Realized P&L
+$28
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
79.3%
Resolved
49
Trades
84
lifetime
Volume
$525
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$29
9 positions
First seen
2026-09-12
last 10-13 15:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
45% 70% +$25
Crypto
27% 60% +$11
Politics
21% 45% -$17
Sports
6% 67% +$8
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +11 $5 92¢ $10 +$5 09-18 20:32
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +9 $0 98¢ $8 +$8 10-09 19:06
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +8 $5 82¢ $6 +$1 09-26 12:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12 $5 33¢ $4 -$1 09-29 20:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +13 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 09-22 14:48
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? Yes +9 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 09-30 22:47
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +7 $5 2¢ $0 -$5 09-28 14:02
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +16 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-30 20:18
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? Yes +12 $5 1¢ $0 -$5 09-24 12:44