Tough-Accelerant — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

25 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$255

$255 lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up		+9	$8	62¢	$6	$-2	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down		+8	$7	56¢	$4	$-2	05-06 00:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$32	35	+35	open	—	05-05 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	3	$28	32	+32	open	—	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$25	27	+27	open	—	05-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$18	20	+20	open	—	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$18	20	+20	open	—	05-05 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$15	20	+20	open	—	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$15	15	+15	open	—	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$14	20	+20	Down	$-14	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$14	20	+20	Up	+$6	05-04 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$14	15	+15	Down	+$1	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$13	15	+15	Down	+$2	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$13	16	+16	open	—	05-05 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	05-05 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$8	9	+9	open	—	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$7	8	+8	open	—	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	$-4	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$1	10	+10	Up	$-1	05-05 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$7	0xa0b1af…
05-06 00:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0x838016…
05-05 20:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x1a5e94…
05-05 18:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xdd14bf…
05-05 16:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x87faa1…
05-05 15:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x54fb0a…
05-05 14:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x0bf4da…
05-05 14:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xed535b…
05-05 14:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0x97418d…
05-05 14:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xee8636…
05-05 14:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfa90a1…
05-05 14:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1ddec3…
05-05 14:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x9857d4…
05-05 14:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x6206c5…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xcc8fb1…
05-05 14:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	80¢	$6	0x5c0aa8…
05-05 13:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x30e933…
05-05 13:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x11ab39…
05-05 01:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe46ad2…
05-05 01:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa96f12…
05-04 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x2391e4…
05-04 22:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x0d01d0…
05-04 22:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xd090de…
05-04 21:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xed18b5…
05-04 21:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xc24d02…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	18	$2.15K	89	05-06 00:19
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	17	$3.62K	92	05-06 00:19
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	17	$1.24K	227	05-06 00:19
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	15	$1.21K	119	05-06 00:19
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	15	$919	78	05-06 00:19
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	12	$1.64K	36	05-06 00:19
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	11	$1.58K	306	05-06 00:19
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	11	$1.13K	59	05-06 00:18