Closed-Page — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$16

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

3,526 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$67

$38.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$15

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 11-11 18:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 214 days

Categories

Other

96% 63% -$193

Sports

2% 56% -$75

Crypto

1% 38% -$120

Politics

1% 44% -$42

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	-137	-$15	5¢	$-7	+$8	09-29 09:22
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+200	$3	2¢	$4	+$1	11-07 09:51
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+71	$5	3¢	$2	-$3	08-27 10:36
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	+20	$10	5¢	$1	-$9	05-12 13:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc ant6 man18 2026 03 21	2	$164	92	92	+0	Mantas Kondratavicius	-$2	03-21 18:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$150	85	85	+0	Yes	+$20	07-29 18:01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	13	$149	233	202	+32	No	-$4	09-14 10:22
wta gibson osaka 2026 03 20	1	$98	143	0	+143	Talia Gibson	-$98	03-21 18:12
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguet	3	$80	62	60	+1	Benjamin Bonzi	+$42	04-22 18:18
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina	2	$75	67	65	+2	Anhelina Kalinina	+$57	04-21 18:26
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic	3	$73	53	53	+0	Joao Fonseca	+$33	05-27 20:09
sea sas com 2026 04 17 sas	2	$71	62	61	+2	Yes	+$52	04-17 18:31
Will FK Zenit win on 2026-08-29?	2	$70	43	43	+0	Yes	+$16	08-29 14:10
wta udvardy snigur 2026 06 10	3	$69	125	97	+29	Daria Snigur	-$11	06-11 08:54
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Raphael Collignon	2	$69	59	59	+0	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	+$49	05-17 17:30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?	2	$69	59	59	+0	Yes	+$49	05-02 17:15
Hamburg European Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex de Minaur	2	$69	59	59	+0	Alex de Minaur	+$49	05-18 13:37
Madrid Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Sinja Kraus	2	$67	59	57	+1	Karolina Pliskova	+$49	04-22 18:03
atp sakella marozsa 2026 04 02	3	$66	40	40	+0	Fabian Marozsan	+$14	04-03 13:46
ethereum above 2300 on april 16	4	$64	83	79	+5	Yes	+$25	04-16 14:54
atp navone zandsch 2026 04 04	4	$64	55	54	+1	Mariano Navone	+$18	04-04 13:52
wta jones marista 2026 03 30	4	$63	33	33	+0	Guiomar Maristany	+$2	03-31 18:18
atp mccabe bergs 2026 06 09	3	$62	63	32	+32	James McCabe	-$18	06-10 11:48
atp bellucc bennani 2026 03 30	2	$59	30	30	+0	Mattia Bellucci	+$1	03-31 14:27
atp virtane majchrz 2026 06 08	2	$58	38	38	+0	Kamil Majchrzak	+$18	06-10 13:31
bun bay stu 2026 04 19 bay	3	$57	38	37	+1	Yes	+$18	04-19 17:26
fl1 asm aja 2026 04 19 draw	2	$56	48	46	+1	Yes	+$38	04-19 15:26
Madrid Open, Qualification: Patrick Kypson vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	2	$56	48	46	+1	Nikoloz Basilashvili	+$38	04-21 17:41
cs2 big5 b8 2026 06 09	2	$56	36	36	+0	B8	+$16	06-09 20:03
cs2 mouz lgc 2026 06 11	2	$56	36	36	+0	MOUZ	+$16	06-11 13:58
den mid agf 2026 04 20 mid	2	$55	45	45	+0	Yes	+$35	04-20 19:27
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?	2	$55	89	0	+89	Yes	+$34	05-05 17:08
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe	2	$54	38	38	+0	Frances Tiafoe	+$22	05-28 16:57
wta pegula cocciar 2026 04 02	3	$54	31	31	+0	Jessica Pegula	+$8	04-02 19:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-11 18:12:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on November 13?	Yes	BUY	91	10¢	$9	0xe45eac…
11-11 18:10:58	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Yes	SELL	103	5¢	$6	0x026e2d…
11-11 18:10:49	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	21¢	$4	0x30d9de…
11-11 17:41:54	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x872b3a…
11-11 17:40:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	24¢	$5	0xf54b33…
11-08 17:26:16	Union Saint-Gilloise vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xa0cab7…
11-08 14:30:10	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x85bd80…
11-08 09:17:01	Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x56e3b7…
11-07 17:50:57	Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x33b202…
11-07 14:43:39	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8cf573…
11-07 14:41:42	1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7e01d3…
11-07 09:51:01	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x7eb7f5…
11-06 18:25:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0xad5ae6…
11-06 18:23:54	Ruud vs. Borges: Match O/U 22.5	Over	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xea6585…
11-06 17:31:52	Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0x5f32d8…
11-06 09:20:51	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Alexandra Shubladze	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x6d5694…
11-05 17:59:03	Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x832068…
11-05 14:43:13	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana	Sorana Cirstea	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x65c0e2…
11-05 14:02:04	Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x125026…
11-05 13:40:39	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Mary Stoiana	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	4	66¢	$2	0xe1508a…
11-05 13:40:18	Rolex Paris Masters: Rinky Hijikata vs Tomas Etcheverry	Tomas Etcheverry	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x41a2d5…
11-05 09:23:27	Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys	Tommy Paul	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xb542d6…
11-04 18:32:16	Rolex Paris Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe1e8bf…
11-04 18:31:58	Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xeaa9c3…
11-04 18:29:39	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd40566…
11-04 18:08:55	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x69a8ca…
11-04 09:16:21	AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf7df26…
11-04 09:15:33	Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)	Fenerbahçe SK	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xc73132…
11-04 09:13:54	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfa59fa…
11-03 20:09:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xdd509b…
11-02 18:08:09	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x072256…
