Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

-$314

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

7,022

Trades

75,216

lifetime

Volume

$138.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-27

last 09-20 11:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

88% 19% +$362

Sports

9% 55% -$234

Tech

2% 25% +$33

Politics

1% 15% -$83

Crypto

0% 48% -$170

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes		+2,000	$320	0¢	$6	-$314	09-20 11:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	13	$4.4K	4,477	3,000	+1,477	Yes	-$467	07-06 16:07
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	16	$3.4K	3,000	2,241	+759	No	+$288	07-06 14:43
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$3.4K	28,000	28,000	+0	No	+$35	07-06 16:10
Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	1	$3.1K	3,099	0	+3,099	Yes	+$32	04-16 08:47
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	25	$2.1K	2,368	618	+1,750	Yes	-$18	02-12 08:18
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 273	59	$892	1,197	0	+1,197	Yes	+$305	03-27 05:16
rusixnat sco eng 2026 02 14 draw	8	$637	639	0	+639	No	+$2	02-14 17:20
rusixnat ire ita 2026 02 14 draw	8	$586	588	0	+588	No	+$2	02-14 14:33
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	28	$563	677	0	+677	Yes	+$114	03-17 19:13
rusixnat ire ita 2026 02 14 ita	7	$513	588	0	+588	No	+$75	02-14 14:33
will crude oil cl settle at 90 in march	51	$511	568	0	+568	Yes	+$57	03-30 18:06
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 30corhigher	80	$481	998	0	+998	Yes	+$517	03-16 05:15
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	1	$468	12,000	0	+12,000	No	-$468	07-03 15:06
will mrbeasts latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1	18	$396	1,202	574	+628	No	+$25	02-12 07:37
rusixnat sco eng 2026 02 14 sco	10	$393	639	0	+639	Yes	-$393	02-14 17:20
will silver si settle at 75 in march	61	$372	895	0	+895	Yes	+$523	03-30 10:13
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	44	$365	744	0	+744	Yes	+$379	04-04 15:16
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	20	$339	423	0	+423	Yes	+$84	04-20 11:05
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	28	$328	478	0	+478	Yes	+$150	03-14 11:32
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	1	$320	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	09-20 11:22
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	31	$319	474	0	+474	Yes	+$155	04-11 21:45
highest temperature in toronto on march 22 2026 12corbelow	11	$311	355	0	+355	Yes	+$44	03-21 09:39
highest temperature in hong kong on march 18 2026 27c	27	$304	444	0	+444	Yes	+$135	03-18 08:20
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$300	638	0	+638	England	-$300	07-05 15:52
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the march meeting	28	$300	542	0	+542	Yes	+$242	03-25 23:04
highest temperature in toronto on february 15 2026 neg 4c	9	$288	289	0	+289	No	+$1	02-15 06:47
highest temperature in nyc on march 17 2026 50forhigher	46	$283	465	0	+465	Yes	+$182	03-17 01:29
highest temperature in dallas on march 4 2026 74forhigher	23	$282	327	0	+327	Yes	+$45	03-03 21:58
highest temperature in toronto on february 15 2026 neg 2c	11	$279	289	0	+289	No	+$9	02-15 06:47
will china gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 5pt0 and 5pt5	29	$275	508	0	+508	Yes	+$233	04-16 01:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 11:22:22	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	16¢	$320	0x29e04b…
08-06 14:55:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf6c201…
08-06 14:51:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3ed09a…
08-06 14:51:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x0e658f…
08-06 14:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xed19e2…
08-06 14:45:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8eb9b2…
08-06 14:42:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x86dade…
07-06 16:10:47	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	7,000	6¢	$413	0x4e54b4…
07-06 16:07:46	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5473b0…
07-06 14:43:29	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	54	66¢	$36	0xa5f7fd…
07-06 13:14:32	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xdf3b19…
07-06 13:01:10	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	152	66¢	$100	0xe47d8d…
07-06 13:00:52	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0xf65f28…
07-06 13:00:43	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$2	0x026f47…
07-06 12:21:23	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	450	33¢	$149	0x5b0aee…
07-06 11:44:46	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xd8f509…
07-06 11:19:44	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	77	66¢	$51	0xea0207…
07-06 11:10:02	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	45	66¢	$30	0xe3ce39…
07-06 11:02:58	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0xcbb401…
07-06 10:33:41	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0x857bec…
07-06 09:54:01	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	603	34¢	$205	0x19a4bf…
07-06 09:53:47	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	900	66¢	$594	0x6be56c…
07-06 09:25:40	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0xcabe65…
07-06 09:21:46	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	374	34¢	$127	0x430e8f…
07-06 09:21:13	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	900	66¢	$594	0x2e7757…
07-06 08:27:16	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	SELL	76	66¢	$50	0x245ca8…
07-06 08:19:41	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	207	66¢	$136	0x6a1c95…
07-06 06:57:44	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	800	66¢	$528	0xee6f3d…
07-06 06:46:04	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	285	66¢	$188	0xb71007…
07-06 06:44:13	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,699	66¢	$1,122	0x9ce692…
07-06 06:32:13	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0x17d368…
07-06 04:39:20	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21,000	6¢	$1,302	0x52bf80…
07-06 03:45:10	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,721	65¢	$1,769	0xc1f88a…
07-06 03:44:41	Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	279	65¢	$181	0x1c0743…
07-06 03:44:16	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	1,243	65¢	$808	0x57b518…
07-06 03:44:04	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	1,429	65¢	$929	0x266db5…
07-06 03:43:47	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	300	65¢	$195	0xfcfb82…
