Complete-Casement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-14 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 25% $-3

Politics

28% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$2	1,125	+1,125	open	—	05-13 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$2	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-12 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	Up	$-1	05-11 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	50	+50	Down	$-1	05-12 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$0	6	+6	open	—	05-14 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 09:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0xa490e7…
05-13 06:41:06	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x315970…
05-12 19:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xddcdbf…
05-12 19:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8b3d03…
05-12 18:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x010527…
05-12 05:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe8f9f4…
05-11 19:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x98a85b…
05-11 06:44:32	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x1a82dc…