Quick-Witted-Cabinet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.1%

Resolved

Trades

833

lifetime

Volume

$8.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 10:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

44% 0% $-0

Sports

29% 71% +$37

Politics

14% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

4% — —

Pop-Culture

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 20 2026	8	$315	3,250	3,250	+0	open	—	03-20 13:14
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	5	$273	296	296	+0	open	—	07-10 08:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$268	200	200	+0	open	—	03-15 11:45
pakistan military action against afghanistan by march 31	8	$261	400	400	+0	open	—	03-19 22:38
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$250	200	200	+0	open	—	03-15 17:47
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	4	$208	400	400	+0	open	—	06-21 15:59
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	02-15 13:57
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$200	102	102	+0	open	—	02-17 16:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$186	100	100	+0	open	—	04-04 16:33
taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	11	$184	258	258	+0	open	—	07-03 03:56
will trump say trump 5 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420355	2	$150	100	100	+0	open	—	07-27 07:05
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$147	600	600	+0	open	—	03-20 22:47
will sp 500 spx close over 7000 on the final trading day of march 2026	2	$145	100	100	+0	open	—	03-10 19:15
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	8	$130	240	240	+0	open	—	03-24 19:38
will barcelona reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$109	50	100	-50	open	—	03-15 18:47
ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	3	$104	60	60	+0	open	—	07-21 16:23
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	4	$102	99	99	+0	open	—	02-25 21:47
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	01-13 19:06
qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	3	$96	80	40	+40	open	—	07-16 21:55
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	3	$96	400	400	+0	open	—	08-10 10:06
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	1	$94	100	0	+100	open	—	04-10 10:12
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 160 189	2	$91	75	75	+0	open	—	03-03 07:24
will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	2	$89	100	100	+0	open	—	08-03 06:25
will hannah spencer green party finish third in the gorton and denton by election	2	$86	50	50	+0	open	—	02-26 07:08
will manchester city reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	2	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	03-12 08:27
will president be said at the oscars	3	$84	50	50	+0	open	—	03-15 22:38
nba orl bos 2026 04 12	1	$84	99	0	+99	open	—	04-12 20:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$83	54	54	+0	open	—	06-12 10:05
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	4	$78	76	76	+0	open	—	03-10 19:13
will trump say fake news during michigan remarks 20260724162420374	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	07-27 05:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 10:06:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	396	12¢	$48	0x0dbf49…
08-10 10:03:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xbf416b…
08-10 09:54:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0x5a21fd…
08-10 06:52:12	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x21f94c…
08-10 05:55:10	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x8d8414…
08-03 06:25:35	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	SELL	100	41¢	$41	0x0c6ef0…
08-03 06:23:36	will super typhoon dolphin hit japan 20260730150614391	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x295818…
08-02 08:33:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x2470c7…
08-02 08:19:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x7daa5d…
07-30 20:04:09	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xbd3f96…
07-30 05:40:51	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xfc7c56…
07-30 05:40:42	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0xb5f927…
07-30 05:38:54	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0x80d023…
07-30 05:30:26	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x8c6a81…
07-30 05:28:02	iran successfully targets shipping on august 4 2026 20260729163314524	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xeaa5e4…
07-30 05:23:48	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc3c974…
07-30 05:20:05	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0x24edd2…
07-29 21:51:48	will eli lilly lly q2 zepbound sales be above 4pt5b 20260725020159990	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0xb8adf0…
07-29 21:44:50	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb7d4e5…
07-29 12:04:48	will trump say gulf of america or gulf of mexico in august 20260728220824866	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x5d64a8…
07-29 10:45:11	will trump say gulf of america or gulf of mexico in august 20260728220824866	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf2fa83…
07-28 12:51:16	will trump say filibuster during fox friends appearance 20260728022316507	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x1335e8…
07-28 09:34:37	will trump say filibuster during fox friends appearance 20260728022316507	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xf460dc…
07-27 07:05:13	will trump say trump 5 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420355	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0xc7acdf…
07-27 05:47:28	will trump say fake news during michigan remarks 20260724162420374	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x941863…
07-27 03:05:15	will trump say fake news during michigan remarks 20260724162420374	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x3ef212…
07-27 03:01:30	will trump say trump 5 times during michigan remarks 20260724162420355	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x090389…
07-21 16:23:03	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	SELL	60	88¢	$53	0x6b6e46…
07-21 07:42:45	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013251723	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0x25b75a…
07-21 07:25:01	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720013251723	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x02baac…
07-21 06:35:55	mgm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt6	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x44c6f3…
07-21 06:35:18	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	43	15¢	$6	0xf6045a…
07-20 15:58:24	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	BUY	43	15¢	$6	0xa8e043…
07-16 21:55:59	qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	Yes	BUY	40	81¢	$32	0x9177dd…
