Loving-Solvency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

279

Trades

821

lifetime

Volume

$122.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$149

Open exposure

$110

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-01 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 93% -$73

Other

41% 90% +$245

Politics

9% 86% -$200

Tech

3% 100% +$11

Sports

0% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No		-100	-$97	99¢	$-99	-$2	10-01 14:26
Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?	No		+12	$9	93¢	$11	+$3	09-18 14:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	3	$9.2K	4,502	4,702	-200	No	$0	01-04 11:01
spx up or down on march 10 2026	16	$4.6K	4,589	0	+4,589	Down	+$5	03-10 20:20
spx up or down on march 5 2026	4	$4.1K	4,064	0	+4,064	Down	+$4	03-05 23:47
spx up or down on february 27 2026	20	$3.7K	3,684	0	+3,684	Down	+$4	02-27 23:49
spx up or down on march 2 2026	2	$3.5K	3,412	50	+3,362	Up	+$3	03-02 23:04
spx up or down on february 19 2026	4	$3.1K	3,089	0	+3,089	Down	+$3	02-19 20:59
will axiom be accused of insider trading	4	$3.1K	3,068	0	+3,068	Yes	+$9	02-26 13:43
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2.9K	2,925	0	+2,925	Up	+$3	02-18 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 20:25 UTC	2	$2.9K	2,948	0	+2,948	Up	+$31	02-15 20:29
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	6	$2.9K	2,899	0	+2,899	Down	+$3	02-17 14:31
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	2	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$2	06-09 17:51
spx up or down on february 24 2026	1	$2.5K	2,479	0	+2,479	Up	+$2	02-24 21:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 10:50 UTC	7	$2.5K	2,470	0	+2,470	Up	+$2	02-24 10:55
spx up or down on february 20 2026	1	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Up	+$2	02-20 21:08
will hyperliquid be accused of insider trading	6	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$10	02-23 22:07
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	5	$1.9K	1,890	0	+1,890	Yes	+$3	07-05 22:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 15:55 UTC	3	$1.8K	1,847	0	+1,847	Up	+$2	02-15 15:59
spx up or down on february 25 2026	6	$1.7K	1,750	0	+1,750	Up	+$2	02-25 22:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 23:05 UTC	13	$1.7K	1,700	0	+1,700	Down	+$12	02-15 23:10
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	2	$1.4K	1,427	0	+1,427	No	+$3	03-01 00:13
spx opens up or down on february 23 2026	2	$1.4K	1,424	0	+1,424	Down	+$1	02-23 19:02
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 2nd	1	$1.3K	1,287	0	+1,287	No	+$9	03-02 19:02
spx up or down on february 17 2026	6	$1.3K	1,260	0	+1,260	Up	+$1	02-17 23:17
will trump say blm or black lives matter during the black history month reception	2	$1.2K	1,227	0	+1,227	No	+$1	02-18 22:50
will trump say god 3 times at fort bragg on friday	2	$1.1K	1,148	0	+1,148	No	+$2	02-13 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 13:05 UTC	4	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Down	+$1	02-19 13:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 22:20 UTC	20	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	Up	+$11	02-15 22:25
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	5	$1.1K	1,090	0	+1,090	Yes	+$10	02-26 13:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:35 UTC	15	$986	987	0	+987	Down	+$1	02-21 20:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 11:35 UTC	1	$899	900	0	+900	Down	+$1	02-19 11:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 14:26:57	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0xefdc01…
09-19 10:53:40	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0x9d1b13…
09-18 14:09:30	Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x7e706a…
09-18 14:06:23	Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x07781d…
09-13 14:02:09	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x416918…
09-12 21:53:43	Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x2f71ae…
09-10 15:48:42	LAPTOP FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0x02693d…
09-10 13:46:00	LAPTOP FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x06de57…
09-06 01:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x54312a…
07-29 17:41:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xb26fa1…
07-16 13:05:38	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	96	96¢	$92	0xa92123…
07-15 21:01:52	Will England win on 2026-07-15?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x87bcd1…
07-15 21:00:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x37a509…
07-15 20:47:01	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x61d6ef…
07-15 20:38:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x92d0b4…
07-14 21:11:13	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6c3705…
07-14 20:57:25	Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Spain?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x9b175e…
07-11 08:15:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x10d24d…
07-10 21:02:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals leandro trossard gte1	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x7201df…
07-10 20:59:10	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	75	98¢	$74	0xe24968…
07-10 20:59:10	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc9d165…
07-10 20:57:13	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals dani olmo gte1	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1891fa…
07-10 20:50:05	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals nico williams gte1	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa49252…
07-10 20:23:47	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals leandro trossard gte1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe72f00…
07-10 20:22:47	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals leandro trossard gte1	No	BUY	65	100¢	$65	0xe95155…
07-09 21:54:26	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x122cbf…
07-09 21:47:46	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x9f6f44…