11-02 17:45:42	Will FK Zenit win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xab7d02…
11-02 14:33:42	Will FK Zenit win on 2026-11-02?	Yes	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xb1bbdf…
11-02 14:31:16	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x0feb0c…
10-30 15:19:28	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x378abc…
10-30 15:17:52	Will Melania Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x0a76c9…
10-14 18:42:39	ucl ast fen 2026 10 14 btts	Yes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xe5dc03…
10-14 18:41:39	ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd1e6a2…
10-14 09:35:11	LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC: LASK Linz O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6ca27e…
10-13 17:34:48	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x84d760…
10-13 17:34:19	Sabah FK vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6f26f7…
10-13 14:59:05	Galatasaray SK vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x02cf2a…
10-13 14:52:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 13?	No	BUY	57	7¢	$4	0x48227d…
10-08 15:27:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	86	9¢	$8	0x31c493…
10-07 09:35:33	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	94	3¢	$3	0x0931e8…
10-06 18:01:06	Scotland vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x66b964…
10-06 18:00:36	Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe106ef…
10-06 10:53:27	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xdaf90a…
10-06 10:11:31	Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xacfa7f…
10-06 10:11:00	China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur	Novak Djokovic	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xb728e3…
10-05 17:30:55	Will France win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x8339da…
10-05 17:30:32	Will Italy win on 2026-10-05?	Yes	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x45e0c9…
10-02 18:03:20	Will France win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	17	68¢	$12	0x3509b7…
10-02 15:16:14	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 2?	No	SELL	32	38¢	$12	0x47e51c…
10-02 14:33:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 2?	No	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x16860b…
09-29 09:22:09	Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	137	11¢	$15	0x3baafc…
09-23 14:42:43	ethereum above 2800 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0xdb290c…
09-23 14:36:13	ethereum above 2800 on september 25 2026	Yes	BUY	57	11¢	$6	0x58de70…
09-23 14:28:23	Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	19¢	$7	0x53cf2c…
09-20 13:49:39	Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x61e5d2…
09-19 14:35:54	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x9321a1…
09-19 14:04:48	Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0x041493…
09-19 09:50:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 19?	No	BUY	126	5¢	$6	0x378180…
09-18 17:44:27	KAA Gent vs. Standard Liege: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	31	50¢	$16	0xcf1fd5…
09-17 18:48:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x894e9f…
09-17 18:47:57	Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x124ca5…
09-17 17:09:58	Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-09-17?	Yes	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0xc7d381…
09-16 19:00:36	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x295b32…
09-14 18:06:27	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-14?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x1914bf…
09-14 10:33:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0x17a39c…
09-14 10:22:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x564a37…
09-13 18:48:40	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x89f921…
09-13 18:48:24	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x3d3b80…
09-13 18:47:04	atp zverev shelton 2026 09 13	Ben Shelton	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xe38a30…
09-13 18:46:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc3c4ed…
09-13 18:25:00	Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x844130…
09-13 18:24:43	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf0ed72…
09-13 09:48:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x24daf8…
09-12 18:20:10	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xbaa6bc…
09-12 18:19:51	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x19c726…
09-12 18:18:36	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x97dcd1…
09-12 18:11:19	Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Athletic Club O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x717207…
09-12 18:10:54	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xd1eeb0…
09-12 17:48:49	Athletic Club vs. Elche CF: Athletic Club O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x11dfe2…
09-12 17:34:21	1. FC Köln vs. SV Werder Bremen: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x323e13…
09-12 17:30:18	Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xf098c2…
09-12 17:29:04	SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xeb681f…
09-12 17:26:10	SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	22	64¢	$14	0xf8ec8f…
09-12 15:22:51	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x1dc236…
09-12 15:20:28	Will FK Zenit win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x066806…
09-12 13:56:19	Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)	BV Borussia 09 Dortmund	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x49e9da…
09-12 13:55:46	Will FK Zenit win on 2026-09-12?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x0fd9ff…
09-11 17:21:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	96	17¢	$16	0x56e89a…
09-11 14:38:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbe35a7…
09-11 14:06:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x8d9bf6…
09-11 13:56:40	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x31b418…
09-11 09:15:42	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x15fffc…
09-10 18:06:25	PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9ae2ff…
09-10 18:06:18	Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: Fenerbahçe SK O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xb67598…
09-10 17:24:42	PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x31fd86…