07-16 21:29:13	tdoc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 neg0pt25	Yes	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x06ef17…
07-16 21:29:02	arcc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt47	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x4874d7…
07-16 18:12:49	mgm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt6	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x802543…
07-16 18:11:46	tdoc quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 neg0pt25	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5d03ad…
07-16 18:08:23	arcc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt47	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x1a418c…
07-16 17:40:59	hog quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt62	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4c410b…
07-16 17:40:58	hog quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt62	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xb8efab…
07-16 17:14:29	sbux quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 28 2026 0pt69	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x4483a3…
07-16 16:58:02	hog quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt62	Yes	SELL	20	63¢	$12	0x435d23…
07-16 15:01:23	qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	Yes	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0xf95aed…
07-16 15:01:13	v quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt22	Yes	SELL	24	62¢	$15	0x564a65…
07-16 14:51:23	v quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt22	Yes	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x8f2780…
07-16 14:15:08	v quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 3pt22	Yes	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0x8c577c…
07-16 12:39:50	qcom quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 2pt23	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x01b6bd…
07-16 12:12:17	ebay quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt51	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x8b9018…
07-16 11:59:19	hog quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 23 2026 0pt62	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x4a81ab…
07-10 17:40:07	dota2 lgd ty 2026 07 10	LGD Gaming	BUY	60	31¢	$19	0xc4a89f…
07-10 08:50:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	196	39¢	$77	0xf52396…
07-10 07:44:11	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	44¢	$42	0x83a934…
07-10 06:06:16	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0xb0725a…
07-10 05:56:47	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xab7027…
07-06 09:56:58	will ewy dip to 175 by july 6 2026	No	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0xf398a9…
07-06 09:35:02	will ewy dip to 175 by july 6 2026	No	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xbdba99…
07-03 03:56:56	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	No	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0xcfff0b…
07-03 03:41:52	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	No	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0x04da65…
07-03 03:41:08	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	No	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x56bc43…
07-03 03:40:58	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0xd0a630…
07-03 03:40:46	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	No	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x0a9715…
07-03 03:16:31	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	No	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x4a05da…
07-03 02:42:59	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa639cc…
07-03 02:12:26	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xf01253…
07-03 01:40:29	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	No	BUY	28	1¢	$0	0x0ca53e…
07-02 23:03:28	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xf6b6bd…
07-02 22:42:52	taylor swift x travis kelce get married by july 3	No	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x2fc6a8…
07-02 20:30:37	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	SELL	34	11¢	$4	0xf9a4d1…
07-02 11:26:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0x2b1b17…
07-02 07:42:58	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x64ab97…
07-02 07:10:05	gpt 5pt6 released by july 10 2026 416 792	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xd82fef…
06-21 15:59:19	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	2¢	$5	0x7f9654…
06-21 15:59:04	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x54da63…
06-20 19:42:40	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x884767…
06-20 10:51:05	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xc4dbc8…
06-12 10:05:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	54	80¢	$43	0x6f85c7…
06-11 06:15:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xf19b05…
05-11 20:39:58	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xb89202…
05-07 18:39:23	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x3c39c1…
05-05 20:47:58	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xe3ce90…
05-05 20:44:14	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x8bf434…
05-04 18:10:22	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xf8f313…
05-01 10:56:54	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Cavaliers	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x8d61ed…
04-30 20:02:04	Knicks vs. Hawks	Knicks	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x82fc90…
04-30 15:29:54	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x2c20ea…
04-30 15:29:44	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	2¢	$1	0x440955…
04-30 12:03:28	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0xcb4628…
04-30 12:02:28	Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1b2247…
04-30 08:45:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x2a02d3…
04-28 10:15:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?	No	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x925a14…
04-27 18:37:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0x0661a1…
04-27 18:35:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xe2abae…
04-27 05:43:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x94b4e6…
04-27 05:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbed43a…
04-26 16:57:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8bd165…
04-25 22:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 26?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x10a271…
04-25 17:33:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2837c5…
04-24 21:23:22	sea nap cre 2026 04 24 draw	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdea4c4…
04-24 21:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x8687d9…