Poor-Moat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.2%

Resolved

Trades

265

lifetime

Volume

$458

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-30 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	2	$56	31	31	+0	open	—	05-15 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	5	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	05-14 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	10	$25	87	67	+20	open	—	05-14 16:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?	1	$20	20,000	0	+20,000	Yes	$-20	05-12 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	8	$20	80	40	+40	open	—	05-14 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	8	$15	22	22	+0	open	—	05-14 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	3	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	05-14 22:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	5	$14	27	13	+14	open	—	05-14 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	5	$13	36	29	+8	open	—	05-14 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	7	$12	18	6	+11	Down	$-0	05-13 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	11	$10	200	0	+200	open	—	05-30 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	6	$9	92	61	+31	open	—	05-14 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$8	24	12	+11	open	—	05-14 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-15 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	7	$7	80	0	+80	open	—	05-14 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$6	21	21	+0	open	—	05-15 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	7	$6	101	0	+101	open	—	05-14 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	6	$6	74	0	+74	open	—	05-14 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$6	103	0	+103	open	—	05-14 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$6	32	20	+12	open	—	05-15 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$6	24	4	+20	open	—	05-14 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	4	$6	11	8	+3	open	—	05-14 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	5	$5	34	0	+34	open	—	05-15 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$5	122	2	+120	open	—	05-14 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	5	$5	43	0	+43	Down	$-5	05-13 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$5	90	0	+90	open	—	05-14 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	3	$5	39	0	+39	open	—	05-14 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$5	28	0	+28	open	—	05-14 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 14:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 08:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0xfd4ccc…
05-30 08:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	70	5¢	$4	0xed8e59…
05-30 08:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xad870c…
05-30 08:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x27b547…
05-30 08:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x118c96…
05-30 08:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa1c6e0…
05-30 08:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x1a2a02…
05-30 08:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x67f79a…
05-30 08:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x69c641…
05-30 08:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x0b9fb1…
05-30 08:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0xeb0a54…
05-15 15:59:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa07cdb…
05-15 15:35:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	31	82¢	$26	0x07bf61…
05-15 15:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0xfcc90f…
05-15 15:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xdfeeff…
05-15 15:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xce9edb…
05-15 15:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xf7822f…
05-15 15:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf9dbc2…
05-15 15:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb19d9d…
05-15 15:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3c5945…
05-15 15:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xd69580…
05-15 15:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x34e729…
05-15 15:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$3	0xadaa09…
05-15 15:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x7a3685…
05-15 15:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf9fd67…
05-15 15:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x475af0…
05-15 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x7f9f8e…
05-15 15:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x4a62a9…
05-15 15:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x23efdb…
05-15 15:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf679e5…
05-15 14:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x83392e…
05-15 14:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa11733…
05-15 14:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x316dcb…
05-15 14:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xca263e…
05-15 14:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x47a3f5…
05-15 14:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd8033a…
05-15 14:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x16a0f0…
05-15 14:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x5146d4…
05-15 14:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaf2198…
05-15 14:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x45f278…
05-15 14:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x342da0…
05-15 14:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x3592f3…
05-15 14:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x8992c6…
05-15 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0xf84228…
05-15 14:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x7d8045…
05-15 14:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xcefcbb…
05-15 14:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x22b0bb…
05-15 14:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	21	16¢	$3	0x30b813…
05-15 14:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc71edd…
05-15 14:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x10259f…
05-15 14:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xdae38c…
05-15 14:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xfe860f…
05-15 14:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2460c2…
05-15 14:05:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xd0394c…
05-15 14:00:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x30af3b…
05-15 07:42:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xe57c80…
05-15 07:35:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xbe2986…
05-14 22:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x10fbc2…
05-14 22:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xa11bf7…
05-14 22:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xffa7d9…
05-14 22:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x310079…
05-14 22:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x156d89…
05-14 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7c9102…
05-14 22:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x28a747…
05-14 22:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xec9e2d…
05-14 22:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf0ba72…
05-14 22:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3455bd…
05-14 22:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc8bcc9…
05-14 22:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1daad5…
05-14 22:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x99922b…
05-14 22:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdd49f4…
05-14 22:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x7cc94f…
05-14 22:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x4e6cbd…
05-14 22:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3f0950…
05-14 22:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x52d9d8…
05-14 22:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x168891…
05-14 22:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x73edf0…
05-14 22:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3e069a…
05-14 22:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x48290c…
05-14 22:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8cb819…
05-14 22:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4cc7f8…
05-14 22:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3f2e42…
05-14 22:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x776050…
05-14 22:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa0adf4…
05-14 22:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xc1b8c8…
05-14 22:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$3	0xdbf66b…
05-14 22:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfff334…
05-14 22:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xad0470…
05-14 22:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8d35fd…
05-14 22:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc56f87…
05-14 22:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0xca2f56…
05-14 22:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x055e93…
05-14 22:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xf2d5cd…
05-14 22:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf88624…
05-14 22:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb367ca…
05-14 22:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0xb93e80…
05-14 22:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4631f1…
05-14 22:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x47053d…
05-14 21:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x507fe2…
05-14 21:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xde193d…