Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,934

lifetime

Volume

$4.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 04-19 15:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

63% 50% $-0

Other

34% 50% +$6

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	34	$310	195	167	+28	open	—	03-26 03:36
will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	4	$258	661	661	+0	open	—	03-16 09:56
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	109	$244	240	189	+51	open	—	04-07 22:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	102	$220	187	169	+18	open	—	03-27 18:53
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	20	$206	106	106	+0	open	—	03-10 12:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	65	$203	175	175	+0	open	—	04-16 18:10
netanyahu out by march 31 854	42	$193	98	98	+0	open	—	03-26 10:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	99	$187	145	186	-41	open	—	04-07 23:18
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	150	$176	224	150	+74	open	—	04-07 23:01
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$153	93	93	+0	open	—	04-19 14:58
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	53	$140	79	79	+0	open	—	04-19 14:58
Netanyahu out by April 30?	38	$89	46	46	+0	open	—	04-09 13:09
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	44	$84	43	43	+0	open	—	04-13 02:38
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	45	$84	86	78	+9	open	—	04-03 23:38
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	45	$74	39	39	+0	open	—	04-19 14:58
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	88	$70	88	66	+23	open	—	04-07 23:18
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	40	$65	59	51	+8	open	—	04-07 22:28
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	22	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	03-15 20:21
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	37	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	04-12 19:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	23	$46	113	58	+55	open	—	03-31 12:34
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	16	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	03-21 22:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	35	$41	22	22	+0	open	—	04-19 15:11
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	41	$37	87	87	+0	open	—	04-04 23:11
will social democrats win the most seats in the danish folketing in the 2026 danish general election	25	$35	18	18	+1	open	—	03-24 19:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	36	$35	27	27	+0	open	—	04-19 15:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	26	$35	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 15:10
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$33	17	17	+0	No	+$0	04-19 15:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	25	$32	28	28	+0	Yes	$-0	04-02 02:52
lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	1	$30	41	0	+41	open	—	03-22 10:27
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 20 2026 28c	1	$29	46	0	+46	open	—	03-20 12:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 15:17:22	Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x45b468…
04-19 15:16:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x5e2b7b…
04-19 15:16:36	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x344acf…
04-19 15:15:08	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 200M by May 1?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x71bf8d…
04-19 15:14:58	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4df964…
04-19 15:14:50	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2a3056…
04-19 15:14:42	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x97da03…
04-19 15:14:28	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x41c681…
04-19 15:14:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xe67ae7…
04-19 15:13:08	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdd6edf…
04-19 15:11:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xad657b…
04-19 15:11:10	Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd8fcb7…
04-19 15:10:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x48cffa…
04-19 15:09:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a18bb…
04-19 15:08:30	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x008609…
04-19 15:07:24	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	8¢	$2	0x1e0b40…
04-19 15:06:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xf45e79…
04-19 15:03:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x527fb3…
04-19 15:02:36	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbc7ab2…
04-19 15:02:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x2c3dc6…
04-19 15:01:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x77728b…
04-19 15:01:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x417916…
04-19 15:01:18	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x3fb8cf…
04-19 15:00:50	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x38e462…
04-19 15:00:42	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xd03a5f…
04-19 14:58:46	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x088305…
04-19 14:58:24	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	93	90¢	$84	0x2676c8…
04-19 14:58:12	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf5e4ea…
04-19 14:49:02	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x9f0e4a…
04-18 13:52:28	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbf00a8…
04-17 14:26:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0xf6cedd…
04-16 18:10:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3680fc…
04-16 09:58:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdebf94…
04-16 09:47:46	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x699bbc…
04-16 09:35:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4cf15c…
04-16 09:35:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x57b474…
04-16 08:49:56	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5ecf00…
04-16 08:48:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5eb705…
04-16 00:50:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x78ef3c…
04-15 22:15:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x6bf740…
04-15 20:15:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x1a2183…
04-15 16:05:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xbca768…
04-15 13:31:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa05b4d…
04-15 13:29:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3a3bbf…
04-15 10:22:32	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x37ea2a…
04-15 08:42:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x4751c5…
04-15 06:58:34	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3c1ee6…
04-15 06:44:00	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x65b1b0…
04-15 06:16:22	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x190609…
04-15 04:38:00	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x713ca4…
04-15 01:15:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x068d6a…
04-14 23:35:32	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x8887b8…
04-14 21:04:12	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x61cdcc…
04-14 20:08:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x54e3d6…
04-14 18:45:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xbab28c…
04-14 18:44:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x414761…
04-14 18:39:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xddbaec…
04-14 18:27:44	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf7e1e7…
04-14 18:11:58	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x8d63b4…
04-14 16:25:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x7d303d…
04-14 08:28:23	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xdea594…
04-14 08:26:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x3c3c6e…
04-14 06:14:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x8f6859…
04-13 22:32:23	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x80b39d…
04-13 19:58:57	Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe11f6a…
04-13 18:02:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x04e86a…
04-13 17:35:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x181a8d…
04-13 17:22:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd4844a…
04-13 17:20:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe37fed…
04-13 17:03:13	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x07bf24…
04-13 16:29:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xca8156…
04-13 14:14:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x142a8e…
04-13 13:56:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0xffae53…
04-13 11:14:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x0698c7…
04-13 10:57:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf75d24…
04-13 10:56:59	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb05164…
04-13 10:28:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xd6e443…
04-13 10:26:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x502ce8…
04-13 08:10:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe2c534…
04-13 07:34:29	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xb69c5e…
04-13 06:27:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa1641b…
04-13 06:21:27	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x4f62fa…
04-13 06:15:19	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x70b957…
04-13 06:13:23	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x5e0e01…
04-13 06:13:11	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe571af…
04-13 06:07:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x0db2b5…
04-13 05:57:41	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xf48161…
04-13 02:38:19	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x9ad62a…
04-12 19:18:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x746add…
04-12 19:11:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8af1e0…
04-12 19:11:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5e7fb0…
04-12 19:11:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2993c2…
04-12 19:10:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x55e41d…
04-12 19:09:51	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x090826…
04-12 19:05:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xcc8f1e…
04-12 19:04:27	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x0b3efe…
04-12 19:03:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x01c40f…
04-12 19:01:41	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xd51f22…
04-12 19:01:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x59eb2c…
04-12 18:57:57	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf5bb83…