Made-Up-Incision — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$8

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

32 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$159

$159 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 05:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 93% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	05-07 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	+7	$5	72¢	$5	+$0	05-07 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	+6	$5	22¢	$1	$-4	05-07 05:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 05:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xb3daf6…
05-07 05:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5c4e1b…
05-07 04:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcf9895…
05-07 04:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x1e7b9b…
05-07 04:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd01afd…
05-07 04:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x737bab…
05-07 03:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x725f1e…
05-07 02:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	84¢	$5	0xd9b36c…
05-07 02:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0ad204…
05-07 01:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xd4a969…
05-07 00:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9be07d…
05-06 18:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2428b3…
05-06 17:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xaee36d…
05-06 17:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xaa9cfe…
05-06 17:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x874b33…
05-06 15:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5263ba…
05-06 14:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x18c92c…
05-06 06:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe78b88…
05-06 03:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x0d6d47…
05-06 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x40756c…
05-06 02:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xbf6edb…
05-06 02:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf392bc…
05-06 01:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xdea998…
05-06 01:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xa0f2c7…
05-06 01:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x743a6a…
05-05 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7f48f0…
05-05 19:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x58ca56…
05-05 18:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x9080ae…
05-05 15:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0xba98a8…
05-05 03:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf6a03d…
05-05 00:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x22e73b…
05-04 21:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe6c879…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	31	$5.60K	237	05-07 05:33
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	29	$3.96K	360	05-07 05:33
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	29	$1.46K	187	05-07 05:33
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	28	$875	195	05-07 05:33
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	27	$7.79K	221	05-07 05:33
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	27	$2.25K	83	05-07 05:33
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	27	$2.14K	206	05-07 05:33
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	27	$1.45K	129	05-07 05:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-07 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-07 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-07 01:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-07 00:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-07 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-07 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-07 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-06 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	$-5	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-07 04:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-07 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-05 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-06 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 02:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-06 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-06 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-06 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Down	+$2	05-05 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	open	—	05-06 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-07 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	05-07 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-06 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-06 01:59