Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$648

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 04-08 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

35% 44% +$16

Crypto

34% 50% -$22

Politics

31% 67% +$16

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will axiom be accused of insider trading	2	$59	45	45	+0	Yes	+$31	02-26 15:49
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	3	$46	24	24	+0	No	$0	03-29 08:51
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$45	25	25	+0	Yes	-$1	03-21 02:49
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	3	$38	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-21 02:47
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	2	$38	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	01-25 07:51
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	3	$35	19	19	+0	No	-$1	03-10 01:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$33	17	17	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 09:42
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-26 09:49
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$0	03-08 07:24
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	2	$28	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	01-10 03:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$23	13	28	-15	Yes	+$8	01-12 06:27
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 00:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-02 09:42
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$19	11	11	+0	No	$0	03-10 01:15
will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-18 15:15
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	$0	02-27 08:29
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	2	$16	10	10	+0	No	$0	01-13 08:58
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$16	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-10 01:11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$15	23	0	+23	Yes	+$8	03-08 08:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$14	11	11	+0	No	$0	03-01 11:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$14	20	20	+0	No	-$1	01-15 08:30
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$13	14	0	+14	Yes	+$1	03-30 07:14
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	03-10 02:47
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$11	13	0	+13	No	-$11	03-18 06:44
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$10	30	0	+30	Yes	-$10	01-13 15:20
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes 638 582	1	$8	104	0	+104	No	-$8	01-21 09:35
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-09 02:27
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	1	$8	15	0	+15	Yes	-$8	01-28 07:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-08 00:57:31	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x8dcd23…
03-30 11:52:58	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x62e530…
03-30 07:14:50	Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xf49a86…
03-29 08:51:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0xef915d…
03-26 09:49:05	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x9a7a4a…
03-25 09:36:29	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xbbb13b…
03-25 09:35:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x3e35bb…
03-25 08:47:41	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd53fd7…
03-21 02:49:47	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x930854…
03-21 02:47:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	21	90¢	$19	0x2cd963…
03-18 15:23:59	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xed0814…
03-18 15:15:23	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xff72e2…
03-18 14:42:45	will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0a1c6a…
03-18 14:40:11	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd31aa2…
03-18 06:44:49	Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x1fed4a…
03-13 16:23:45	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x17e563…
03-13 15:19:03	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xbd4614…
03-10 02:47:35	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd7afdf…
03-10 01:16:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x58e20b…
03-10 01:15:47	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xf698ad…
03-10 01:11:37	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xa3b6a3…
03-08 08:43:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x97dedf…
03-08 08:22:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x64bfe7…
03-08 07:55:27	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x3c5943…
03-08 07:52:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x1da22a…
03-08 07:24:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x14549c…
03-03 18:39:59	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x2f8bd6…
03-03 18:36:31	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xfdd50f…
03-02 09:42:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x85344b…
03-02 09:42:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x55cefe…
03-01 12:32:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2c075f…
03-01 11:50:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xb58e86…
03-01 01:01:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0xbd54a3…
02-27 10:24:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xee0f1a…
02-27 08:29:25	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xd32091…
02-26 15:49:38	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xc9ca35…
02-26 05:36:30	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	45	32¢	$14	0xc74480…
02-20 13:33:42	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x79c345…
02-09 02:27:37	will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x36a701…
01-28 07:30:09	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x1f7814…
01-25 07:51:06	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xd0f867…
01-24 09:51:50	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x88d66e…
01-21 09:35:52	will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes 638 582	Yes	BUY	104	8¢	$8	0xea5bea…
01-15 08:30:24	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x750da5…
01-14 10:22:44	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x11368d…
01-13 15:20:21	will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x581284…
01-13 08:58:17	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x353d7e…
01-12 08:50:30	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xeb8e86…
01-12 06:27:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x9f5bfd…
01-10 03:48:08	will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	No	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0x8de661…
01-09 15:11:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x88d68f…
01-09 11:30:56	will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	No	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xdc264c…
01-04 02:29:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	15	57¢	$9	0x219527…