-30 14:18:13	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4e085a…
08-20 11:24:37	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x44cd9e…
06-19 14:20:32	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0xa5dfa7…
06-05 14:37:37	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe597f2…
05-28 09:35:40	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	188	52¢	$98	0xfd4441…
05-20 19:24:59	Cavaliers vs. Knicks	Cavaliers	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xb04ab8…
05-19 01:28:48	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x2be0ac…
05-18 12:48:10	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa93226…
05-17 13:11:36	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0xb817dc…
05-16 01:23:51	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	64¢	$32	0x599c12…
05-15 17:30:39	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xaf9271…
05-13 14:08:45	Jimmy Lai released by June 30?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x031069…
05-11 10:43:56	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0xb6d5de…
05-11 10:37:45	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xb26e05…
05-01 02:40:12	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x0d139b…
04-30 05:46:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	250	92¢	$230	0x74c82f…
04-20 02:06:48	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x269e9e…
04-20 02:06:40	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x7e23a9…
04-13 16:08:13	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xaf2ed9…
04-08 05:19:01	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xab239a…
04-07 04:43:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x1c6241…
04-01 16:30:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x4eb798…
03-31 17:42:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x266437…
03-31 15:18:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xdce79c…
03-31 15:18:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x757f17…
03-31 15:18:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd20c9a…
03-31 15:17:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xb5e190…
03-31 15:17:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xfd5377…
03-31 15:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7da1ca…
03-31 15:17:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd1c3d9…
03-31 15:17:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb99446…
03-31 15:17:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x5784d3…
03-31 15:17:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x575bab…
03-31 15:16:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x72c114…
03-31 15:16:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xd5c50e…
03-31 15:16:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xb2bdd8…
03-31 15:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x209b1f…
03-31 15:16:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xa597c7…
03-31 15:16:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x3e959a…
03-31 15:16:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x594e63…
03-31 15:16:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x2958e2…
03-31 15:16:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x122294…
03-31 15:16:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x96d659…
03-31 15:16:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xd8d391…
03-31 15:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x8a9546…
03-31 15:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x7c4348…
03-31 15:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x18c144…
03-31 15:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x6d8dd5…
03-31 15:15:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x50b6e4…
03-31 15:15:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa155c1…
03-31 15:15:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x91349c…
03-31 15:15:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xedce4b…
03-31 15:12:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1a0cf1…
03-31 15:12:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xbf44cc…
03-31 15:12:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x842627…
03-31 15:12:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1a5276…
03-31 15:12:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa641cd…
03-31 15:12:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x1ce8ae…
03-31 15:12:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x53f1ab…
03-31 15:11:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x76d037…
03-31 15:11:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x611835…
03-31 15:11:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x6b11ef…
03-31 15:11:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x2bb14c…
03-31 15:11:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3b6208…
03-31 15:11:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x66c8a0…
03-31 15:11:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x9419b0…
03-31 15:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe17219…
03-31 15:11:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x9e3121…
03-31 15:11:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x15b7f0…
03-31 15:11:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x8464df…
03-31 15:10:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xe6181c…
03-31 15:10:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x24fa41…
03-31 15:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8b2492…
03-31 15:10:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x6bc5d5…
03-31 15:10:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x996eb4…
03-31 15:10:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x08714d…
03-31 15:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xbc08a5…
03-31 15:10:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xf93bce…
03-31 15:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xff5085…
03-31 15:10:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x394ae1…
03-31 15:10:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xcbaefa…
03-31 15:10:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x2f80d7…
03-31 15:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x910c34…
03-31 15:06:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xdeb74f…
03-31 15:06:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xde2774…
03-31 15:06:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5904e3…
03-31 15:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x6f5c92…
03-31 15:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x47117c…
03-31 15:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x01e709…
03-31 15:05:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xb08b0f…
03-31 15:05:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x809d8e…
03-31 15:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x4e8395…
03-31 15:05:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x2657ad…
03-31 15:05:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x6919b4…
03-31 15:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xbca976…
03-31 15:05:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x55e311…
03-31 15:05:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x30746f…
03-31 15:05:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xdc14be…
03-31 15:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x22d416…