Alarming-Office — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$110

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved (90d)

306

Trades (90d)

572

11,801 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.36K

$19.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 41% -$700

Other

1% 52% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	—	+8	$6	2¢	$0	-$6	11-14 15:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 13:55 UTC	9	$47	36	35	+1	Up	+$13	04-16 13:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:30 UTC	13	$39	42	42	+0	Down	-$3	04-07 06:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:10 UTC	10	$27	36	18	+18	Down	-$3	04-07 06:09
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 06:15 UTC	10	$25	50	0	+50	Down	+$2	04-19 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 15:05 UTC	8	$24	24	24	+0	Down	+$1	04-07 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	5	$24	20	20	+0	Down	+$3	11-10 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:55 UTC	8	$23	24	24	+0	Up	+$0	04-06 15:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 15:45 UTC	4	$22	28	28	+0	Up	+$2	01-04 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 07:55 UTC	6	$22	18	24	-6	Up	+$4	04-16 07:56
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 17:00 UTC	4	$21	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	01-04 17:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 17:00 UTC	4	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	01-04 17:12
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 04:00 UTC	7	$20	42	0	+42	Down	-$2	04-19 04:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 14:35 UTC	6	$20	21	9	+12	Up	-$1	04-09 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	9	$19	42	0	+42	Down	$0	11-03 15:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:00 UTC	5	$19	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	04-07 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:40 UTC	6	$19	18	18	+0	Up	+$1	04-07 07:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 02:15 UTC	7	$19	18	18	+0	Down	+$1	04-08 02:15
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 05:15 UTC	7	$18	30	6	+24	Up	$0	04-19 05:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 15:00 UTC	8	$18	30	6	+24	Down	+$6	04-06 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 07:20 UTC	5	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	04-07 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 15:45 UTC	7	$18	36	0	+36	Down	+$12	04-16 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 14:10 UTC	6	$18	18	18	+0	Up	$0	04-06 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	11	$17	34	0	+34	Up	-$7	11-03 16:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-06 13:45 UTC	8	$17	24	12	+12	Up	$0	04-06 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 19:05 UTC	5	$17	18	18	+0	Up	$0	04-08 19:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:45 UTC	6	$17	36	0	+36	Up	-$11	04-16 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 11:00 UTC	7	$17	24	12	+12	Up	-$1	04-16 11:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 19:40 UTC	7	$17	35	0	+35	Up	-$11	04-16 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$17	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	11-14 09:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 04:30 UTC	17	$17	115	15	+100	Down	-$1	01-05 04:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 15:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x692695…
11-14 14:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xbe4f40…
11-14 14:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x89417e…
11-14 14:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x52d63d…
11-14 14:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x1e9739…
11-14 14:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x4b93fa…
11-14 14:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8d4feb…
11-14 14:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xc988ca…
11-14 14:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x16cc13…
11-14 14:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xf4338b…
11-14 14:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x873e62…
11-14 14:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd42523…
11-14 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0xfb10d1…
11-14 14:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xd106b5…
11-14 14:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x9d9988…
11-14 14:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x49d54a…
11-14 14:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x00b9bc…
11-14 14:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x273f16…
11-14 14:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xc0234c…
11-14 13:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x3e8914…
11-14 13:37:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x24477e…
11-14 13:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0x9f4e1a…
11-14 13:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa1cba7…
11-14 13:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf47b34…
11-14 13:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd1fe84…
11-14 13:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x036efc…
11-14 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4bc451…
11-14 13:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x96cf99…
11-14 13:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2721ab…
11-14 13:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x840dcd…
11-14 12:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x1023d6…
11-14 12:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6d5f45…
11-14 12:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0x5377b4…
11-14 12:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x30c12b…
11-14 11:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x9ca0e4…
11-14 11:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xf0cbca…
11-14 11:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x88cb7b…
11-14 11:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa46432…
11-14 11:27:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x6d9f40…
11-14 11:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x9b3588…
11-14 11:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6854f5…
11-14 11:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xafce2f…
11-14 10:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x894c2f…
11-14 10:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x2dd6a2…
11-14 10:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa50677…
11-14 10:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x92ef36…
11-14 10:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x74a9ad…
11-14 10:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb86e44…
11-14 09:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe7ec08…
11-14 09:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xd62d92…
11-14 09:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5de26c…
11-14 09:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x59b923…
11-14 09:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-14 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xac6394…
11-14 09:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x85a614…
11-14 09:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd02f8a…
11-14 09:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb08841…
11-14 09:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb5b219…
11-14 09:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xafa4ba…
11-14 09:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0x5ed865…
11-14 08:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xce46d9…
11-14 08:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x92dbbe…
11-14 08:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8f749e…
11-14 08:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x159dcc…
11-14 08:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd666fb…
11-14 08:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x5f825d…
11-14 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x8721c7…
11-14 08:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbf10de…
11-14 08:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1af7ec…
11-14 08:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x85c91f…
11-14 07:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd9d75f…
11-14 07:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x947327…
11-14 07:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0xfaf4c6…
11-14 07:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdd2f47…
11-14 07:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5329ea…
11-14 07:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf61e84…
11-14 06:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0e8364…
11-14 06:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc638f0…
11-14 05:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x01d0c3…
11-14 05:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2bc61e…
11-14 04:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x26b649…
11-14 04:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x25aa58…
11-14 04:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xab1b43…
11-14 04:17:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x71b99c…
11-14 04:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xd114bb…
11-14 03:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf4a29f…
11-14 03:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x63b25f…
11-14 03:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x53f64d…
11-14 03:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x8364d2…
11-14 03:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7eb9ed…
11-14 03:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x955fbc…
11-14 03:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x8f4a95…
11-14 03:05:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x5e7fd6…
11-14 02:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x14e814…
11-14 02:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x9ede7b…
11-14 02:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x40f9b9…
11-14 02:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x141167…
11-14 01:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd319a4…
11-14 00:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0a3697…
11-14 00:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x420937…
11-13 23:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xf719e8…