Incomplete-Discipline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

257

Trades

474

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-07 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

83% 34% -$71

Crypto

8% 33% -$9

Politics

6% 33% -$3

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Sports

2% 21% -$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
epl bou bre 2026 03 03 bou	3	$40	50	50	+0	No	-$2	03-02 14:08
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 25c	7	$28	18	18	+0	No	-$2	04-09 23:45
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 160 179	3	$26	15	15	+0	Yes	-$1	03-08 10:42
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	2	$25	15	15	+0	No	-$2	03-08 05:59
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$22	11	11	-0	Yes	+$1	02-28 00:40
highest temperature in wellington on april 10 2026 17c	4	$19	12	12	+0	Yes	-$1	04-09 18:37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	4	$19	11	11	+0	No	-$1	05-06 06:57
highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	4	$18	13	13	+0	No	-$2	04-20 08:17
highest temperature in wellington on march 9 2026 19corhigher	3	$17	10	10	+0	No	-$2	03-08 11:51
2026 the players championship winner xander schauffele win	2	$17	9	9	+0	No	-$1	03-13 15:50
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	8	$15	80	80	+0	Yes	-$1	02-28 04:33
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214	8	$15	80	80	+0	No	-$1	02-28 04:31
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 300 319	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	-$1	03-07 07:50
bitcoin above 68k on march 6	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	-$2	03-06 14:13
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$14	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	02-27 11:59
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:59
will solana dip to 60 in february 2026	2	$14	7	7	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:59
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	$0	02-27 11:59
will scream 7 second weekend box office be between 25m and 28m	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	03-06 02:18
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	-$1	02-25 16:23
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	-$1	03-17 18:56
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	-$1	02-27 11:59
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	$0	03-18 01:02
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	2	$12	8	5	+3	No	$0	03-05 10:00
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:59
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:59
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 2 8	2	$12	9	5	+4	No	$0	03-06 14:13
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	+$0	02-27 11:59
highest temperature in seoul on march 18 2026 7c	2	$12	6	6	+0	No	-$1	03-16 19:26
will global temperature increase by between 1pt10c and 1pt14c in february 2026 151	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	03-09 01:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 16:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x7e03f8…
05-07 08:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on May 7?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7d5cf5…
05-07 05:26:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 62°F or higher on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0x10caae…
05-06 19:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x054455…
05-06 10:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?	No	SELL	6	78¢	$4	0x33dd69…
05-06 10:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on May 7?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x3f1691…
05-06 10:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 6?	No	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x91a7ed…
05-06 10:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on May 7?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x82360f…
05-06 06:57:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xaffd59…
05-06 06:02:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x77ec94…
05-06 01:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 6?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6de55a…
05-06 01:17:18	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$5	0xa786c1…
05-05 23:13:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x121335…
05-05 21:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$5	0x6af089…
05-05 19:49:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?	No	SELL	7	64¢	$5	0x34b3c9…
05-05 16:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x363626…
05-05 16:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb871dd…
05-01 06:16:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?	No	SELL	7	56¢	$4	0xca2f48…
05-01 04:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x2c2bbe…
05-01 04:05:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 1?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x5e94a6…
05-01 03:09:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x27f8e3…
05-01 03:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x8e67e6…
05-01 03:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?	No	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xa80ed3…
05-01 00:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbe1a77…
05-01 00:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xb1833c…
05-01 00:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on May 1?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3e4ba0…
05-01 00:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x27ef6d…
05-01 00:07:28	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 1?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6f60b0…
05-01 00:01:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 1?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xa1e2c5…
04-30 23:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x4cc49a…
04-30 18:35:14	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0a6f4f…
04-29 12:22:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x901556…
04-29 11:23:44	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 29?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x28b210…
04-28 10:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4d8b13…
04-25 18:12:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x542583…
04-25 17:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe620fe…
04-25 17:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa4b2e0…
04-25 17:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on April 26?	No	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x0bb819…
04-25 16:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on April 26?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd13ecd…
04-25 13:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 25?	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x939c71…
04-25 12:58:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xa0c6ca…
