Realized P&L (90d)
+$35
Unrealized P&L
-$22
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved (90d)
48
Trades (90d)
84
84 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$525
$525 lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$29
11 positions
First seen
2026-09-12
last 10-13 15:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
45% 74% +$32
Crypto
27% 60% +$11
Politics
21% 45% -$17
Sports
6% 67% +$8
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +11 $5 95¢ $10 +$5 09-18 20:32
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +9 $0 98¢ $8 +$8 10-09 19:06
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +8 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 09-26 12:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12 $5 27¢ $3 -$2 09-29 20:36
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +12 $6 5¢ $1 -$6 09-29 18:11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +16 $5 3¢ $1 -$4 09-30 20:18
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 3¢ $0 -$5 09-24 12:44
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +7 $5 4¢ $0 -$5 09-28 14:02
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +13 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 09-22 14:48
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +9 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 09-30 22:47
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +12 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 10-02 11:43