Tough-Accelerant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

740

Trades

22,981

lifetime

Volume

$137.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-01 12:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% $-91

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 763 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1771854300	24	$266	185	120	+65	open	—	02-23 13:56
btc updown 15m 1771863300	45	$206	396	0	+396	open	—	02-23 16:26
btc updown 15m 1771866000	79	$187	365	0	+365	open	—	02-23 17:13
xrp updown 15m 1768101300	2	$177	182	0	+182	open	—	01-11 03:30
btc updown 15m 1771824600	27	$170	221	0	+221	open	—	02-23 05:45
btc updown 15m 1771862400	44	$163	324	0	+324	open	—	02-23 16:11
btc updown 15m 1771864200	69	$153	306	0	+306	open	—	02-23 16:41
btc updown 15m 1771932600	60	$145	282	0	+282	open	—	02-24 11:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	8	$128	140	0	+140	Down	+$12	05-06 20:09
btc updown 15m 1771931700	56	$111	218	0	+218	open	—	02-24 11:29
btc updown 15m 1771855200	30	$106	200	0	+200	open	—	02-23 14:10
btc updown 15m 1768004100	9	$98	100	98	+2	open	—	01-10 00:11
btc updown 5m 1775977800	14	$95	167	0	+167	open	—	04-12 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	11	$95	118	0	+118	Up	+$23	05-06 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	22	$94	172	0	+172	open	—	05-04 14:44
eth updown 15m 1768357800	2	$92	50	50	+0	open	—	01-14 02:44
sol updown 15m 1768314600	2	$91	50	50	+0	open	—	01-13 14:44
btc updown 15m 1768320000	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	01-13 16:14
sol updown 15m 1768357800	2	$90	50	50	+0	open	—	01-14 02:44
btc updown 5m 1776049200	11	$89	140	0	+140	open	—	04-13 03:04
btc updown 15m 1771861500	26	$88	178	0	+178	open	—	02-23 15:59
btc updown 5m 1775656800	21	$87	174	0	+174	open	—	04-08 14:04
btc updown 5m 1775969700	11	$87	149	0	+149	open	—	04-12 04:59
btc updown 5m 1775980800	17	$87	128	0	+128	open	—	04-12 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	28	$87	70	70	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 06:29
btc updown 5m 1775829000	24	$86	155	0	+155	open	—	04-10 13:54
sol updown 15m 1767713400	4	$86	100	100	+0	open	—	01-06 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	24	$86	179	0	+179	Down	+$2	05-05 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	12	$85	178	0	+178	open	—	05-04 13:54
eth updown 15m 1768317300	2	$85	50	50	+0	open	—	01-13 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x410a18…
06-01 12:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xc2d895…
06-01 12:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x6b8461…
06-01 12:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x08c60c…
06-01 11:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5a9a78…
06-01 11:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7fde34…
06-01 10:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x592e06…
06-01 10:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x062147…
06-01 10:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xf31550…
06-01 10:26:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xde539e…
06-01 10:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xc82a65…
06-01 10:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x40e3b1…
06-01 09:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x42cedb…
06-01 09:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x45d1d9…
06-01 09:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x3e21e3…
06-01 09:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x25b751…
06-01 09:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x2d9eb7…
06-01 09:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x7e810a…
06-01 09:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x4c2c7f…
06-01 09:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x2c2196…
06-01 09:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa19749…
06-01 09:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x59162d…
06-01 09:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x0f68f3…
06-01 09:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xbddf31…
06-01 08:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x86ad33…
06-01 08:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x39bad5…
06-01 08:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xd9aa38…
06-01 08:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xcd3e3e…
06-01 08:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x277442…
06-01 08:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb5c2e0…
06-01 08:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x8586d7…
06-01 08:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0b3f45…
06-01 08:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0xbbf77f…
06-01 08:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc56040…
06-01 08:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x419839…
06-01 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2de025…
06-01 08:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x6e8889…
06-01 08:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfaebcb…
06-01 08:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x83e83a…
06-01 08:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x5c1d26…
06-01 08:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x5c5b2b…
06-01 08:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xd7782e…
06-01 07:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xdcf28b…
06-01 07:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfe0392…
06-01 07:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x4bc6fe…
06-01 07:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x071e47…
06-01 07:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x6c7d6d…
06-01 07:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x058304…
06-01 07:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x2cfdef…
06-01 07:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5c1928…
06-01 07:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x902a34…
06-01 07:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xfa6267…
06-01 06:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x9d3a45…
06-01 06:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x179158…
06-01 06:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x99bcbe…
06-01 06:35:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbf618c…
06-01 06:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xb94cdd…
06-01 06:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x891485…
06-01 05:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4c6094…
06-01 05:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xf09949…
06-01 04:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x034d76…
06-01 04:36:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x955287…
06-01 04:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xfc3e3e…
06-01 04:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xce5208…
06-01 04:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x1cb980…
06-01 04:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x6bead4…
06-01 03:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xab8d91…
06-01 03:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x2c7b4f…
06-01 03:22:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x789ffb…
06-01 03:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x945986…
06-01 03:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x98f997…
06-01 03:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xdabc9b…
06-01 03:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc35e50…
06-01 02:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x636027…
06-01 02:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x21f9ff…
06-01 02:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xbafe70…
06-01 02:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xddac87…
06-01 02:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x1ce55b…
06-01 02:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x12f4f4…
06-01 02:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xca87d2…
06-01 01:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xac9a07…
06-01 01:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x868752…
06-01 01:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x4b2200…
06-01 01:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1051ad…
05-31 19:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xe24b4e…
05-31 19:35:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xb72240…
05-31 19:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xea0f3a…
05-31 19:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x38a898…
05-31 19:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x08d17d…
05-31 19:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1566f2…
05-31 19:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x04b513…
05-31 19:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5f89a2…
05-31 18:58:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x50a3eb…
05-31 18:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe078a8…
05-31 18:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x09ffab…
05-31 18:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xa72360…
05-31 18:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x2ad15a…
05-31 18:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x5c2fc5…
05-31 18:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc77ae5…
05-31 18:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x42c214…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Numb-Bedroom 0x64a4…c103	595	$81.2K	8,602	05-14 17:02
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	595	$13.7K	2,519	05-14 17:02
(anonymous) 0xfb1c…963e	562	$76.4K	6,113	05-14 16:38
Dangerous-Literate 0xd31a…5f51	539	$8.96K	3,183	05-14 16:27
(anonymous) 0xcbd5…d185	531	$1.75K	538	02-04 17:07
(anonymous) 0x3415…71b7	531	$1.75K	541	02-04 17:07
Suburban-Classic 0x425c…a16e	529	$8.68K	800	05-08 06:40
(anonymous) 0xe007…548c	527	$393.3K	43,836	02-24 11:59