Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

104

Trades

248

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-07 08:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Politics

81% 67% +$87

Other

17% 55% -$82

Crypto

1% 25% -$58

Tech

1% 33% -$15

Sports

1% 33% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-07).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran strike israel in march	2	$612	312	312	+0	Yes	+$12	03-01 13:34
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	5	$478	760	418	+342	Yes	+$250	01-08 20:20
will iran strike a gulf state on march 6	4	$454	256	256	+0	Yes	+$54	03-06 21:19
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 11 887	2	$430	250	250	+0	Yes	+$50	03-08 21:10
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$424	225	225	+0	No	+$24	03-15 04:28
will iran strike a gulf state on march 3	2	$423	226	226	+0	Yes	+$23	03-03 13:00
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$414	215	215	+0	No	+$14	03-07 19:36
will iran strike israel on march 2	2	$410	211	211	+0	Yes	+$10	03-02 18:13
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$400	385	385	+0	Yes	+$200	01-13 19:01
will iran strike a gulf state on march 5	2	$324	181	181	+0	Yes	+$24	03-05 15:11
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	3	$268	309	309	+0	No	-$132	03-27 19:24
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	5	$265	357	357	+0	Yes	-$80	04-14 20:22
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	8	$234	116	194	-78	Yes	+$75	03-26 12:36
will iran strike a gulf state on march 1	2	$211	112	112	+0	Yes	+$11	03-01 13:34
will iran strike israel on march 6	3	$201	211	100	+111	No	-$13	03-09 02:41
will iran strike a gulf state on march 4	2	$198	125	125	+0	Yes	+$25	03-07 22:51
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	2	$189	100	100	+0	No	+$5	03-15 03:43
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	5	$186	281	337	-56	Yes	-$92	04-16 17:32
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	6	$173	257	0	+257	Yes	-$173	04-08 16:32
will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 28 2026	2	$173	258	0	+258	No	+$85	04-02 08:33
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$162	111	111	+0	No	+$55	04-15 21:57
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	5	$155	143	143	+0	Yes	-$37	04-16 09:22
will iran successfully target shipping on march 18 2026 783	3	$140	79	79	+0	No	+$16	03-20 20:08
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	5	$126	195	0	+195	No	+$69	03-27 21:02
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	4	$122	180	180	+0	No	-$86	03-23 16:32
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$122	83	83	+0	Yes	+$22	03-06 19:51
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 21 2026 123	4	$122	141	0	+141	Yes	+$20	03-22 07:22
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$118	100	100	+0	Yes	-$54	03-23 15:32
will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	6	$118	3,100	3,100	+0	No	-$87	03-25 11:07
will khamenei tweet again on march 12 2026 799	2	$116	100	50	+50	Yes	+$22	03-12 12:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-07 08:25:50	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xbc3332…
07-06 02:54:17	Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x0032c7…
07-05 19:01:05	Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x24d4fc…
06-30 10:03:43	Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x93b707…
06-26 16:09:43	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x9daa7e…
06-26 16:04:29	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	357	8¢	$30	0x00266c…
06-22 16:23:44	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x8d5511…
05-12 15:20:17	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x78325d…
04-23 16:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0x69c69b…
04-23 16:27:52	highest temperature in madrid on april 23 2026 27c	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$24	0x19cbb5…
04-22 19:07:48	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0xd41ff8…
04-22 19:03:54	highest temperature in madrid on april 23 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	26	36¢	$10	0xfda1ff…
04-22 17:31:36	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x00ed4c…
04-18 19:34:44	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xa56157…
04-18 18:21:08	will the super mario galaxy movie 3rd weekend box office be between 31m and 34m	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x05331c…
04-16 17:32:26	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	337	14¢	$47	0x681d61…
04-16 14:35:30	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x8203cb…
04-16 14:34:32	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	69	46¢	$32	0x31d459…
04-16 14:33:12	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	65	47¢	$30	0x9461bc…
04-16 14:31:28	Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	121	54¢	$65	0x9294da…
04-16 09:22:50	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	137	41¢	$57	0xa5e8d3…
04-16 09:20:12	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0xa03ac2…
04-15 21:57:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	111	97¢	$108	0xa30826…
04-15 16:20:32	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	111	48¢	$54	0x8006e6…
04-14 22:37:40	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x5a6707…
04-14 22:35:24	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0x86cb94…
04-14 22:28:08	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	121	67¢	$81	0x53a99b…
04-14 20:22:10	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	357	26¢	$93	0x601b76…
04-13 06:37:59	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	56¢	$31	0xaf828d…
04-12 22:43:41	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	BUY	75	74¢	$56	0xe049b9…
04-08 16:32:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	57	66¢	$38	0x1e5061…
04-08 16:31:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x008ae4…
04-08 16:31:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xfb714b…
