Realized P&L
-$5.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$362
Hit rate
59.4%
Resolved
396
Trades
1,077
lifetime
Volume
$39.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$36
Open exposure
$1.95K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-27 04:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 127 days
Categories
Sports
47% 8% -$576
Other
23% 4% -$2,828
Politics
14% 2% -$1,959
Crypto
9% 16% +$267
Tech
6% 25% -$151
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10,000 -$1,287 10¢ $-985 +$302 06-27 02:27
Will Como win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +21,358 $116 1¢ $235 +$119 09-14 05:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +607 $164 29¢ $173 +$9 10-27 04:42
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +2,372 $317 6¢ $154 -$163 10-26 23:08
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $220 1¢ $135 -$85 08-09 21:38
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,199 $31 2¢ $104 +$73 08-18 02:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +351 $15 8¢ $30 +$15 10-05 02:37
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -1,900 -$13 1¢ $-20 -$7 05-18 22:27
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -2,500 -$35 1¢ $-19 +$16 05-18 04:05
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +3,719 $25 0¢ $17 -$8 10-20 21:00
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +2,000 $18 1¢ $15 -$3 10-20 21:01
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +10,000 $30 0¢ $15 -$15 08-18 02:11
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +1,500 $13 1¢ $14 +$1 10-20 21:01
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -4,004 -$132 0¢ $-10 +$122 05-22 22:43
Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in 2026? Yes -227 -$11 4¢ $-9 +$2 05-18 04:09
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes -388 -$18 1¢ $-5 +$13 07-02 08:34
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? Yes +237 $14 2¢ $5 -$9 10-18 05:00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +233 -$4 1¢ $2 +$5 10-05 02:37
Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes -160 -$6 0¢ $-1 +$5 05-18 22:27
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -461 $30 0¢ $-1 -$31 06-28 19:07