07-06 03:43:47	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	No	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0xc3de8e…
07-05 15:52:59	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	638	47¢	$300	0xe593f5…
07-03 15:06:04	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	12,000	4¢	$468	0xd3a313…
06-30 07:53:26	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	28,000	6¢	$1,680	0x503f4f…
06-12 23:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x03aef5…
06-12 23:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x92479e…
04-21 20:35:38	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf50f00…
04-21 20:35:38	Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xe4a8ef…
04-21 20:35:38	Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe1ca6b…
04-21 20:35:38	Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xd3f3d9…
04-21 20:35:38	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xca52cd…
04-21 20:35:38	Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xc08f9c…
04-21 20:35:38	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x417eea…
04-21 19:10:06	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 2pt0 and 2pt4	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdf618d…
04-21 19:10:04	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf23e1b…
04-21 19:10:04	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt5 and 1pt9	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa554d8…
04-21 19:10:04	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 0pt0 and 0pt4	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x88c247…
04-21 19:10:04	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt0 and 1pt4	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4bbd98…
04-21 19:10:04	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 0pt5 and 0pt9	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x227041…
04-21 19:10:04	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 2pt5	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x16e40f…
04-21 19:09:14	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xf53807…
04-21 19:09:14	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 0pt0 and 0pt4	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0xecb5da…
04-21 19:09:14	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 0pt5 and 0pt9	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xc659cc…
04-21 19:09:14	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt5 and 1pt9	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x8044b1…
04-21 19:09:14	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 2pt0 and 2pt4	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x5faf55…
04-21 19:09:14	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt0 and 1pt4	Yes	BUY	18	2¢	$0	0x15d2e1…
04-21 19:09:14	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 2pt5	Yes	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x11b323…
04-21 19:08:28	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 0pt5 and 0pt9	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x8fa7f7…
04-21 19:08:28	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt0 and 1pt4	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x633b6a…
04-21 19:08:26	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 2pt5	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xecb19f…
04-21 19:08:26	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 0pt0 and 0pt4	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xe2ab02…
04-21 19:08:26	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x97da51…
04-21 19:08:26	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt5 and 1pt9	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x61d07c…
04-21 19:08:26	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 2pt0 and 2pt4	Yes	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x3dc36f…
04-21 16:49:46	Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xfd98f8…
04-21 16:49:46	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xd785db…
04-21 16:49:46	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x4be930…
04-21 16:49:46	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x3a521f…
04-21 16:49:46	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0x06a66e…
04-21 16:49:44	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0xc99891…
04-21 00:12:20	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xe25f83…
04-21 00:12:20	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 0pt0 and 0pt4	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xd7f375…
04-21 00:12:20	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt5 and 1pt9	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xbb8c3f…
04-21 00:12:20	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be at least 2pt5	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xac48da…
04-21 00:12:20	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 2pt0 and 2pt4	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x8fcb39…
04-21 00:12:20	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 1pt0 and 1pt4	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x5163d0…
04-21 00:12:20	will south korea gdp growth in q1 2026 be between 0pt5 and 0pt9	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x09829e…
04-20 23:08:48	Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xebab57…
04-20 23:08:48	Will SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd88cf9…
04-20 23:08:48	Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcaf68a…
04-20 23:08:48	Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x7d5f67…
04-20 23:08:48	Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x39c8df…
04-20 23:08:48	Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1cb4dd…
04-20 23:08:48	Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1951b5…
04-20 23:03:46	Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xa472e4…
04-20 23:03:46	Will SpaceX have exactly 12 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa36cba…
04-20 23:03:46	Will SpaceX have 17 or more launches in April?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8afe81…
04-20 23:03:46	Will SpaceX have exactly 13 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x59afcc…
04-20 23:03:46	Will SpaceX have exactly 15 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x23dab0…
04-20 23:03:46	Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 11 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x107aef…
04-20 23:03:46	Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x0ed035…
04-20 23:03:40	Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x722e70…
04-20 23:03:38	Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xd36c01…