07-09 21:31:31	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 assists kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$8	0x7858d3…
07-09 21:31:02	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 assists kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x1d225a…
07-09 21:30:59	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 assists kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xd2b99c…
07-09 21:30:28	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x1c5a87…
07-09 21:24:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xd549cf…
07-09 20:16:53	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x3f7912…
07-08 13:57:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xd0ca45…
07-07 22:47:34	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x7832f9…
07-07 22:41:01	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x45f7aa…
07-07 22:34:46	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	220	99¢	$218	0xb9601d…
07-07 22:22:07	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	SELL	20	72¢	$14	0xca431b…
07-07 21:56:26	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x306e04…
07-07 21:56:23	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6478ba…
07-07 21:56:23	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x63a8b8…
07-07 21:56:20	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x945b5c…
07-07 21:47:32	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x3f03d2…
07-07 21:45:43	Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3f790a…
07-07 18:04:34	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9eddfe…
07-07 18:02:17	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x419530…
07-07 18:01:46	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xcc1e9b…
07-07 18:01:10	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x304dc3…
07-07 17:51:40	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x9e00ff…
07-07 17:46:52	Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9266d9…
07-07 17:33:07	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	69	38¢	$26	0xc505f9…
07-07 17:33:04	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 btts	No	BUY	31	38¢	$12	0xc1e2d8…
07-06 20:56:50	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xa370b5…
07-06 20:56:25	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x666d4c…
07-05 22:10:32	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xab2768…
07-05 22:03:20	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xb8c063…
07-05 22:02:52	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	226	99¢	$225	0x6bdc06…
07-05 22:02:50	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	427	100¢	$427	0x177ad6…
07-05 22:02:43	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd66327…
07-04 22:51:40	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xc65641…
07-04 22:33:11	France to score first vs. Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	42	88¢	$37	0x86704e…
07-04 22:33:08	France to score first vs. Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x64c4e0…
07-04 22:32:38	France to score first vs. Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	53	91¢	$48	0x99eaa5…
07-04 22:32:26	France to score first vs. Paraguay?	Yes	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6298db…
07-04 21:02:49	Will France win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xf26e25…
07-04 18:55:31	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0x4edf3e…
07-03 00:44:31	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x1f1341…
07-02 15:00:31	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xbbd6f7…
06-22 21:04:10	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x57b7e2…
06-16 21:03:26	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 2pt5	Senegal	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x967037…
06-16 20:49:56	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xb21074…
06-16 20:45:50	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0x1c1f60…
06-16 20:24:23	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0f52f0…
06-15 18:43:01	Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x64c27f…
06-15 15:18:16	Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe2daf7…
06-12 15:24:24	Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0xa30ebf…
06-11 21:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	85¢	$25	0xb5ff98…
06-11 21:09:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6fe1aa…
06-11 20:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x5b045e…
06-11 20:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x9cf6de…
06-11 20:34:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x052bf2…
06-11 20:34:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2e5793…
06-11 20:34:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xc7022d…
06-11 20:09:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x58b09c…
06-11 20:09:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xae0473…
06-11 07:35:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x953efc…
06-11 07:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xfd385d…
06-11 07:15:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x9216fb…
06-11 06:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xd627f2…
06-10 22:21:24	Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x8e73c9…
06-10 22:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xf96ab1…
06-10 22:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x6a0183…
06-10 22:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0x5ce878…
06-10 21:49:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x95eb8f…
06-10 21:49:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd68c08…
06-10 21:49:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x2c0c99…
06-10 21:49:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x05e8b4…
06-09 18:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf52a82…
06-09 18:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xe38bc6…
06-09 18:34:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xa7b6ff…