Insubstantial-Disease — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

290

Trades

291

lifetime

Volume

$3.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-31 15:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$5

Politics

3% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on May 14?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-14 13:13
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$24	24	+24	No	-$24	05-15 05:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C or higher on May 13?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-13 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-12 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 11?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-11 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 10?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-10 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 9?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:09
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 10:38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C or below on May 8?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-08 03:46
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 7?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 11:47
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-07 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-06 08:50
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 5?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-05 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 08:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:25
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-08 10:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:58
highest temperature in moscow on april 6 2026 7c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 15:12
highest temperature in seoul on april 5 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-05 09:01
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:12
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 72 73f	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 02:38
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 28c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-02 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 2 2026 20c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 06:36
highest temperature in hong kong on april 1 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 14:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 1 2026 17c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-01 08:43
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	03-31 08:25
highest temperature in miami on march 30 2026 78 79f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	03-31 01:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 15:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3901c2…
10-30 14:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e8e13…
10-29 17:47:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb66197…
10-29 09:09:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe746fe…
10-28 07:44:50	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b518e…
10-27 08:41:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x715d4c…
10-26 09:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb7583…
10-24 11:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f29f0…
10-22 10:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd62a12…
10-20 07:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3e172…
10-19 09:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fd18a…
10-18 09:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x070582…
10-17 15:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd2f94…
10-16 09:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x188c2c…
10-15 09:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c2975…
10-14 09:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae3e19…
10-13 09:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5aa5be…
10-12 09:09:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x738c1b…
10-11 08:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x55fb3f…
10-08 09:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf40432…
10-07 15:24:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f5458…
10-06 08:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcbf641…
10-05 01:59:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb8def…
10-03 08:19:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fde72…
10-02 11:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x530821…
10-01 08:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc7fd9…
09-30 12:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50fadf…
09-29 15:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x44efca…
09-28 09:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5da28…
09-27 08:51:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62d9d7…
09-25 16:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x831727…
09-24 08:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec42b1…
09-23 07:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde9fb0…
09-22 08:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab1aeb…
09-21 09:28:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf1824b…
09-20 05:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf93410…
09-19 08:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b3bbb…
09-18 06:28:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf98f19…
09-17 04:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f606c…
09-16 08:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67bf70…
09-15 10:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5c391…
09-14 09:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25912b…
09-12 16:32:36	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4d036…
09-11 07:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f47ad…
09-10 08:20:22	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25b1d7…
09-09 09:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d27e4…
09-08 15:44:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd25e0a…
09-08 06:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee403f…
09-07 08:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46605d…
09-06 17:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2face2…
09-06 09:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd80365…
09-05 01:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa96e73…
09-03 16:56:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b4461…
09-02 07:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x74b9d5…
08-30 09:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x635d53…
08-29 09:37:03	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb79b1…
08-28 08:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2cd14…
08-27 08:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72846f…
08-26 08:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc94940…
08-25 09:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34feb6…
08-24 13:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58b092…
08-23 14:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb89f25…
08-22 08:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x178be6…
08-21 07:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbf0d6…
08-20 08:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d6e91…
08-18 08:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26d77d…
08-17 07:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa16ea1…
08-16 11:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb948a3…
08-15 09:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81fd68…
08-14 06:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeea050…
08-13 08:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x678f1a…
08-12 07:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c2d3f…
08-11 06:57:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc59ef7…
08-10 07:50:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83b296…
08-09 02:13:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b90fd…
08-08 07:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f348c…
08-07 07:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe67b50…
08-06 06:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x531f33…
08-05 07:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x98e635…
08-04 08:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd3910…
08-03 07:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f9fe8…
08-02 02:13:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x96e039…
08-01 07:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd7924c…
07-31 13:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e1e9b…
07-30 06:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72b1da…
07-29 07:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7474f5…
07-28 06:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa95e74…
07-27 08:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8aecf3…
07-26 07:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03e304…
07-25 08:15:21	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x53ef47…
07-24 10:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90fdb0…
07-23 08:11:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf55ba…
07-22 02:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc1030…
07-21 09:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d600a…
07-21 00:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7a69e3…
07-20 07:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x575bb7…
07-18 23:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a7522…
07-18 00:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9b80d…
07-17 07:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cb303…
07-15 22:08:59	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb95767…