04-08 16:31:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	85	68¢	$57	0xbed03e…
04-08 16:28:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	66	68¢	$45	0x081898…
04-08 16:19:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0x44e511…
04-07 09:43:15	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 7, 2026?	No	BUY	99	67¢	$66	0xc303d0…
04-06 14:37:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	56	68¢	$38	0x937c64…
04-06 14:37:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x131a16…
04-06 10:02:13	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xb6e896…
04-06 09:09:57	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xf12c7b…
04-06 02:50:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	85	83¢	$71	0xa60be6…
04-05 14:00:53	Will Iran successfully target shipping on April 5, 2026?	No	BUY	111	73¢	$81	0xfa588a…
04-04 12:45:55	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	147	79¢	$116	0x1b91a1…
04-04 11:50:53	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	127	47¢	$60	0x6ea861…
04-04 00:35:25	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x96796b…
04-04 00:25:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	212	49¢	$104	0x8fa6bd…
04-03 23:46:13	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x109087…
04-02 09:51:33	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	No	BUY	87	62¢	$54	0xa82456…
04-02 09:48:01	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	No	BUY	88	62¢	$55	0xb0caa7…
04-02 08:33:41	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 28 2026	No	BUY	158	64¢	$102	0x75d35a…
04-02 07:11:13	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 29 2026	No	BUY	121	65¢	$79	0xd4a97f…
04-02 02:26:03	will israel conduct military action in greater beirut on march 28 2026	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x18caaf…
04-01 23:47:17	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0xce6da7…
04-01 23:47:17	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcbbe61…
04-01 23:47:17	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x92e535…
04-01 23:47:17	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x25e642…
04-01 23:47:17	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x0b45b8…
04-01 23:45:39	Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x427aa6…
04-01 14:17:17	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	57	42¢	$24	0x1be640…
04-01 14:13:29	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0bde72…
04-01 14:11:35	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf207f0…
04-01 14:04:03	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x5bd0bd…
04-01 14:00:11	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x7d5bd2…
04-01 13:54:45	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0x86a9e6…
04-01 13:43:01	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xaab566…
03-29 21:28:20	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	No	BUY	31	75¢	$23	0xa1a29c…
03-28 21:38:30	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	55	0¢	$0	0xc84195…
03-28 21:12:24	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xafcfbf…
03-28 20:04:50	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x46e5ef…
03-28 17:31:19	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x54927d…
03-28 11:44:09	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	42	32¢	$13	0x85d4a0…
03-28 07:39:37	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x0c73e3…
03-28 03:56:05	houthi military action against israel by april 15 2026	No	BUY	111	68¢	$75	0x19e814…
03-28 00:17:13	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xc6fe3e…
03-27 21:02:45	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	55	55¢	$31	0x0b3611…
03-27 20:11:13	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	15	57¢	$8	0x9b87e8…
03-27 20:05:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xf2d4b9…
03-27 19:24:43	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	298	22¢	$66	0xb0242a…
03-27 18:45:17	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	11	22¢	$2	0xfd2ab6…
03-27 17:35:41	chatgpt outage by april 3	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xcc05c5…
03-27 17:35:23	chatgpt outage by april 3	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x56e41e…
03-27 15:48:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0xaa375a…
03-27 15:35:35	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	57	71¢	$41	0x93e292…
03-27 03:02:07	chatgpt outage by april 3	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x634b7c…
03-27 00:56:19	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	SELL	15	65¢	$10	0x3b2402…
03-27 00:43:43	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	BUY	11	67¢	$7	0xbe9175…
03-27 00:37:33	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	No	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x771566…
03-26 12:36:55	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	SELL	194	100¢	$193	0xe8edd4…
03-26 11:57:37	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	SELL	137	50¢	$68	0x7bb0e0…
03-25 22:11:29	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$10	0x28bfaf…
03-25 21:58:45	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	27	31¢	$8	0x0185e2…
03-25 21:58:29	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1b895f…
03-25 21:45:43	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x3b9f46…
03-25 21:27:37	will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 22 2026 854	Yes	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x589ac2…
03-25 11:07:35	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	3,100	0¢	$15	0x65775a…
03-25 01:55:27	khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x5104f3…
03-25 01:54:39	khamenei of tweets march 20 march 27 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xb2d1d0…
03-25 00:29:43	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0x792f93…
03-25 00:29:35	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xea4061…