04-25 10:43:12	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 25?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8a4bf1…
04-24 05:27:50	highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	SELL	7	65¢	$4	0x237915…
04-24 04:49:04	highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 16c	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xecdfc0…
04-24 00:14:14	highest temperature in nyc on april 24 2026 62 63f	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa896e8…
04-23 18:46:40	highest temperature in milan on april 24 2026 24c	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xcdb39a…
04-23 14:23:44	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 58 59f	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x48b6d0…
04-23 12:47:48	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xafbdf2…
04-23 12:34:30	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	No	SELL	10	40¢	$4	0x023662…
04-23 11:36:44	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x4ef67f…
04-23 10:53:26	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 58 59f	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x5134c4…
04-23 09:56:48	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc43fce…
04-23 09:53:50	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x09a4d8…
04-23 09:50:14	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x27c69c…
04-23 09:40:30	highest temperature in miami on april 23 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd51377…
04-23 06:49:16	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 17c	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x046605…
04-23 04:31:54	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 18c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf07a88…
04-23 02:49:26	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xf3ab23…
04-20 20:13:00	highest temperature in houston on april 21 2026 68 69f	No	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0xce4aae…
04-20 16:56:24	highest temperature in houston on april 21 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8f39ec…
04-20 16:38:36	highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 9c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x459f0a…
04-20 16:37:52	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xa4b7e4…
04-20 14:54:54	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 86 87f	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0xfcaabe…
04-20 14:52:20	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 86 87f	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x5552a4…
04-20 14:29:42	highest temperature in warsaw on april 21 2026 12c	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x793c9d…
04-20 13:48:58	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 18corhigher	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa39a8f…
04-20 12:15:16	highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 22c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5a05b1…
04-20 10:06:44	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 16c	No	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0x74c8f6…
04-20 09:20:42	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x098da3…
04-20 09:20:14	highest temperature in ankara on april 21 2026 16c	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x37f3e5…
04-20 09:19:18	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	No	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xf1e374…
04-20 08:17:02	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xcbc769…
04-20 08:09:38	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x6ce55c…
04-20 05:20:10	highest temperature in london on april 20 2026 13c	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x85a6d9…
04-20 04:09:22	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5c5f4f…
04-20 03:18:26	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 84 85f	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe2295a…
04-20 03:04:26	highest temperature in singapore on april 21 2026 34corhigher	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaa95ff…
04-20 02:24:42	highest temperature in miami on april 20 2026 86 87f	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3312ac…
04-17 12:00:18	highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1ed497…
04-17 11:50:34	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 15corbelow	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe5ba21…
04-17 10:03:50	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 25corbelow	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x111ac9…
04-17 09:51:52	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 26c	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xcace1f…
04-17 08:10:28	highest temperature in beijing on april 18 2026 26c	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x1e3205…
04-17 08:04:10	highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb99c2a…
04-17 07:34:04	highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 15corbelow	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdefb16…
04-17 05:40:40	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 31c	No	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0xf81025…
04-17 05:33:20	highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 31c	No	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x650549…
04-16 13:55:56	highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 22c	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbae5b3…
04-16 12:48:18	highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 20c	No	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x166730…
04-16 06:08:42	highest temperature in toronto on april 16 2026 19c	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x02437a…
04-16 05:41:10	highest temperature in chicago on april 16 2026 70 71f	No	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x7a1c70…
04-16 04:06:06	highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 20c	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x177fc7…
04-16 04:03:20	highest temperature in toronto on april 16 2026 19c	No	BUY	2	64¢	$2	0xbc346b…
04-16 03:36:16	highest temperature in chicago on april 16 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xc610ff…
04-16 03:11:32	highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xdea2ae…
04-16 03:10:46	highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 20c	No	BUY	6	78¢	$4	0x7e1711…
04-16 02:05:00	highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 17c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcc1bf6…
04-13 12:44:55	highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 50 51f	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x45ec8b…
04-13 11:47:25	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 20c	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x514d44…
04-13 09:42:45	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 19c	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x24aff6…