Tough-Accelerant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$631

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.5%

Resolved

13,845

Trades

25,286

lifetime

Volume

$151.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-26 05:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% -$590

Other

0% 77% -$41

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 13:45 UTC	24	$266	185	120	+65	Down	+$1	02-23 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 16:15 UTC	45	$206	396	0	+396	Up	-$3	02-23 16:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 17:00 UTC	79	$187	365	0	+365	Down	-$2	02-23 17:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 03:15 UTC	2	$177	182	0	+182	Down	-$5	01-11 03:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 05:30 UTC	27	$170	221	0	+221	Down	+$2	02-23 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 16:00 UTC	44	$163	324	0	+324	Down	-$1	02-23 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 16:30 UTC	69	$153	306	0	+306	Down	-$1	02-23 16:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 11:30 UTC	60	$145	282	0	+282	Up	-$9	02-24 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	8	$128	140	0	+140	Down	+$12	05-06 20:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 11:15 UTC	56	$111	218	0	+218	Down	-$1	02-24 11:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 14:00 UTC	30	$106	200	0	+200	Up	+$4	02-23 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 00:15 UTC	9	$98	100	98	+2	Up	$0	01-10 00:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 07:10 UTC	14	$95	167	0	+167	Down	-$29	04-12 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	11	$95	118	0	+118	Up	+$23	05-06 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	22	$94	172	0	+172	Up	-$3	05-04 14:44
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 02:30 UTC	2	$92	50	50	+0	Down	-$6	01-14 02:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 14:30 UTC	2	$91	50	50	+0	Up	-$8	01-13 14:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 16:00 UTC	2	$90	50	50	+0	Down	-$2	01-13 16:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 02:30 UTC	2	$90	50	50	+0	Down	-$9	01-14 02:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 03:00 UTC	11	$89	140	0	+140	Up	-$46	04-13 03:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-23 15:45 UTC	26	$88	178	0	+178	Down	+$1	02-23 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 14:00 UTC	21	$87	174	0	+174	Down	-$3	04-08 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 04:55 UTC	11	$87	149	0	+149	Down	+$7	04-12 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 08:00 UTC	17	$87	128	0	+128	Down	+$9	04-12 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	28	$87	70	70	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 13:50 UTC	24	$86	155	0	+155	Down	+$4	04-10 13:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 15:30 UTC	4	$86	100	100	+0	Down	-$2	01-06 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	24	$86	179	0	+179	Down	+$2	05-05 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	12	$85	178	0	+178	Down	+$4	05-04 13:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 15:15 UTC	2	$85	50	50	+0	Down	-$3	01-13 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 05:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xdc95ba…
10-26 04:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc29dad…
10-26 04:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x47680b…
10-26 04:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x41061f…
10-26 03:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x174006…
10-26 03:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x1d4353…
10-26 03:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x35e704…
10-26 03:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xfa0fc2…
10-26 02:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x9aa314…
10-26 02:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x259940…
10-26 02:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x11caa3…
10-26 01:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x158db7…
10-26 01:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5afeec…
10-26 01:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xf63b14…
10-26 01:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd19666…
10-26 01:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3f4351…
10-26 00:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x130593…
10-26 00:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x9ce7c9…
10-26 00:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x968057…
10-26 00:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x042a9a…
10-26 00:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x297545…
10-25 23:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd44f4d…
10-25 23:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x9a1410…
10-25 23:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x256d3e…
10-25 23:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc54cad…
10-25 22:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xa90996…
10-25 22:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xff673d…
10-25 22:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe5092c…
10-25 21:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x851a58…
10-25 21:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0256e8…
10-25 19:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x090fb7…
10-25 18:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5ebece…
10-25 17:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x497aec…
10-25 16:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xe4d3ab…
10-25 16:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5e3bd9…
10-25 15:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x3c45df…
10-25 15:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x1ecc7d…
10-25 14:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x475ecf…
10-25 14:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa76497…
10-25 14:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa009a4…
10-25 14:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x7c61c2…
10-25 14:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x9028bd…
10-25 12:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x440c27…
10-25 11:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x21dda6…
10-25 10:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x5fa7b5…
10-25 09:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xcf3b9f…
10-25 09:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2d4d60…
10-25 09:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xffac79…
10-25 03:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xca0f2d…
10-24 23:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1beaf6…
10-24 22:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8537b9…
10-24 20:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x8a0ab5…
10-24 18:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4cf40d…
10-24 16:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xee6ff1…
10-24 15:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa5809e…
10-24 15:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xe96da4…
10-24 15:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x77b7cb…
10-24 15:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x26f17f…
10-24 14:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xe56abe…
10-24 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe1a1d5…
10-24 12:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x79bd5e…
10-24 09:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x2c643d…
10-24 08:48:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc1a2db…
10-24 08:32:36	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x95dd5a…
10-24 08:18:06	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x156016…
10-24 05:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8aaa8c…
10-24 01:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3b3f2a…
10-24 01:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xeaa196…
10-24 00:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf0cb97…
10-24 00:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe74581…
10-23 23:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x64b20c…
10-23 23:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xac9086…
10-23 21:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x2208ee…
10-23 20:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x38b384…
10-23 20:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4ad357…
10-23 19:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x613707…
10-23 19:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa6531e…
10-23 18:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x7648e0…
10-23 16:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe028bf…
10-23 15:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc8a3be…
10-23 15:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe27152…
10-23 14:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6bc08d…
10-23 13:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0e0588…
10-23 13:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8e632a…
10-23 11:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x19fdfb…
10-23 10:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xa63009…
10-23 10:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xf60d9b…
10-23 10:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x4e7aea…
10-23 10:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x1ac8ca…
10-23 03:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xcf6af6…
10-23 03:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x4a1be6…
10-23 03:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf74eec…
10-23 02:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd78d28…
10-23 02:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x70fa93…
10-23 02:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb33273…
10-23 02:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9625d2…
10-23 02:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x2efd44…
10-23 02:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x139c12…
10-23 02:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xeb752b…
10-23 01:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x2ed9a2…