(anonymous) 0xe54689…7728a6
2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$993
Unrealized P&L
+$110
Hit rate
90.2%
Resolved
165
Trades
2,294
lifetime
Volume
$71.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$5.28K
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 10-31 21:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 32 days
Categories
Politics
65% 64% +$652
Other
19% 67% +$282
Crypto
16% 71% +$72
Tech
0% 0% -$13
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 109 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +2,895 $1,828 62¢ $1.8K -$18 10-31 21:01
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? Yes +2,888 $1,063 42¢ $1.2K +$136 10-31 21:01
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +492 $383 74¢ $367 -$16 10-29 17:39
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +577 $356 64¢ $366 +$10 10-29 17:12
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +479 $283 62¢ $299 +$17 10-29 17:51
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +326 $251 78¢ $252 +$1 10-29 17:38
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +579 $212 38¢ $217 +$5 10-29 17:12
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +475 $189 36¢ $174 -$16 10-29 17:49
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026? Yes +303 $188 57¢ $172 -$16 10-31 09:28
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $109 42¢ $125 +$16 10-31 09:28
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +492 $104 22¢ $111 +$6 10-29 17:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? Yes +100 $87 95¢ $95 +$9 10-30 03:40
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +343 $73 26¢ $87 +$14 10-29 17:39
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? No +100 $36 5¢ $5 -$31 10-31 00:52
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +47 $12 6¢ $3 -$9 10-30 13:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +2 -$2 50¢ $1 +$2 10-29 20:28